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Author: therealheisenberg

How Much ‘Extra’ Money Is Out There?

March 6, 2023March 6, 2023

How much did “extra” liquidity matter for the rally in equities from the October lows?

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2 Comments on How Much ‘Extra’ Money Is Out There?

Wilson Pivots, Says Stock Rally May Continue. For Now

March 6, 2023March 15, 2023

Mike Wilson has seen enough. For now, anyway. US equities may manage to sustain a

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10 Comments on Wilson Pivots, Says Stock Rally May Continue. For Now

6% Or Higher Rates Possible On Hot US Spending: Goldman

March 6, 2023March 7, 2023

What if the world’s largest economy refuses to decelerate? That’s the $26 trillion question looming

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Market Ponders ‘Radically Different’ Rate Paths At Fed Crossroads

March 5, 2023March 5, 2023

Last month’s dramatic hawkish repricing across the US rates complex found traders fading the odds

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Traders Eye Big Week As Powell, US Jobs, Central Banks Loom

March 5, 2023March 9, 2023

It’s a big week for the US economy. Crucial jobs data will be a verdict

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3 Comments on Traders Eye Big Week As Powell, US Jobs, Central Banks Loom

What To Make Of China’s ‘Low’ Growth Target

March 5, 2023March 6, 2023

There were three general takeaways from what I described as China’s “cautious” growth target for

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2 Comments on What To Make Of China’s ‘Low’ Growth Target

China Comes Out Cautious With 2023 Growth Target

March 4, 2023March 4, 2023

Better to under promise and over deliver I suppose. China on Sunday set what it

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US Plan To Establish China Investment Curbs Imminent

March 4, 2023March 4, 2023

Early last month, I sketched the contours of a Biden administration plan to restrict American

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6 Comments on US Plan To Establish China Investment Curbs Imminent

No End Seen To America’s High-Stakes Inflation War

March 4, 2023March 6, 2023

Where does it end? That’s the question now for market participants warily (and wearily) eyeing

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7 Comments on No End Seen To America’s High-Stakes Inflation War

Fed May Need To Torch $30 Trillion To Tame Inflation

March 4, 2023March 9, 2023

The Fed’s credibility problem is beginning to grow again. And no, I don’t mean the

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12 Comments on Fed May Need To Torch $30 Trillion To Tame Inflation

2023’s Exodus From US Stock Funds Nears $40 Billion

March 3, 2023March 3, 2023

I felt compelled Friday to pen a quick update on the equities flow story in

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2 Comments on 2023’s Exodus From US Stock Funds Nears $40 Billion

‘Year Of The Bond’ Meme Powers $30 Billion Treasury Inflow

March 3, 2023March 5, 2023

2023 was supposed to be the “year of the bond.” The thesis behind that mantra

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1 Comment on ‘Year Of The Bond’ Meme Powers $30 Billion Treasury Inflow

Inflation Is Embedded In The US Services Sector

March 3, 2023March 5, 2023

Friday’s hotly-anticipated read on the state of the US services sector was good, but it

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1 Comment on Inflation Is Embedded In The US Services Sector

$70 Billion Runs To Cash Amid Macro, Policy Ambiguity

March 3, 2023March 3, 2023

Cash is king. For once, that’s not just a tired cliché to describe risk aversion.

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‘The Secular Script’ For An Inflationary Epoch

March 3, 2023March 9, 2023

“An era of extraordinary monetary policy is over,” BofA’s Michael Hartnett declared, dusting off a

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16 Comments on ‘The Secular Script’ For An Inflationary Epoch

Credit Monitor: Outflows For Junk, Record Supply, Bad Month For IG

March 2, 2023March 2, 2023

US junk funds bled another $2.3 billion during the latest weekly reporting period, data released

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1 Comment on Credit Monitor: Outflows For Junk, Record Supply, Bad Month For IG

US Home Prices Fall First Time In 11 Years. But…

March 2, 2023March 4, 2023

It was inevitable, but now it’s official. Sort of. US home prices are falling on

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3 Comments on US Home Prices Fall First Time In 11 Years. But…

Stargazers

March 2, 2023March 9, 2023

We may be living through the early stages of a “historically unique period.” In the

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2 Comments on Stargazers

Say No To Chop, Yes To Cash

March 2, 2023March 2, 2023

Who wants to deal with it? If you’re not asking yourself that question vis-à-vis the

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2 Comments on Say No To Chop, Yes To Cash

Key US Labor Cost Gauge Triples In Ominous Revision

March 2, 2023March 2, 2023

Unit labor costs in the US rose at nearly triple the initially reported rate during

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US Takes Important Step Towards Leaving 30 Million People Hungry

March 2, 2023March 8, 2023

Late last year, when US lawmakers decided, at the last minute, to fund the government

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Could The Inflation Crisis Dissolve The Euro?

March 2, 2023March 3, 2023

To exactly nobody’s surprise other than the economists whose forecasts again proved misguided, inflation in

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2 Comments on Could The Inflation Crisis Dissolve The Euro?

Determined Hawks, Ambivalent Bulls

March 1, 2023March 2, 2023

Markets felt all at once tense and disinterested following what it was fair to call

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3 Comments on Determined Hawks, Ambivalent Bulls

‘Good For Main Street,’ Bad For Financial Assets

March 1, 2023March 1, 2023

Let the crocodile tears flow freely. The macro regime has shifted in favor of everyday

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Disappearing Disinflation

March 1, 2023March 2, 2023

This week’s only marquee data release out of the world’s largest economy was amenable to

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11 Comments on Disappearing Disinflation

Trapped Underwater: America’s Looming Used Car Crisis

March 1, 2023March 1, 2023

“Is the car free?” wondered a Tennessee resident, who leased a used Volkswagen Passat from

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8 Comments on Trapped Underwater: America’s Looming Used Car Crisis

Mortgage Apps At New 28-Year Low In Sad ‘Nobody’s Market’

March 1, 2023March 2, 2023

US mortgage rates rose to the highest since November last week, putting further pressure on

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