Late last week, Goldman noted that retail investor activity was picking back up, with animal
Author: therealheisenberg
As 2s10s Inverts, Dudley Says US Recession ‘Inevitable’
Two days ago, in “Fatalism Sets In As Curve Starts Recession Clock,” I wrote that
Wage-Price Spiral Beckons As Americans Quit By The Millions
Job openings barely budged and the quit rate rose in February, closely watched data out
Inflation Goes From ‘Nonissue’ To National Obsession In Six Months
A gauge of US consumer confidence improved in March despite — and I don’t know
McElligott On ‘Burning’ Macro And Stocks ‘Just Winning On All Fronts’
“Stuff is breaking,” macro assets are chaotic and “burning,” but “goofy-ol’” stocks continue to press
Dramatic Moves, Someone To Hang
Recep Tayyip Erdogan himself presided over the latest round of peace talks between Ukraine and
Breaking: Fed Finds Cause Of Soaring Inflation
The Fed knows who to blame for the highest US inflation in a generation. Spoiler
‘Public Enemy Number One’ And Why Stocks Are Vulnerable
Equity investors need to answer one simple question: Will Jerome Powell follow through? Weeks of
G-7 Answers Putin’s Rubles-For-Gas Demand: No
Last week, Vladimir Putin had an idea. Like most of his ideas lately, it wasn’t
VIX ‘Too Low’ As Data, Seasonal Buyback Lull Loom
Markets may lose a key pillar of support just as equities appeared to find their
‘Literally Parabolic’: Historic Bond Rout Worsens, Yen Plunges
The hyperbole flowed freely Monday as the worst global bond rout in modern history accelerated.
Fatalism Sets In As Curve Starts Recession Clock
Fatalism pervades much of the macro commentary, and you don’t need to listen too closely
Traders Await Crucial US Data As Biden Confronts Dismal Polls
A slate of top-tier US data greets market participants in the new week, as equities
Regime Change
“As you’ve heard us say, repeatedly, we do not have a strategy of regime change
‘Diamond Hands And Buybacks’ To Drive Stock Demand: Goldman
One of the many “mysteries” of recent US equity strength is the solid performance of
Three Months In Web3: What I Learned
“There’s something apocalyptic about it,” someone told me this week. We weren’t talking about the
Royals Versus Ragtags
If you’re curious to know why the Saudis aren’t more responsive when it comes to
Fed Needs You To Believe Panic Equals Credibility
Only twice during the past 50 years have US consumers been more concerned about reduced
Perfect Storm Brewing For US Housing Bubble
More cracks in the foundation. Pardon the pun. Again. Two days after data showed new
Key Indicator Flashes Rare ‘Buy’ Signal. But There Are Caveats
For the first time since the depths of the original pandemic selloff, a widely-cited indicator
German Business Confidence ‘Nosedives’ In Record Collapse
“Sentiment in the German economy has collapsed,” Ifo President Clemens Fuest proclaimed on Friday. The
‘Largely Replaceable’: Putin’s Energy Is Expendable After All
As expected, the US and the EU announced a political accord aimed at freeing Europe
Stocks: Don’t Believe Everything You Read
Nearly three months into 2022, US equities are largely indecipherable. There’s nothing unusual about market
What Steve Mnuchin Saw
Most citizens in advanced economies aren’t accustomed to economic suffering. That’s a generalization, of course.
Ambiguous US Data Has Ominous Undertones
Mixed data provided little in the way of clarity as traders and investors pondered an
US Economy Expanding Rapidly, Alternative Facts Suggest
Not all the data was ominous. Preliminary US PMIs for March suggested the world’s largest
Putin Puts Russian Stock Market On Path To Total Obscurity
Vladimir Putin managed to reopen the Russian stock market. Sort of. 33 out of 50
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