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Author: therealheisenberg

Roses Are Red

October 18, 2023November 5, 2023

“When you give roses to others, the fragrance lingers on your hand.” So said Xi

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1 Comment on Roses Are Red

Housing Starts Tick Up, Mortgage Apps At 28-Year Low Amid Rate Surge

October 18, 2023October 19, 2023

US housing starts missed estimates for September in data released on Wednesday, even as they

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1 Comment on Housing Starts Tick Up, Mortgage Apps At 28-Year Low Amid Rate Surge

Inflation Data Offers No Clarity For Befuddled Bank Of England

October 18, 2023October 18, 2023

Unless you’re a Bank of England policymaker, inflation data out of the UK wasn’t on

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Gaza Hospital Disaster Raises Odds Of Mideast Worst-Case

October 17, 2023October 18, 2023

“The shreds of the bodies have overlapped.” That’s a quote from a doctor at Al

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13 Comments on Gaza Hospital Disaster Raises Odds Of Mideast Worst-Case

Bond Fireworks: Largest Treasury ETF Now More Volatile Than Stocks

October 17, 2023

Anyone hoping for a reprieve from the “penny stock“-esque, rollercoaster price action that’s come to

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2 Comments on Bond Fireworks: Largest Treasury ETF Now More Volatile Than Stocks

Who’ll Buy Equities In 2024?

October 17, 2023October 17, 2023

Market participants are understandably concerned about what many argue is a burgeoning supply/demand imbalance in

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1 Comment on Who’ll Buy Equities In 2024?

Frustration Grows As Americans Need $115K Salary To Afford Homes

October 17, 2023October 18, 2023

The highest mortgage rates in decades continued to weigh on US builder sentiment in October,

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15 Comments on Frustration Grows As Americans Need $115K Salary To Afford Homes

D-Sol Scratches Up Mixed Results As Goldman Tries To Placate Critics

October 17, 2023November 5, 2023

Last quarter, the question at (or at least for) Goldman was: Is this as bad

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Americans Refuse To Stop Spending

October 17, 2023October 18, 2023

The US consumer is unbowed, undaunted and unperturbed, a closely-watched update on nominal spending across

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2 Comments on Americans Refuse To Stop Spending

Bank Of America Is Doing Fine

October 17, 2023October 17, 2023

The US economy is “healthy but slowing,” Brian Moynihan said Tuesday, while unveiling a set

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2 Comments on Bank Of America Is Doing Fine

Kolanovic, JPMorgan Add Bonds, Gold Amid Familiar Risks

October 16, 2023

Different month, same risks. That was the overarching message from JPMorgan analysts led by Marko

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1 Comment on Kolanovic, JPMorgan Add Bonds, Gold Amid Familiar Risks

Are We There Yet? (No)

October 16, 2023October 17, 2023

On Monday, while perusing the sparse menu of non-geopolitical articles on offer across the mainstream

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Read The Paper

October 16, 2023October 17, 2023

A long time ago, in a galaxy far, far away, there were physical newspapers. I’m

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6 Comments on Read The Paper

Treasury Market Struggles With Unfamiliar Dynamic: Buyers Who Care About Price

October 16, 2023October 16, 2023

There’s a lot of focus on Treasury supply right now, and that’s an understatement. Last

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Where To Now For The Chinese Economy?

October 16, 2023October 17, 2023

I don’t know what to make of the Chinese economy these days, which puts me

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2 Comments on Where To Now For The Chinese Economy?

A Spread Worth Watching?

October 16, 2023

Who you gonna believe, gas prices or the labor market? Last week, the preliminary read

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1 Comment on A Spread Worth Watching?

Mike Wilson Says Bah Humbug To Santa Rally

October 16, 2023November 5, 2023

Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson isn’t convinced US equities are poised for a “Santa rally.” Wilson

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6 Comments on Mike Wilson Says Bah Humbug To Santa Rally

Are Markets Overestimating Right-Tail Risk?

October 15, 2023

It’s been all right-tail and no left- in recent weeks, according to option-implied, three-month ahead

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2 Comments on Are Markets Overestimating Right-Tail Risk?

Sell Cash, Buy Bonds?

October 15, 2023October 16, 2023

Who’s going to buy all the bonds?! Shrieked the audience. Although there’s still no firm

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2 Comments on Sell Cash, Buy Bonds?

Line Of Fed Speakers, Key Data In Focus As War Drums Beat

October 15, 2023November 5, 2023

Investors will get an update on consumer spending across the world’s largest economy this week,

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Tough Love

October 14, 2023October 16, 2023

Price discovery is a helluva thing. It’s also a normal thing. Or at least it

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7 Comments on Tough Love

Another Damned Holy War

October 14, 2023October 16, 2023

“It’s important, I think, that we all condemn the targeting of civilians in any form

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20 Comments on Another Damned Holy War

US Equity Funds Return To Outflows But Bullish Sentiment Jumps

October 13, 2023October 13, 2023

US equity-focused ETFs and mutual funds returned to outflows over the latest weekly reporting period.

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3 Comments on US Equity Funds Return To Outflows But Bullish Sentiment Jumps

Bonds In Limbo After Historic Crash

October 13, 2023October 15, 2023

A few days ago, I made the passing observation that if Fed officials are inclined

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3 Comments on Bonds In Limbo After Historic Crash

Bonds May Offer ‘Stock-Like’ Returns In 2024

October 13, 2023

Did you hear? Bonds could be set to offer “equity-like” returns in 2024. I’m serious.

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1 Comment on Bonds May Offer ‘Stock-Like’ Returns In 2024

Dimon’s ‘Dangerous World’ Warning Is Caveat To Solid JPMorgan Results

October 13, 2023November 5, 2023

“This may be the most dangerous time the world has seen in decades,” Jamie Dimon

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6 Comments on Dimon’s ‘Dangerous World’ Warning Is Caveat To Solid JPMorgan Results

Consumer Sentiment Darkens As Inflation Concerns Return

October 13, 2023October 14, 2023

US consumer sentiment deteriorated considerably in early October. The preliminary read on the University of

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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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