“All Bets Are Off”
Below, find two highly amusing messages from readers who apparently did not appreciate the line of reasoning I adopted in "Don’t Be A Monkey: Changing The Meaning Of 'Actionable' Research," a popular post from earlier this week.
You can't see it - that's how it's a black swan. If you can see it even a tiny bit, sorry to burst your little bubble - it's not a black swan. You ONLY see black swans AFTER the event.There's no real conclusions to draw here other than weird stuff happens and it mig