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Featured

Weekly: Melodrama

November 7, 2026November 7, 2026
  • ‘Dem Fatale’ Crashes The AI Party

    November 6, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Inflation Fatalism Has Set In

    November 6, 2026
  • Drunken Monkey Darts

    November 6, 2026November 6, 2026

Markets

On Wall Street: Crash And F’in’ Burn

November 5, 2026November 7, 2026
  • Did Democrats Just Kill ‘New 60/40’?

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Um, Excuse Me, But Your Chips Are Bleeding

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Deus Ex Machina?

    November 4, 2026November 5, 2026
  • The Capex Catch-22

    November 3, 2026November 4, 2026

economy

‘Tis The Season! For Temporary Fulfillment Jobs

November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Senseless Iran War Triggers BoE Hike, 5% Inflation Warning

    November 5, 2026November 5, 2026
  • Irrepressible

    November 4, 2026November 5, 2026
  • In Other News: Scorching ‘Job Changer’ Pay Gains, AI Disruption

    November 4, 2026November 5, 2026
  • Someone’s Got Work For You

    November 3, 2026November 4, 2026

Geopolitics

Tsunami

November 4, 2026November 5, 2026

Let’s Talk Blue Waves

November 1, 2026November 2, 2026

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

Duly Noted

US Jobless Claims Chase History

November 5, 2026November 7, 2026

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 30, 2026

Jeff Bezos And The Problem With The Child As Customer

September 15, 2018October 17, 2021

“We’ll use the same set of principles that has driven Amazon. Most important among those will be genuine, intense customer obsession. The child will be the customer.”

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‘Asked If He Was Concerned, He Said No’: Trump To Deep-Six China Trade Talks Before The Even Start

September 14, 2018October 17, 2021

No end in sight.

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Paul Manafort Agrees To Cooperate With Government, Forfeits Assets Worth Enough To Cover Cost Of Mueller Probe

September 14, 2018September 15, 2018

“He refused to ‘break’ – make up stories in order to get a ‘deal.'”

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5 Comments on Paul Manafort Agrees To Cooperate With Government, Forfeits Assets Worth Enough To Cover Cost Of Mueller Probe

‘Worry When The Curve Steepens’, Nomura’s McElligott Warns

September 14, 2018September 14, 2018

“What do prior cycles show us about market anticipation of the ‘flip’ to ‘steepening’ after the Fed’s last cut?”

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Goldman Asked Carmen Reinhart If We Should Prepare For Debt Crises In Developed Markets. Here’s What She Said…

September 14, 2018October 17, 2021

“And in the case of the US, low rates seem to assume unending demand for US Treasuries given the US dollar’s role as the global reserve currency.”

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Out Of The Woods? At The Crossroads Of An Emerging Market Crisis

September 14, 2018September 14, 2018

After a pivotal week, where to?

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Russia Hikes Rates For First Time Since 2014 Amid EM Angst, Sanctions Jitters

September 14, 2018September 14, 2018

Surprise!

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Will Someone Get Larry Kudlow On TV So He Can Explain This Ballooning Deficit?!

September 13, 2018October 17, 2021

“The deficit is coming down and it’s coming down rapidly.”

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3 Comments on Will Someone Get Larry Kudlow On TV So He Can Explain This Ballooning Deficit?!

A Decade Later, ‘The Coast Is Not Clear’, One Bank Warns

September 13, 2018September 15, 2018

“Currently, there is a ‘celebration’ that a decade has passed and that the world has overcome the fallout from the crisis.”

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10 Years After Lehman: Hubris

September 13, 2018October 17, 2021

Pride and fall.

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Trump Claims Puerto Rico Death Toll Is A Democrat Hoax, Says Some People Died Of ‘Old Age’

September 13, 2018October 17, 2021

“3000 people did not die in the two hurricanes that hit Puerto Rico.”

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3 Comments on Trump Claims Puerto Rico Death Toll Is A Democrat Hoax, Says Some People Died Of ‘Old Age’

Trump Calls Jamie Dimon A ‘Nervous Mess’ Who ‘Lacks Smarts’

September 13, 2018October 17, 2021

“Your move, Jamie.’

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Inflation Cools Off, Pushing Real Wage Growth Back Into Positive Territory

September 13, 2018September 13, 2018

This could help allay some fears.

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Turkey Delivers Sizable Rate Hike Hours After Erdogan Calls For Rate Cut

September 13, 2018October 17, 2021

“If you are saying the opposite, you don’t know this business.”

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ECB Sticks With ‘At Least Through Summer 2019’ Rates Guidance

September 13, 2018September 13, 2018

It’s all fun and games unless Italy blows up the budget.

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1 Comment on ECB Sticks With ‘At Least Through Summer 2019’ Rates Guidance

These Four Charts Illustrate American Exceptionalism In 2018

September 12, 2018

Somehow, this will resolve itself.

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3 Comments on These Four Charts Illustrate American Exceptionalism In 2018

Erectile Alchemy And Bubble Addiction

September 12, 2018September 13, 2018

“However, despite their repeated failures, we still seem to be unable to shake off our bubble addiction.”

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Who’s Your ‘Daddy’? Jamie Dimon Says He’s ‘Smarter Than’ Trump, Could Beat Him In 2020

September 12, 2018October 17, 2021

“And by the way, this wealthy New Yorker actually earned his money. It wasn’t a gift from Daddy.”

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3 Comments on Who’s Your ‘Daddy’? Jamie Dimon Says He’s ‘Smarter Than’ Trump, Could Beat Him In 2020

‘A Lot Of People Hate The President’: GOP Worries Trump’s Personality Overshadows Economic Gains

September 12, 2018September 12, 2018

“If you figure out a way to subtract from that equation how they feel about the president, the numbers go up dramatically.”

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Steve Mnuchin Invites China To Strike Another Trade ‘Truce’ So Trump Can Shoot It Down

September 12, 2018October 17, 2021

Don’t hold your breath.

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1 Comment on Steve Mnuchin Invites China To Strike Another Trade ‘Truce’ So Trump Can Shoot It Down

Turkey’s Sovereign Wealth Fund Needs Bold New Leadership And Erdogan Knows Just The Man For The Job…

September 12, 2018October 17, 2021

Guess who…

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1 Comment on Turkey’s Sovereign Wealth Fund Needs Bold New Leadership And Erdogan Knows Just The Man For The Job…

This Hasn’t Happened To Asian Stocks In 16 Years – So Is It Time To Buy?

September 12, 2018

More falling knives.

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Trader Breaks Down ‘The Monster Eurodollar Option Trade’

September 11, 2018November 13, 2018

“Will these most likely be dust? Sure. But that doesn’t mean they aren’t buys down here.”

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1 Comment on Trader Breaks Down ‘The Monster Eurodollar Option Trade’

Gundlach Slams U.S. Fiscal Policy In ‘Miracle Grow’ Webcast, Talks ‘Monumental’ UST Short Squeeze

September 11, 2018September 12, 2018

“What could get you there is a monumental short squeeze.”

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Goldman Thinks This Is Pretty Simple: ‘More Growth, More Tariffs, More Fed Hikes’

September 11, 2018October 17, 2021

This is the story and folks are sticking to it.

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Give Small-Business Owners False Hope Again!

September 11, 2018September 11, 2018

Unfortunately, the old “what could go wrong?” meme applies here.

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The Mirage.

September 11, 2018

So that’s a rather odd juxtaposition, isn’t it?

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Monthly Letter

  • The Arbitrageur

Recent Comments

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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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