Earnings season is here, believe it or not, and given the pervasive macro ambiguity weighing
Author: therealheisenberg
US Equity Flows, Sentiment Cautious Amid Macro Ambiguity
US equity-focused ETFs and mutual funds notched another week of inflows with a modest $3.9
Fed Torched By US Jobs Scorcher
The US economy added 336,000 jobs last month, the most anticipated labor market report of
Crumbs For Doves
My guess would be September’s US labor market report, released on Friday, will be remembered
The ‘Ultimate Fear’
The “view” from where BofA’s Michael Hartnett is sitting goes something like this. “Still bearish risk
Money Market Funds See Massive Inflow. Assets Hit $5.71 Trillion
Money market funds took in a massive $64 billion in the week to October 4,
Barbarians At The Gaetz
To let some (most?) Republicans tell it, Americans stay up at night fretting over the
‘Penny Stock’ Bond Market Needs ‘Time Out’
There’s a lot of focus right now on bonds, but also on bond volatility, and
Stock Correction Saw $50 Billion In Mechanical Selling
The impact of systematic flows — and particularly systematic selling — on equities is a
Disinversion By Bear?
The key question on the heels of this summer’s dramatic escalation in what’s now the
Treasurys’ Titanic Losses Make History
If you don’t like to talk about bonds, you’re at wits’ end by now. The
Jobless Claims Unmoved In Vexingly Resilient US Labor Market
Not surprisingly, US jobless claims remained stuck near the lowest levels of the year in
Bond Vigilantes May Be Wearing Out Welcome
It wasn’t so long ago when everybody who’s anybody feigned nostalgia for a time when
The Only Thing To Fear Is Missing Out
Ours is a market “conditioned to fear rallies more than selloffs and comfortably numb to
New Orders Slide In Potential Canary For US Services Sector
A crucial update on activity in the mighty US services sector was broadly in line
Vol-Selling, Mechanical De-Leveraging And What’s Next For Stocks
The muscle memory that says you sell vol on any meaningful expansion and/or setback for
Private Sector Hiring Downshifts Sharply As Bond Bulls Look For Reprieve
If hemorrhaging bond bulls were praying for a downside miss from any of this week’s
America’s Historic Bond Bear Bleeds Into Global Markets
Oh, the humanity. 30-year US Treasury yields briefly breached 5% on Wednesday before pulling back.
‘Bring It,’ He Said
“Bring it,” he said. “I’ll survive,” he said. “He” was Kevin McCarthy, “it” was a
Breaking Point
I’ve hinted multiple times over the past several weeks at a possible breaking point for
What Explains The Low VIX/MOVE Ratio?
The tale of falling corporate interest payments in an environment of sharply higher rates is
Bond Rout Turns Vicious As Bear Steepener Extends
“Duration simply has no friends until the US data rolls over,” Nomura’s Charlie McElligott said
Rates And Stocks From The Rooftops
Rising rates are a problem for richly-valued equities. Did you hear? If not, just step
Immaculate Disinflation Narrative Gets Unwelcome Jolt
In a somewhat disconcerting development for a Fed praying about “immaculate disinflation,” job openings across
What If Mega-Cap Tech Stocks Are Actually Cheap?
What if mega-cap US tech stocks are actually cheap? The hell you say! No, seriously.
One Bull, One Bear
Two weeks ago, BofA’s Savita Subramanian lifted the bank’s year-end target for the S&P to 4,600. The
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