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Author: therealheisenberg

Goldman Sees No 2023 Upside For Stocks Despite Likely Fed Pause

April 1, 2023April 3, 2023

Fed officials would prefer it if you’d countenance another 25bps rate hike — one for

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1 Comment on Goldman Sees No 2023 Upside For Stocks Despite Likely Fed Pause

‘Systemically Important Tech’ Caps Blockbuster Quarter

March 31, 2023March 31, 2023

Earlier this week, I penned an obligatory nod to the new “bull market” in big-cap

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Leave a Comment on ‘Systemically Important Tech’ Caps Blockbuster Quarter

The Entertainment Business

March 31, 2023April 2, 2023

Regular readers know I’m usually the very last person to employ Warren Buffett quotes (indeed,

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16 Comments on The Entertainment Business

No Bank Panic In Michigan Poll. But Recession Vibes Unmistakable

March 31, 2023April 2, 2023

A trio of bank failures had “limited impact on consumer sentiment” this month, Joanne Hsu,

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2 Comments on No Bank Panic In Michigan Poll. But Recession Vibes Unmistakable

Bear Stearns Or LTCM? Fate Of Stocks Depends On The Answer

March 31, 2023March 31, 2023

Buyer beware? This is a challenging moment for investors attempting to discern whether a long-in-the-tooth

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3 Comments on Bear Stearns Or LTCM? Fate Of Stocks Depends On The Answer

US Inflation, Spending Data Cooperates. For Now

March 31, 2023April 1, 2023

Core inflation using the Fed’s preferred gauge rose less than expected last month from January,

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3 Comments on US Inflation, Spending Data Cooperates. For Now

$14 Hershey Bars

March 31, 2023April 1, 2023

If you, like me, have noticed that the price of certain impulse buys in the

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7 Comments on $14 Hershey Bars

At Least It’s Not Getting Worse, Analysts Say, As Fed Borrowing Stabilizes

March 31, 2023

Liquidity needs in the US banking sector are still elevated. That was apparent from another

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Indictment Day

March 30, 2023April 10, 2023

Donald Trump was indicted Thursday by a 23-member special grand jury in Manhattan. Over several

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12 Comments on Indictment Day

Money Market Magnet Attracts $5.2 Trillion

March 30, 2023April 10, 2023

Money market fund assets ballooned to a new record over the last week, closely-watched data

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6 Comments on Money Market Magnet Attracts $5.2 Trillion

Beware The Latent Surge In Jobless Claims

March 30, 2023March 31, 2023

Just take the money! It’s free! If I were a financial advisor (I’m not), that’s

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5 Comments on Beware The Latent Surge In Jobless Claims

My Correlation Is Broken. What Do I Do?

March 30, 2023March 30, 2023

I’ll confess to being a bit concerned by the ongoing incredulity exhibited by stewards of

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1 Comment on My Correlation Is Broken. What Do I Do?

A New Tech Bull Market?

March 30, 2023March 31, 2023

The Nasdaq 100 is in an ostensible bull market. Maybe you heard. I say “ostensible”

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4 Comments on A New Tech Bull Market?

Poor Revisions And A Wide Disparity

March 30, 2023March 30, 2023

The final read on Q4 US GDP found the government revising core PCE price growth

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Evan Gershkovich Is In Trouble With Vladimir Putin

March 30, 2023March 30, 2023

I hate to put it this way, honestly I do, but I don’t see much

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4 Comments on Evan Gershkovich Is In Trouble With Vladimir Putin

This Productivity Boom Is Brought To You By Skynet

March 29, 2023

It’s AI’s world, we just live in it. Or at least that’s the impression you’d

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3 Comments on This Productivity Boom Is Brought To You By Skynet

A Quick Note On Elon Musk’s Proposed AI Moratorium

March 29, 2023March 29, 2023

Elon Musk is worried about advanced AI. One thing he’s concerned about specifically is the

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5 Comments on A Quick Note On Elon Musk’s Proposed AI Moratorium

The ChatGPT Bubble Is Here: $300K For ‘AI Whisperers’

March 29, 2023April 10, 2023

Earlier this week, I lamented the somewhat terrifying prospect of 300 million lost full-time jobs

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14 Comments on The ChatGPT Bubble Is Here: $300K For ‘AI Whisperers’

Did America’s Housing Recession Just End?

March 29, 2023March 30, 2023

For the third straight month, pending home sales in the US surprised to the upside,

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3 Comments on Did America’s Housing Recession Just End?

Bank Stress May Eliminate Key Source Of US Jobs Overshoot

March 29, 2023March 29, 2023

Over the past six months, nonfarm payroll growth in the US overshot the typical pre-COVID

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1 Comment on Bank Stress May Eliminate Key Source Of US Jobs Overshoot

Big Hearts Versus Big Men

March 29, 2023March 30, 2023

Volodymyr Zelensky on Wednesday said Vladimir Putin’s most recent nuclear posturing suggested the Kremlin didn’t

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1 Comment on Big Hearts Versus Big Men

The Long, Docile Bear

March 28, 2023April 10, 2023

Is the bear market over? If that’s your question, you need to specify. Which bear

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4 Comments on The Long, Docile Bear

Layoffs Won’t Solve This Inflation Problem

March 28, 2023

At this point, it’s tempting to ignore the never-ending reports of job cuts across the

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3 Comments on Layoffs Won’t Solve This Inflation Problem

America’s Housing Bubble Flies South For The Spring

March 28, 2023March 29, 2023

A government gauge of national home prices in the US unexpectedly rose at the beginning

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7 Comments on America’s Housing Bubble Flies South For The Spring

Unbothered By Bank Runs?

March 28, 2023March 29, 2023

If you were wondering whether the second-largest bank failure in American history and fears of

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3 Comments on Unbothered By Bank Runs?

18% Of Global Employment Could Be Replaced By Generative AI: Goldman

March 28, 2023

Generative AI is all the rage in 2023. Maybe it’s a fad, maybe it isn’t,

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6 Comments on 186 Of Global Employment Could Be Replaced By Generative AI: Goldman

Recession ‘Here In A Few Months’

March 28, 2023March 29, 2023

Jeff Gundlach says a recession may be right around the corner. That isn’t news. If

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3 Comments on Recession ‘Here In A Few Months’

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  • The Arbitrageur

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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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