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The Whites Of Their Eyes.

It's a war now.

Once again, trade tensions were front and center for markets, although on Tuesday, risk sentiment improved a bit compared to what was a truly rough start to the week on Monday.

U.S. equities rebounded and the Russell and Nasdaq outperformed, but the bottom line is that nobody knows what’s going on. Just ask CNBC, a network that knows something about what it means to not know anything:

Making.png

If it wasn’t a trade “war” before, it damn sure is now. This afternoon, reports suggested Canada is all set to implement quotas and tariffs designed to protect the country from dumping that might accompany efforts to send steel that would have otherwise gone to the U.S. to other markets. That’s an example of the dominos starting to fall and as Bloomberg notes, “any additional tariffs enacted on foreign steel will have a ripple effect on the Canadian economy and raise costs in the already-crunched housing sector.”

Stelco jumped on the news:

Stelco

Crude soared on renewed concerns about Iran (more here):

WTI

The dollar was higher on the day despite crude’s rally:

DXY

Gold is hapless – six-month low (sorry doomsday crowd!):

Gold

Here are some lines for the line fans:

Gold2

Financials are riding their longest losing streak in history, with the index falling for a 12th consecutive day on Tuesday before trimming losses.

Financials

And while there are obviously concerns about the flattening curve, maybe don’t get too ahead of yourself. The relative performance of the bank index is actually negatively correlated with the 2s10s:

European banks are on the verge of falling into a bear market:

Stoxx600Banks

Emerging market equities are sitting at their lowest levels since August and are down more than 16% from their January highs:

MSCIEM

The Shanghai Composite officially fell into a bear market on Tuesday as trade frictions exacerbate concerns about a decelerating economy:

SHCOMP

Worst month for the index since January 2016:

SHCOMPM

Finally, for your moment of zen, “the moron doth protest too much, methinks“, because these are both lies – the wall is literally just 8 prototypes gathering dust in the desert

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1 comment on “The Whites Of Their Eyes.

  1. Anonymous

    What amazes and frightens me is how this administration can just make shit up. I mean completely pull things out of their asses and how many people just… go along with it. They don’t question it, they accept literally whatever these guys come up with, so long as it sounds good and plays to their egos.

    What happens if there is an economic slowdown? Will they just start making up GDP and employment numbers?

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