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Author: therealheisenberg

Demand Destruction Or Bust

April 5, 2022April 6, 2022

Equities and rates were a hopeless conundrum Tuesday ahead of the March Fed minutes which,

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6 Comments on Demand Destruction Or Bust

US Services Sector Heats Up. Inflation Pervasive

April 5, 2022April 6, 2022

The US services sector was robust during the final month of the first quarter. Or

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5 Comments on US Services Sector Heats Up. Inflation Pervasive

The ‘New World Order’ Looks A Lot Like The Old World

April 5, 2022April 5, 2022

Headlines continued to paint a somewhat grim macro picture Tuesday. 2020 now seems like an

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1 Comment on The ‘New World Order’ Looks A Lot Like The Old World

‘Bear Market Rally Over’: Wilson Unplugs Stock Rebound

April 4, 2022April 11, 2022

I hope you enjoyed the bear market rally. Because it’s over now. Or at least

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4 Comments on ‘Bear Market Rally Over’: Wilson Unplugs Stock Rebound

Biden Floats War Crimes Trial For Putin

April 4, 2022April 5, 2022

“Remember I got criticized for calling Putin a war criminal,” Joe Biden reminded reporters on

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3 Comments on Biden Floats War Crimes Trial For Putin

Jamie Dimon Talks ‘Human Existence,’ ‘Explosive Situations’

April 4, 2022April 5, 2022

JPMorgan is prepared for anything “in all times,” Jamie Dimon declared on Monday, in his

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1 Comment on Jamie Dimon Talks ‘Human Existence,’ ‘Explosive Situations’

Bucha Flashpoint

April 4, 2022April 12, 2022

The EU on Monday called on Vladimir Putin to stop the war in Ukraine “immediately”

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14 Comments on Bucha Flashpoint

Fed’s Rate Hikes May Shatter 14-Year Dream State

April 3, 2022April 4, 2022

Bill Dudley thinks a US recession is “inevitable.” Not everyone agrees. Asset prices, for example,

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9 Comments on Fed’s Rate Hikes May Shatter 14-Year Dream State

Cathie Wood Castigates Fed. Says Powell ‘Playing With Fire’

April 3, 2022April 4, 2022

On Saturday evening, someone told me they were headed to their first cocktail party in

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10 Comments on Cathie Wood Castigates Fed. Says Powell ‘Playing With Fire’

What ‘Usually’ Happens To The S&P After Curve Inversions

April 3, 2022April 15, 2022

Stocks are looking past rising yields in part because the move in reals merely marks

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1 Comment on What ‘Usually’ Happens To The S&P After Curve Inversions

Zoltan Pozsar’s Fairy Tale

April 2, 2022April 17, 2022

Zoltan Pozsar scarcely needs to exalt himself. The financial media does that for him. In

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15 Comments on Zoltan Pozsar’s Fairy Tale

Assets Not Pricing ‘Inevitable’ Recession, Former Dudley Employer Says

April 2, 2022April 3, 2022

Inevitably, Bill Dudley’s “inevitable” recession call prompted pushback from some market participants and served as

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7 Comments on Assets Not Pricing ‘Inevitable’ Recession, Former Dudley Employer Says

Inversions And Reversions

April 1, 2022April 3, 2022

It’s a good thing the yield curve doesn’t matter. If it did, we’d be in

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7 Comments on Inversions And Reversions

Tiny Homes, Large Bubbles And The Biggest Picture

April 1, 2022April 17, 2022

Earlier this week, shares of Toll Brothers fell sharply amid a broad decline in homebuilders

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10 Comments on Tiny Homes, Large Bubbles And The Biggest Picture

Clash Of The US Factory Surveys

April 1, 2022April 3, 2022

In what the pessimists among you might fairly characterize as a somewhat foreboding development, the

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1 Comment on Clash Of The US Factory Surveys

Jobs Report Clears Path For Fed To Hike US Into Recession

April 1, 2022April 5, 2022

The US economy added 431,000 jobs in March, the BLS said Friday. It was another

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3 Comments on Jobs Report Clears Path For Fed To Hike US Into Recession

Bombs Over Belgorod

April 1, 2022April 2, 2022

Last week, the Russian Defense Ministry claimed to have “practically” decimated Ukraine’s air force and

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6 Comments on Bombs Over Belgorod

‘My Wallet Shrivels Just Writing This’: Euro CPI Shocker Elicits Incredulity

April 1, 2022April 3, 2022

“That’s a big number.” “Those are pretty ugly prints.” Those (real) quotes give you a

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Leave a Comment on ‘My Wallet Shrivels Just Writing This’: Euro CPI Shocker Elicits Incredulity

US Housing Bubble Tested As Mortgage Rates Go Vertical

March 31, 2022April 6, 2022

A few days ago, one regular reader ventured a quip about my (admittedly repetitive) characterization

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12 Comments on US Housing Bubble Tested As Mortgage Rates Go Vertical

Cartoon Tyrant

March 31, 2022April 1, 2022

One problem with spending decades cultivating fear among friends, foes and everyone in-between, is that

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7 Comments on Cartoon Tyrant

Goldman Has 7 Reasons Why Stocks Didn’t Crash

March 31, 2022April 1, 2022

Although the S&P just logged its first losing quarter since the onset of the pandemic,

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2 Comments on Goldman Has 7 Reasons Why Stocks Didn’t Crash

Biden’s ‘Shock And Awe’ Oil Gambit Faces Long Odds

March 31, 2022April 1, 2022

Frustrated by a recalcitrant OPEC and wary of ongoing, energy-driven inflation ahead of the US

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14 Comments on Biden’s ‘Shock And Awe’ Oil Gambit Faces Long Odds

America’s Spendthrifts Stare Down Inflation Dragon

March 31, 2022April 3, 2022

Real personal spending fell twice as much as expected in the US last month, underscoring

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8 Comments on America’s Spendthrifts Stare Down Inflation Dragon

These ‘Crucial’ Levels Matter Most In News-Driven Market

March 30, 2022March 31, 2022

In early February, one bank’s equity derivatives team suggested market participants were assigning too much

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1 Comment on These ‘Crucial’ Levels Matter Most In News-Driven Market

In Germany, Inflation Just Flew Off The Charts

March 30, 2022April 3, 2022

German inflation accelerated at the fastest pace in decades in March, preliminary figures released on

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1 Comment on In Germany, Inflation Just Flew Off The Charts

US Private Sector Hiring Was Robust In March

March 30, 2022April 3, 2022

Private sector US employers added 455,000 jobs in March, ADP said Wednesday. It was a

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6 Comments on US Private Sector Hiring Was Robust In March

‘No Breakthrough’

March 30, 2022March 31, 2022

Peace talks in Istanbul yielded “no breakthrough,” the Kremlin said Wednesday. Lots of work remains

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8 Comments on ‘No Breakthrough’

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Monthly Letters

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To Be Happy

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Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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