Charlie McElligott’s Unified Theory Of Everything
If you’re wondering why the risk-asset rally feels inexorable on most days — why the
If you’re wondering why the risk-asset rally feels inexorable on most days — why the
Skew is dead, long live skew. For the better part of two months, Nomura’s Charlie
The standard, boilerplate copy on days when weakness across equities reverses during the cash session
Stability breeds instability. All you need is the proverbial skier’s scream for an avalanche. By
Over the past week (maybe two), Nomura’s Charlie McElligott has been keen to emphasize that
“Little did you know I meant MINUTES not months”, Nomura’s Charlie McElligott quipped on Friday,
If you harbor some “misgivings” about US equities, which have run more than 45% from
Earlier this week, in “Control“, I described the moribund action in US rates. If (when)
“The entire professional investor universe is, in my mind, basically a momentum trader themselves”.
“…a meaningfully larger drop-off”.
“This is obviously what the market is debating right now in real-time”.
“…we would need to see an unprecedented marriage where both monetary and fiscal policy align in a magnitude not previously experienced”.
Also, there’s vaccine euphoria in the air.
These are modern markets. You must learn to speak the language.
“Peak calamity”. Now what?
Stability breeds instability.
Once we get beyond the virus, we’ll be back pondering the same, familiar dynamics.
“As a contrarian, consensual group-think views into the year-ahead are often exaggerated”.
“Short-term ‘contrarian’ positioning signals be damned”.
Daisy chains, knock-ons and seasonals amid the macro melee.
“In less than 48 hours, many major markets lost ~5%”…
“The TRILLION DOLLAR QUESTION today is this”…
“The pieces were already aligning”.
“The QE-trade is back in a major way.”
“The Fed HAS TO be conscientious.”
“There’s not a lot to debate here”.
Obviously, the macro narrative is a train wreck, but…
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