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Author: therealheisenberg

Discretionary Investors Fade Half Of Melt-Up Positioning Increase

August 12, 2023August 14, 2023

For much of 2023, re-leveraging and re-risking was the purview of systematic investor cohorts mechanically

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Behold: A Can’t-Miss Options Strategy Finally Sputters

August 11, 2023

For months (or maybe I should just say for the duration of the summer equity

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1 Comment on Behold: A Can’t-Miss Options Strategy Finally Sputters

0DTE Options Take Over As Volume Share Hits Record

August 11, 2023August 13, 2023

If markets feel choppy to you, it’s not your imagination. And if that chop seems

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4 Comments on 0DTE Options Take Over As Volume Share Hits Record

China, EM Dominate US, DM In 2023 Stock Fund Flow Race

August 11, 2023

I’ve been on at considerable length about the lack of an “all-in” capitulation moment for

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A Good News Story. Literally.

August 11, 2023August 12, 2023

Friday’s update on consumer sentiment was an uneventful affair. Americans’ perceptions of the economy and

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3 Comments on A Good News Story. Literally.

$130 Billion Tidal Wave Puts US Treasurys On Pace For Record Inflow

August 11, 2023September 14, 2023

For an asset issued by a sovereign exhibiting signs of deteriorating governance and running an

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4 Comments on $130 Billion Tidal Wave Puts US Treasurys On Pace For Record Inflow

PPI Overshoots In Disappointing Follow Up To Favorable CPI Report

August 11, 2023August 12, 2023

In a minor blow to the US disinflation narrative, producer prices rose more than expected

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Another Week, Another Record For Money Market Funds

August 10, 2023

Another week, another new record for money market fund assets. Inflows to US money funds

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Cooling Down, Heating Up

August 10, 2023August 11, 2023

As we celebrate the coolest run of US core inflation in more than two years,

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8 Comments on Cooling Down, Heating Up

Is The Fed Done?

August 10, 2023September 14, 2023

The Fed may be done. Indeed, the market suspects the Fed is done. July’s CPI

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3 Comments on Is The Fed Done?

Taking Stock Of Current Melt-Up (And Meltdown) Fuel

August 10, 2023

The inflation event risk cleared on Thursday morning in the US with no issues. Core

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September Fed Hike Unlikely After Second Benign CPI Report

August 10, 2023August 14, 2023

US consumer prices rose in line with expectations last month, according to the most important

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5 Comments on September Fed Hike Unlikely After Second Benign CPI Report

‘Forced Selling’ On The S&P? Here Are The Numbers

August 10, 2023August 11, 2023

In “Waiting For Inflation,” I noted that potential vol control de-leveraging is still a subplot

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1 Comment on ‘Forced Selling’ On The S&P? Here Are The Numbers

Waiting For Inflation

August 9, 2023August 10, 2023

“CPI eve” sessions are notoriously tedious in the 2020s. Monthly inflation reports out of the

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2 Comments on Waiting For Inflation

Sudden Surge In European Natural Gas Spotlights Key Macro Themes

August 9, 2023

If European natural gas is in the news, it’s usually for the wrong reasons. In

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A.I. Meets R-Star

August 9, 2023August 10, 2023

Not everyone’s convinced that generative A.I. is the future. While most analysts and economists readily

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12 Comments on A.I. Meets R-Star

Unlucky Number 7: Mortgage Rates Jump After Fitch Move

August 9, 2023August 10, 2023

Thanks Fitch! US mortgage rates sport a seven-handle again, and you can thank, in part

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4 Comments on Unlucky Number 7: Mortgage Rates Jump After Fitch Move

Xi Has Deflation

August 9, 2023September 14, 2023

Deflation is a taboo topic in China. You’re not supposed to talk about it. Especially

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2 Comments on Xi Has Deflation

More Color From The Most Important Market On Earth

August 8, 2023

It’s possible we’re all overstating the significance of recent events in the US Treasury market.

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The C-Suite Can’t Dodge Higher Interest Costs Forever

August 8, 2023August 9, 2023

What happens to the world’s largest economy when corporations finally start to feel the heat

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1 Comment on The C-Suite Can’t Dodge Higher Interest Costs Forever

When Will Corporate America Feel The Heat From Higher Rates?

August 8, 2023August 8, 2023

Rising rates have been a boon to some US corporates, and I don’t just mean

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Congratulations, America! You Now Have $1 Trillion In Credit Card Debt

August 8, 2023September 14, 2023

Congratulations, America! You now have $1 trillion in credit card debt for the first time

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3 Comments on Congratulations, America! You Now Have $1 Trillion In Credit Card Debt

Bad Banks

August 8, 2023August 9, 2023

Moody’s is concerned about America’s banks. And Italy will be making a withdrawal from its

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Excuses Aside, China’s Economic Gloom Continues To Worsen

August 8, 2023August 9, 2023

There was more disappointing economic news out of China on Tuesday. No one should be

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4 Comments on Excuses Aside, China’s Economic Gloom Continues To Worsen

9 Reasons America’s Largest Bank Still Doubts The Rally

August 7, 2023

It’s been a tough year for anyone determined to stick with a bearish call on

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Is The A.I. Bubble In Its ‘Later Innings’?

August 7, 2023September 14, 2023

There’s palpable tension in Wall Street research when it comes to discussions around 2023’s A.I.

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11 Comments on Is The A.I. Bubble In Its ‘Later Innings’?

Americans’ Revolving Credit Falls First Time In 25 Months

August 7, 2023August 8, 2023

Last month, I asked if the US consumer was “finally exhausted.” I was editorializing around

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1 Comment on Americans’ Revolving Credit Falls First Time In 25 Months

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