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Featured

Yeah, But Can It Draw A LEGO?

September 22, 2026
  • WTF: Buyer’s Market, Higher Prices?

    September 22, 2026
  • ‘Do I Annihilate Iran, Drive Them Into Hell?’ Nobel Hopeful Asks

    September 22, 2026
  • ‘Let The Oil Flow!’ Again!

    September 22, 2026September 22, 2026

Markets

There’s A Lot Riding On The Chips…

September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • Erstwhile Bear Confident In Year-End Stock Rally

    September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • Wall Street’s Fata Morgana Risk

    September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • What Happens To Stocks If Treasury Yields Go To 6%?

    September 20, 2026September 21, 2026
  • ‘The House’ Humiliated As Yen Plunges

    September 18, 2026September 20, 2026

economy

The Fed’s Never Been This Sure About The Jobs Market

September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • Weekly: The Counterfactual

    September 18, 2026September 20, 2026
  • A Mixed Read On A Grim Housing Market

    September 17, 2026September 19, 2026
  • Below 200k. Again.

    September 17, 2026September 18, 2026
  • Warsh Fed Hikes, Thank God

    September 16, 2026September 17, 2026

Geopolitics

A King In Washington

September 20, 2026September 21, 2026

Achtung Baby

September 20, 2026September 21, 2026

The ‘Real-World’ Energy Shock’s Finally Here

September 19, 2026September 21, 2026

Duly Noted

Who’s Coming To Nashville?

September 19, 2026September 20, 2026

Builder Sentiment Crumbles As US Mortgage Rates Soar

September 16, 2026September 17, 2026

Hot US Services Sector Unexpectedly Cools

December 4, 2024December 5, 2024

US services sector activity cooled off in November if you can believe it. The engine

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US Private Hiring Steady, Pay Growth Firms

December 4, 2024December 4, 2024

US private sector employers added 146,000 jobs on net last month, ADP said Wednesday, as

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1 Comment on US Private Hiring Steady, Pay Growth Firms

Leverage!

December 3, 2024December 3, 2024

lev·er·age noun Why the vast majority of my drinks were free in the four-year period

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3 Comments on Leverage!

Coming Soon To A Democracy Near You…

December 3, 2024December 4, 2024

Things took a decisive turn for the “Goddammit, really?!” in South Korea on Tuesday evening,

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24 Comments on Coming Soon To A Democracy Near You…

Quits Jump In Messy US Job Openings Release

December 3, 2024December 4, 2024

US job openings rose more than expected and quits increased in the second of several

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Be Careful Gao!

December 3, 2024December 4, 2024

Be careful Gao, they’ll kill you! I’m just kidding. Only not. If you’re a Chinese

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3 Comments on Be Careful Gao!

Big Bubbles And ‘Unrealistic Outcomes’

December 2, 2024

If your aim is to suggest US equities — which notched more new record highs

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3 Comments on Big Bubbles And ‘Unrealistic Outcomes’

Santa Melt-Up?

December 2, 2024December 4, 2024

If you’re curious, or I guess I should say on the off chance you harbored

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US Factory Recession Eases

December 2, 2024December 3, 2024

Could’ve been worse. That, in a nutshell, was the takeaway from Monday’s update on the

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New Record Low For China Bond Yields Underscores Myriad Risks

December 2, 2024December 3, 2024

Don’t look now, but yields on benchmark Chinese government bonds are below 2%. Or were

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Budget Blackmail

December 2, 2024December 3, 2024

Even if the current French government doesn’t collapse this week, Michel Barnier’s brush with a

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1 Comment on Budget Blackmail

Going Back To Aleppo

December 1, 2024December 2, 2024

The last time the Syrian opposition controlled Aleppo, I was holed up in a backup

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9 Comments on Going Back To Aleppo

Jobs Week Ahoy

December 1, 2024December 2, 2024

US traders will return to their terminals after what, for most, was a four-day weekend,

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To The Victor Goes The Spoils System

November 30, 2024December 2, 2024

Let’s not kid ourselves: Donald Trump would like nothing more than to preside over the

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12 Comments on To The Victor Goes The Spoils System

Inflows To US Stocks Shatter More Records

November 29, 2024November 29, 2024

They were still buying US stocks over the last several days. If you were curious

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Bonds, Bessent And Buffoons

November 29, 2024December 2, 2024

Thank Scott Bessent. Or, if you’re a junior journo condemned to writing market wraps nobody’s

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17 Comments on Bonds, Bessent And Buffoons

Do Your Own Research

November 29, 2024December 1, 2024

I’ve said this probably more times than I need to by now, but I’ll say

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4 Comments on Do Your Own Research

Europe Grapples With Stagflation-Lite. Trump To Eye Weak Currency

November 29, 2024December 1, 2024

Headline inflation’s back above target in Europe, but don’t worry, the ECB will probably cut

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2 Comments on Europe Grapples With Stagflation-Lite. Trump To Eye Weak Currency

Meanwhile, In France…

November 28, 2024November 30, 2024

I hesitate to dedicate scarce editorial resources to France’s budget drama, not because it isn’t

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6 Comments on Meanwhile, In France…

Just Two More Months

November 28, 2024November 29, 2024

“Don’t worry about it. You get paid in rubles, not dollars.” That was Dmitry Peskov’s

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12 Comments on Just Two More Months

On The Housing Rollercoaster

November 27, 2024November 29, 2024

Rejoice, renters! Financing costs for what one reader aptly described as hopelessly nondescript “people self-storage

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4 Comments on On The Housing Rollercoaster

US Core Inflation Warmest In Months As Tariffs Loom

November 27, 2024November 29, 2024

Nominal spending was sturdy, inflation-adjusted spending less so, and core inflation was warm last month,

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Trump’s Inheritance

November 27, 2024November 28, 2024

The second estimate of Q3 US GDP, released on Wednesday, painted a similar picture to

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6 Comments on Trump’s Inheritance

Stocks Aren’t Out Of Melt-Up Fuel Yet

November 26, 2024November 26, 2024

With all the talk of record (or near record) inflows to US equity funds, and

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3 Comments on Stocks Aren’t Out Of Melt-Up Fuel Yet

Destination Unknown

November 26, 2024November 28, 2024

The Fed’s on a road to somewhere, they just don’t know where. That was one

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2 Comments on Destination Unknown

Wishful Thinking

November 26, 2024November 27, 2024

Way back last month, consumer confidence in the US soared the most since “stimmy” was

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12 Comments on Wishful Thinking

New Home Sales Plunge, Prices Rise In Still-Distorted US Housing

November 26, 2024November 27, 2024

Sales of newly constructed US homes fell sharply in October, when the South was recovering

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1 Comment on New Home Sales Plunge, Prices Rise In Still-Distorted US Housing

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

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Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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