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Featured

Weekly: Melodrama

November 7, 2026November 7, 2026
  • ‘Dem Fatale’ Crashes The AI Party

    November 6, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Inflation Fatalism Has Set In

    November 6, 2026
  • Drunken Monkey Darts

    November 6, 2026November 6, 2026

Markets

On Wall Street: Crash And F’in’ Burn

November 5, 2026November 7, 2026
  • Did Democrats Just Kill ‘New 60/40’?

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Um, Excuse Me, But Your Chips Are Bleeding

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Deus Ex Machina?

    November 4, 2026November 5, 2026
  • The Capex Catch-22

    November 3, 2026November 4, 2026

economy

US Jobless Claims Chase History

November 5, 2026November 5, 2026
  • ‘Tis The Season! For Temporary Fulfillment Jobs

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Senseless Iran War Triggers BoE Hike, 5% Inflation Warning

    November 5, 2026November 5, 2026
  • Irrepressible

    November 4, 2026November 5, 2026
  • In Other News: Scorching ‘Job Changer’ Pay Gains, AI Disruption

    November 4, 2026November 5, 2026

Geopolitics

Tsunami

November 4, 2026November 5, 2026

Let’s Talk Blue Waves

November 1, 2026November 2, 2026

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

Duly Noted

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 30, 2026

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

Trump-O-Nomics, Italian Style

May 20, 2019May 20, 2019

“What I care about is a Trump-like revolution.”

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Semi Rout At Risk Of Morphing Into Bloodbath As Huawei Reality Sets In

May 20, 2019May 20, 2019

As usual, the market will be forced to deliver the bad news.

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An Awkward Combination.

May 20, 2019

To the extent there are any good vibes, they aren’t likely to last.

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1 Comment on An Awkward Combination.

Anti-Money Laundering Experts, Computers Flagged Trump, Kushner Transactions At Deutsche Bank, Says Dot-Connecting NYT

May 19, 2019November 6, 2021

Do these “dots” connect or don’t they?

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4 Comments on Anti-Money Laundering Experts, Computers Flagged Trump, Kushner Transactions At Deutsche Bank, Says Dot-Connecting NYT

It’s All Political These Days: Full Week Ahead Preview

May 19, 2019May 19, 2019

Donald Trump likely won’t be in a good mood as the new week dawns.

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oil, OPECLeave a Comment on It’s All Political These Days: Full Week Ahead Preview

‘Inshallah’, You’ll Finally Understand That Turkey’s Erdogan Isn’t Backing Down On S-400 Purchase

May 19, 2019November 6, 2021

“Sooner or later.”

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He Called His Enemies By Name: Matteo Salvini And Europe At The Crossroads

May 19, 2019November 6, 2021

It was raining in Milan on Saturday when Marine Le Pen addressed the crowd.

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There’s China And Then There’s ‘Everything Else’…

May 18, 2019

If you’re curious to know what US credit investors are concerned about, the answer is “China”.

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2 Comments on There’s China And Then There’s ‘Everything Else’…

Why Fed Cuts Now Would ‘Only Make Things Worse’

May 18, 2019May 18, 2019

Just after 8:30 AM on Tuesday, Donald Trump sent his eleventh tweet of the day….

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4 Comments on Why Fed Cuts Now Would ‘Only Make Things Worse’

‘Tariff Man’ Versus The World

May 18, 2019May 19, 2019

“…a toxic cocktail of misguided protectionism and tacky jingoism wrapped in faux national security concerns.”

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4 Comments on ‘Tariff Man’ Versus The World

With Talks ‘Stalled’, Here’s Why Marko Kolanovic Thinks The Trade War Will Eventually Be Resolved

May 17, 2019May 17, 2019

But beware “miscalculations”.

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9 Comments on With Talks ‘Stalled’, Here’s Why Marko Kolanovic Thinks The Trade War Will Eventually Be Resolved

Deutsche’s Kocic: ‘Rates Gamma Is Still Not Relaxing’, Here’s Why

May 17, 2019

“…this is a possible continuation of the March episode.”

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‘National Security’ As A Pandora’s Box

May 17, 2019May 18, 2019

A slippery slope, indeed.

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5 Comments on ‘National Security’ As A Pandora’s Box

Trump Officially Condemns Europe, Japan To Six Months Of Hellacious Auto Trade Talks

May 17, 2019

Whether or not this is a genuine nod to the desirability of solving disputes amicably is questionable, at best.

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Deere In Headlights: ‘People Are Getting Nervous About The Farmers’

May 17, 2019May 17, 2019

“Ongoing concerns about export-market access”…

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2 Comments on Deere In Headlights: ‘People Are Getting Nervous About The Farmers’

China Digs In With State Media Blitz Presaging Long War With ‘Tricky Bandit’ Trump

May 17, 2019May 17, 2019

“If anyone thinks the Chinese side is bluffing, that will be the most significant misjudgment.”

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Flynn Told Mueller People ‘Connected To Congress’ Tried To Obstruct Special Counsel Probe

May 16, 2019May 16, 2019

“..that could’ve affected both his willingness to cooperate and the completeness of that cooperation.”

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2 Comments on Flynn Told Mueller People ‘Connected To Congress’ Tried To Obstruct Special Counsel Probe

The US Is Stumbling Towards Two Worst-Case Scenarios

May 16, 2019May 17, 2019

Donald Trump is walking down a dangerous road – and he’s out of reliable guides.

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2 Comments on The US Is Stumbling Towards Two Worst-Case Scenarios

‘It’s The Equivalent Of A Nuclear Bomb’: Trump’s Huawei Gamble Heightens Risk Of Sino-US Cold War

May 16, 2019May 16, 2019

“It seems to us the war is indeed spreading beyond tariffs”.

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6 Comments on ‘It’s The Equivalent Of A Nuclear Bomb’: Trump’s Huawei Gamble Heightens Risk Of Sino-US Cold War

Marko Kolanovic: The Trump ‘Put’ Is 3-4% Out Of The Money

May 16, 2019January 8, 2022

“The ‘Trump put’ has now evolved into a ‘Trump collar’.

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As Walmart Tells The Ugly Truth About Tariffs, Wilbur Ross Has A Propaganda Party With Maria Bartiromo

May 16, 2019May 16, 2019

“We will do everything we can to keep prices low, but”…

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1 Comment on As Walmart Tells The Ugly Truth About Tariffs, Wilbur Ross Has A Propaganda Party With Maria Bartiromo

‘Bandit Logic’ And Gamma Gravity

May 16, 2019

Local stability, but mind the “bandit” at 1600 Penn.

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1 Comment on ‘Bandit Logic’ And Gamma Gravity

Huawei Blackballed And The Return Of Raging Rates Moves: A Macro Odyssey

May 15, 2019May 15, 2019

Good luck sorting out what’s in the driver’s seat.

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Obstruction Squared: Pat Cipollone Has Lots Of Totally Exculpatory Documents, But You Can’t See Them, Because No ‘Do-Overs’!

May 15, 2019May 16, 2019

If you think this is laughable, you’re not alone and you’re not wrong, either.

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Fearing Multi-Front Trade War, Trump Administration Backs Off Europe, Canada, Mexico

May 15, 2019November 6, 2021

Someone over the White House thought it might be a good idea to avoid fighting a multi-front trade war.

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4 Comments on Fearing Multi-Front Trade War, Trump Administration Backs Off Europe, Canada, Mexico

Trump Decides Now Not Great Time To ‘Rid Fifth Avenue Of Mercedes’

May 15, 2019May 15, 2019

Now we’ll all wait on the inevitable tweets.

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2 Comments on Trump Decides Now Not Great Time To ‘Rid Fifth Avenue Of Mercedes’

‘Growth Scare 3.0’ And The ‘Largest Cross-Asset Vol. Risk’

May 15, 2019

So, fear the “rogue” inflation upside surprise, one supposes.

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Recent Comments

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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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