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Author: therealheisenberg

In Gaza, Chaos

October 13, 2023October 14, 2023

Bad to worse. With more to come. Israel on Friday told 1.1 million people to

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29 Comments on In Gaza, Chaos

Money Fund Assets Remain Near Record. RRP Hits New Two-Year Low

October 12, 2023October 12, 2023

Money market funds assets remained near record highs in excess of $5.71 trillion in the

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A Quick Guide To Q3 Earnings Season

October 12, 2023

Earnings season kicks off in the US on Friday. Perhaps you heard. Most readers hopefully

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Bond Bear Roars Back

October 12, 2023October 13, 2023

Equities may be inclined to sustain a rebound from their late-summer swoon, and the odds

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1 Comment on Bond Bear Roars Back

Stocks Shrug At Warm Inflation Readings, But Unstable Bonds Pose Threat

October 12, 2023October 13, 2023

You could argue that stocks should’ve been meaningfully lower on the back of a warm

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Unknowable Consequences

October 12, 2023October 13, 2023

Should markets care about the Gaza Strip? I don’t know. Should anybody? The answer to

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8 Comments on Unknowable Consequences

CPI Refuses To Sound The All-Clear

October 12, 2023November 5, 2023

US consumer prices rose more than anticipated in September, data out Thursday showed. At 0.4%,

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1 Comment on CPI Refuses To Sound The All-Clear

Hawkish Or Cautious? Fed Minutes Suggest Both

October 11, 2023October 12, 2023

Several Fed officials were keen last month to shift the discussion around the policy rate

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Five Steps To A Santa Rally On Wall Street

October 11, 2023October 12, 2023

It all hinges on the evolution of the data, of course, but absent an inflation

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Two Mideast War Scenarios

October 11, 2023October 11, 2023

“An Israel-Hamas war would be tragic, but the impact on the global economy and markets

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2 Comments on Two Mideast War Scenarios

‘Highly Probable Fed Hikes Are Complete’: McElligott

October 11, 2023October 11, 2023

Have we seen the turning point for bonds? I hope so. I like being right

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Can Israel ‘Win’ A Ground War In Gaza?

October 11, 2023November 5, 2023

The death toll in Israel from the October 7 Hamas attacks rose to 1,200 on

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16 Comments on Can Israel ‘Win’ A Ground War In Gaza?

Warm Producer Prices Overshadowed By Fedspeak, CPI, Mideast

October 11, 2023October 12, 2023

In an inauspicious development, US producer prices rose more than expected in September, data released

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A False Dawn For Bond Bulls?

October 10, 2023October 11, 2023

Market commentary is hopelessly trifling — where that means entirely insignificant — in the presence

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Broken Records

October 10, 2023October 11, 2023

All’s not well under the surface of what, notwithstanding a late-summer setback, remains an optically

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1 Comment on Broken Records

Fear The Wall

October 10, 2023

Everybody has a maturity wall, it’s just a matter of how far out it is.

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‘Lost Decade’ Risk Remains For 60/40 Portfolios: Goldman

October 10, 2023October 11, 2023

The outlook remains challenging for 60/40 portfolios. That was the message from Goldman’s Christian Mueller-Glissmann,

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2 Comments on ‘Lost Decade’ Risk Remains For 60/40 Portfolios: Goldman

‘Not Tit For Tat’

October 10, 2023October 11, 2023

“This is not tit for tat.” That was the message (or one message anyway) from

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17 Comments on ‘Not Tit For Tat’

Technically Speaking

October 9, 2023

If you’re looking to explain recent weakness in equities, you don’t have to look very

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1 Comment on Technically Speaking

In Israel-Hamas War, World Gets Third Shock In Three Years

October 9, 2023November 5, 2023

Benjamin Netanyahu on Monday said Israel will “change the Middle East” in the course of

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14 Comments on In Israel-Hamas War, World Gets Third Shock In Three Years

Bond Rally May Not Rescue Stocks, JPMorgan Warns

October 9, 2023October 10, 2023

The “time is coming to position for the long duration trade.” So said JPMorgan analysts

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Much Ado About Price Discovery

October 9, 2023October 10, 2023

I chafe, instinctually, at the idea that the US government is “running out of room”

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3 Comments on Much Ado About Price Discovery

‘No Electricity, No Food, No Water’

October 9, 2023October 10, 2023

“No electricity, no food, no water, no fuel.” That’s the situation facing Gazans. The quote

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17 Comments on ‘No Electricity, No Food, No Water’

‘An Orderly Clearing Of Markets’: Goldman On The Bond Selloff

October 8, 2023October 8, 2023

Odds may now favor a “sharp reversal” in US long-end yields. That’s according to Goldman,

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2 Comments on ‘An Orderly Clearing Of Markets’: Goldman On The Bond Selloff

More War

October 8, 2023October 11, 2023

All eyes will be on Israel this week. Concerns of a wider regional conflagration were

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9 Comments on More War

US Inflation Update In Focus After Jobs Blowout

October 8, 2023October 9, 2023

News reels around the world will be dominated by war coverage this week as Israel

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The New ‘Fight The Fed’ Trade

October 7, 2023October 9, 2023

What if they had a selloff and nobody sold? That seems like a bizarre proposition,

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3 Comments on The New ‘Fight The Fed’ Trade

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