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Author: therealheisenberg

US Stock Fund Exodus Drags Global Equity Flows Negative

May 26, 2023

Developed market-focused equity mutual funds and ETFs shed $3.21 billion over the latest weekly reporting

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The Path To An A.I. Dot-Com Moment

May 26, 2023May 28, 2023

Late June. That’s when the next selloff is coming. Or at least according to BofA’s

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8 Comments on The Path To An A.I. Dot-Com Moment

For A Nation Of Spendthrifts, Americans Are A Gloomy Bunch

May 26, 2023May 28, 2023

Just 16% of US consumers expect their income gains to outrun inflation over the next

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1 Comment on For A Nation Of Spendthrifts, Americans Are A Gloomy Bunch

Americans Refuse To Stop Spending As Inflation Rises In Worrying Data

May 26, 2023May 27, 2023

Friday’s top-tier data release out of the US suggested the Fed has more work to

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4 Comments on Americans Refuse To Stop Spending As Inflation Rises In Worrying Data

Money Market Assets, Bank Backstop Borrowing Hit New Records

May 25, 2023

Nearly $50 billion in new cash flooded into money market funds during the week to

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Don’t Short A Bubble

May 25, 2023July 24, 2023

You don’t want to short bubbles. That might sound counterintuitive. After all, if not bubbles,

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1 Comment on Don’t Short A Bubble

Popular Strategist Weighs In On Nvidia’s Historic Rally

May 25, 2023

It was all about Nvidia on Thursday. By noon in the US, the company’s market

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GDP Revisions, Claims Mock US Recession Meme

May 25, 2023

Bad news for the doves among you: The second estimate of Q1 GDP in the

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Nvidia Scores Historic One-Day Value Gain On ‘iPhone Moment’

May 25, 2023July 24, 2023

“I think you’re seeing the beginning of — call it a 10-year transition to basically

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13 Comments on Nvidia Scores Historic One-Day Value Gain On ‘iPhone Moment’

Resale Inventory Shortage Continues To Plague US Homebuyers

May 25, 2023May 26, 2023

Not enough available homes! That’s the problem on the resale side of a bifurcated US

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‘Reality’ Sets In As Germany Falls Into Recession

May 25, 2023May 26, 2023

The world’s fourth-largest economy is in a recession. Or it was at the beginning of

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The Future Is Now, Nvidia Shouts

May 24, 2023May 25, 2023

The biggest criticism of 2023’s US equity market is also the simplest: The rally is

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3 Comments on The Future Is Now, Nvidia Shouts

Soooo, Stagflation It Is Then?

May 24, 2023May 25, 2023

The word “recession” came up exactly two times in minutes from the May FOMC meeting

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3 Comments on Soooo, Stagflation It Is Then?

Goldman Sees 30% Commodity Rally After ‘Great De-Stocking’

May 24, 2023

Last week, I talked a bit about commodities as a recession canary or, perhaps more

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The Debt Ceiling Double Paradox

May 24, 2023

The paradox of a US debt ceiling deal is that it could be bad for

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1 Comment on The Debt Ceiling Double Paradox

Albert Edwards Sees Glaring Disconnect Between ‘Hope And Evidence’

May 24, 2023May 25, 2023

Albert Edwards is skeptical of the rally in equities. I think he’d agree that’s not

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2 Comments on Albert Edwards Sees Glaring Disconnect Between ‘Hope And Evidence’

This Was Supposed To Be China’s Year. Alas…

May 24, 2023May 25, 2023

This was supposed to be China’s year. You can probably recite the investment case from

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3 Comments on This Was Supposed To Be China’s Year. Alas…

UK Gets Another ‘Terrible,’ ‘Crushing’ Inflation Report

May 24, 2023May 24, 2023

There was more bad economic news out of the UK on Wednesday, when inflation data

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3 Comments on UK Gets Another ‘Terrible,’ ‘Crushing’ Inflation Report

Mind The Taiwan Canary

May 23, 2023

Late last month, I identified a couple of additional recession “canaries” to complement the yield

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1 Comment on Mind The Taiwan Canary

Greedflation Aside, Corporate Profitability Is Feeling The Squeeze

May 23, 2023May 23, 2023

Given all the media attention afforded to so-called “greedflation” (typically defined by reference to near-record

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Man Who Downgraded America Weighs In On Debt Ceiling Drama

May 23, 2023July 24, 2023

In 2011, Standard & Poor’s famously downgraded US debt for the first time. The man

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New Home Prices Plunge In Still-Distorted US Housing Market

May 23, 2023May 24, 2023

Last week, I spent some time documenting what I called the “great American housing bifurcation.”

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5 Comments on New Home Prices Plunge In Still-Distorted US Housing Market

After The Stop-In: Markets Face New Risks If D.C. Deal Done

May 23, 2023

Needless to say, under-positioned discretionary investor cohorts were in an uncomfortable position this week. On

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5 Comments on After The Stop-In: Markets Face New Risks If D.C. Deal Done

Kolanovic Ups Gold, Cash Allocation As Risks Proliferate

May 23, 2023May 24, 2023

Cash and gold. What’s not to like? Amid a grinding rally which took US equities

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4 Comments on Kolanovic Ups Gold, Cash Allocation As Risks Proliferate

US Services Sector Laughs At Fed Hikes

May 23, 2023May 24, 2023

Surprise! The US services sector is still running hot. If I didn’t know any better,

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1 Comment on US Services Sector Laughs At Fed Hikes

‘Greedflation’ Makes Survey Cameo, Giving ECB ‘A Headache’

May 23, 2023May 23, 2023

Europe’s factory slowdown worsened in May, even as activity in the services sector continued to

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Profit Maximization In A Factless World

May 22, 2023May 23, 2023

As you might’ve heard, there’s no such thing as “facts” anymore. Facts went out of

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