In Brazen Move, Europe, Russia, China Establish SPV To Circumvent Trump’s Iran Sanctions
“The question is whether this will work.”
“The question is whether this will work.”
The tide is going out.
“We would move to quash the subpoena.”
Lost in the shuffle, but not for long.
But don’t hold your breath for regime change.
Turning the screws.
“At their core, most macro models are central banking models and macro managers are carry investors. They willingly tied themselves to success in predicting bank actions, and in so doing had a wonderful stretch of good returns and low correlations with stocks.”
“In a word, honest bond yields will knock the stuffings out of the mainstream fairy tale that passes for economic and financial reality.”
“Indeed, the Donald’s impending attack on the purported sacred ‘independence’ of the Fed is the Orange Swan that looms over the casino.”
“What if I told you that you’ve been whipsawed by a cartoon, and you’re going to be whipsawed again?”
“And you would think that this might be bullish for bonds, but no, far from it. A Central Bank that is not willing to invert the curve and take the economic hit from forcing a recession is a bond investor’s nightmare. After all, apart from default, inflation is the absolute worse thing out there.”
“Let me describe to you where I think Jerome Powell is right now as he takes the reins at the Fed. I would liken Powell to General George Custer before the Battle of the Little Bighorn, looking down at an array of menacing warriors.”
“Cadet Bone Spurs.”
“That’s right. The taxpayers and future generations be damned. Apparently, it doesn’t matter how many small businesses, farmers and entrepreneurs get elbowed out of the capital markets by Uncle Sam’s $1 trillion per year borrowing spree: Mitchels & Chuckles intend to keep the Washington Monument open and the Imperial City’s 3.7 million employees paid in full come hell or high water.”
“Why should we pay good money to buy put options as a hedge on our portfolio when the Fed will give us a put option for free? I think this is the most far-reaching and transformative effect of the extraordinary central bank policies of the past eight years — we are no longer afraid of things that go bump in the night.”
“In some cases this might make sense (for bitcoin, the total supply is not yet mined and won’t be for a long time so it is truly not accessible), but for almost all other cryptoassets this view is simply misleading.”
“For any ideology the gradient between the present and the future has always had to be positive.”
“We forgot to correct for the hyper-inflation.”
To be sure, it’s impossible to know when something like this will finally succumb to reality, but these kinds of things are vulnerable to crises of confidence and in the absence of any kind of fundamental thesis to fall back on, it won’t be immediately clear where the “bottom” is when Wile E. Coyote finally looks down.
Holiday road.
“An understanding of the physical nature of Bitcoin allows us to revisit our previous analysis of the physical characteristics of precious metals, comparing and contrasting them with cryptocurrencies.”
But what you probably don’t stop and consider is the possibility that you too are a racist.
“I can already hear the guffaws from all my hard money readers. The last thing the government needs to do is spend more money is what they will say. We need to save more, spend less, and tighten our belts. Well, that has been tried.”
“Would those analysts accept the widespread U.S. narrative that Vlad’s program had zero impact on the U.S. vote?”
“Lehman was not a Black Swan. I worked there for seven years and we spent most of them imagining the firm abruptly failing.”
“The important thing is not to pre-commit and keep it very gradual.”
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