Remember when Western sanctions on $300 billion of Russian reserve assets ushered in the dawn
Author: therealheisenberg
Can China Weather The Tariff Storm?
Among the (many) pressing macro-market questions for 2025 asks if the Party in Beijing can
South Korea In Crisis
Congratulations to Choi Sang-mok! Choi became South Korea’s third president in a month on Friday,
US Money Fund Assets Edge Closer To $7 Trillion
A strong year for money market fund flows was set to go out with a
2025 Crystal Ball
What’s the consensus outlook for 2025? That’s a tough question to answer. Consensus for what,
Competing Claims
Initial US jobless claims slipped below 220,000 for the first time in a month, Thursday’s
Breaks, Myths And Hyper-Scalers
I’d say investors and traders were back at the desk on Thursday, but that’d be
Who’s Afraid Of Tariff Man?
The tariffs! My God, what of the tariffs?! (“Think of the children!”) Most intelligent people
Reports Of US Inflation Rebound ‘Greatly Exaggerated,’ Goldman Says
Fed critics — and here I mean critics concerned about the proper course of monetary
‘The System Needs A Breather’
“Giddy.” That’s equity investors. Or US equity investors anyway. The adjective comes from SocGen’s Jitesh
The Best (And Worst) Outcomes For 2025, According To Fund Managers
If you had to make a list of prospective good outcomes for 2025, which would
Is China Finally Serious About Stimulus?
Stop me if you’ve heard this before: China has big stimulus plans. “Fool me once,”
The Equity Funding Squeeze Briefly Revisited
A month or so ago, I wrote a bit about an under-the-radar funding squeeze for
Boxes For Sale
It’d be an understatement, and not a small one, to describe investor interest in macro
Not-So-Great Expectations
Oddly enough, US consumers are trepidatious again. Confidence among American households deteriorated in December, according
Musk Takes A Shot At The Fed
On December 4, Jerome Powell sat for a fireside-style chat with Andrew Ross Sorkin for
Time To Get Defensive?
Goldman likes defensives. Wait, let me back up and be more specific. A model Goldman
Joy To The World
Plainly, this’ll be a slow week for the macro-market crowd. It’s Christmas, which means the
Exceptional. But Read The Fine Print
If the American exceptionalism narrative vis-à-vis markets feels exhausted — ad nauseam — to you, you’re
Risk-Loving Fund Managers May Be Contrarian ‘Sell’ Signal
If a pullback in US stocks is imminent, don’t say you weren’t warned. In contrarian
$18 Trillion Gap Masks ‘Stealth’ Stock Correction
There’s a “stealth correction” afoot in the equity market. What? You didn’t notice? Well, that’s
Nascent Angst
There’s a lot to be concerned about all of a sudden, even if Friday’s session
US Inflation Promptly Undershoots After Fed Raises Forecast
In a fortuitous — if ironic — development for a panel of technocrats who just
The $6.75 Trillion Question
It’s been a helluva year for money market funds. With just just seven business days
President Musk
“Vice President Trump” was briefly trending on “X” Thursday, which is… well, funny, for one
US Home Sales Thaw As Buyers Accept ‘New Normal’
Homebuyers in America are “get[ting] used to a new normal,” NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun
US Economy Surprises Again As Jobless Claims Drop, GDP Revised Up
A two-week jump in initial US jobless claims in and around the Thanksgiving holiday was
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