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Featured

Weekly: Melodrama

November 7, 2026November 7, 2026
  • ‘Dem Fatale’ Crashes The AI Party

    November 6, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Inflation Fatalism Has Set In

    November 6, 2026
  • Drunken Monkey Darts

    November 6, 2026November 6, 2026

Markets

On Wall Street: Crash And F’in’ Burn

November 5, 2026November 7, 2026
  • Did Democrats Just Kill ‘New 60/40’?

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Um, Excuse Me, But Your Chips Are Bleeding

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Deus Ex Machina?

    November 4, 2026November 5, 2026
  • The Capex Catch-22

    November 3, 2026November 4, 2026

economy

US Jobless Claims Chase History

November 5, 2026November 5, 2026
  • ‘Tis The Season! For Temporary Fulfillment Jobs

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Senseless Iran War Triggers BoE Hike, 5% Inflation Warning

    November 5, 2026November 5, 2026
  • Irrepressible

    November 4, 2026November 5, 2026
  • In Other News: Scorching ‘Job Changer’ Pay Gains, AI Disruption

    November 4, 2026November 5, 2026

Geopolitics

Tsunami

November 4, 2026November 5, 2026

Let’s Talk Blue Waves

November 1, 2026November 2, 2026

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

Duly Noted

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 30, 2026

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

‘Stay Out Of Italy’: Market Sours On Italian Assets As Salvini’s Budget Broadside Adds Insult To Injury

May 15, 2019November 6, 2021

“…outdated, old and imposed without any sense.”

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‘Literally Bad’ Data Is Good News For Chinese Stocks – At Least For One Day

May 15, 2019May 15, 2019

“[The numbers] are literally bad”.

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Key Chinese Activity Data Shows Economy Decelerated In Weeks Ahead Of Trump’s Trade Escalation

May 14, 2019

The problem isn’t so much the numbers as it is the timing.

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‘A Rising Dollar Is The Canary’

May 14, 2019May 14, 2019

“Investors should keep a close eye on this.”

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Trump, Stephen Miller Hatched Secret Plan To Arrest Parents And Children In Migrant ‘Blitz Operation’

May 14, 2019May 15, 2019

Miller was “especially supportive of the plan”.

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4 Comments on Trump, Stephen Miller Hatched Secret Plan To Arrest Parents And Children In Migrant ‘Blitz Operation’

Matteo Salvini Will ‘Spend Everything He Should’ And If You Don’t Like It, ‘That’s Not His Concern’

May 14, 2019

“Shouting our mouths off.”

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4 Comments on Matteo Salvini Will ‘Spend Everything He Should’ And If You Don’t Like It, ‘That’s Not His Concern’

‘Game Over, We Win!’ No Pressure Or Anything, But Trump Wouldn’t Mind If Fed Did A Little Competitive Easing

May 14, 2019May 14, 2019

“If the Federal Reserve ever did a ‘match'”.

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3 Comments on ‘Game Over, We Win!’ No Pressure Or Anything, But Trump Wouldn’t Mind If Fed Did A Little Competitive Easing

Why Nomura’s McElligott Sees Scope For An ‘Optical’ Market Bounce

May 14, 2019May 14, 2019

“This is where I expect [the] next wave of monetization in hedges”…

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10 Comments on Why Nomura’s McElligott Sees Scope For An ‘Optical’ Market Bounce

Trump’s Endless Trade War Draws Ire Of Chinese Propaganda Machine, US Farmers Alike

May 14, 2019May 14, 2019

“We can make a deal with China tomorrow. No way!”

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2 Comments on Trump’s Endless Trade War Draws Ire Of Chinese Propaganda Machine, US Farmers Alike

Trade, Fed Policy And Recession: It’s Complicated

May 13, 2019May 13, 2019

“We’ll let you know in about three or four weeks”.

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‘Live Asses’ And ‘False Beards’: Trump’s Trade War Turns Surreal Amid Horrendous Stock Slide

May 13, 2019

When Trump says “all-in”, he means “all-in.”

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A Match Made In Authoritarian Hell: Trump Showers Viktor Orban With Praise At White House

May 13, 2019October 21, 2019

“He’s respected all over Europe.”

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5 Comments on A Match Made In Authoritarian Hell: Trump Showers Viktor Orban With Praise At White House

After Last Week, Goldman Asks: ‘What Would VIX Do On A Larger Downturn?’

May 13, 2019May 13, 2019

The discussion always comes back to liquidity…

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Lira, Turkish Stocks Crash (Again)

May 13, 2019

Erdogan will now loot “legal reserves” to plug budget holes.

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Shots Fired: China Ignores Trump Threat, Retaliates, Teases Treasury Nuke

May 13, 2019May 13, 2019

And now, things get interesting.

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6 Comments on Shots Fired: China Ignores Trump Threat, Retaliates, Teases Treasury Nuke

Oh Well, There’s Always Crypto…

May 13, 2019

“…at least optically.”

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Only The Dead Have Seen The End Of (Trade) War

May 13, 2019May 13, 2019

“…will only get worse.”

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Markets Warily Weigh Aggressive Trade Banter As New Week Dawns

May 12, 2019November 6, 2021

“We are right where we want to be.”

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1 Comment on Markets Warily Weigh Aggressive Trade Banter As New Week Dawns

‘Big League’ Drama: Full Week Ahead Preview

May 12, 2019May 13, 2019

Barring something (else) out of left field, the week ahead will be dominated by trade jitters.

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1 Comment on ‘Big League’ Drama: Full Week Ahead Preview

‘This Trade War Has Been Personalized’: One Bank Frets Over ‘Totally Unexpected’ Escalations

May 12, 2019

“We must approach our analysis with humility”.

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4 Comments on ‘This Trade War Has Been Personalized’: One Bank Frets Over ‘Totally Unexpected’ Escalations

Here Are The Macro And Market Implications Of Three Main Trade War Scenarios

May 12, 2019May 12, 2019

“Risk of global recession”.

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8 Comments on Here Are The Macro And Market Implications Of Three Main Trade War Scenarios

As Trump Threatens China Again, Here’s What Happens To Inflation In A Worst-Case Tariff Scenario

May 11, 2019May 12, 2019

“…the deal will become far worse for them.”

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8 Comments on As Trump Threatens China Again, Here’s What Happens To Inflation In A Worst-Case Tariff Scenario

What’s Next In The US-China Trade Standoff?

May 11, 2019May 11, 2019

“It’s very simple!”

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13 Comments on What’s Next In The US-China Trade Standoff?

Goldman: ‘There Is Limited Combined Firepower To Buy Stocks’

May 11, 2019

On the bright side, there’s always buybacks.

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3 Comments on Goldman: ‘There Is Limited Combined Firepower To Buy Stocks’

Week Of Warring Ends With Drawing Of Battle Lines For Trump Tax Returns Fight

May 10, 2019November 6, 2021

“Therefore, please see the enclosed subpoena.” 

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1 Comment on Week Of Warring Ends With Drawing Of Battle Lines For Trump Tax Returns Fight

Nomura’s Charlie McElligott Recaps Critical Market Dynamics, Macro Themes In Sweeping New Interview

May 10, 2019May 10, 2019

Around the world and back again.

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2 Comments on Nomura’s Charlie McElligott Recaps Critical Market Dynamics, Macro Themes In Sweeping New Interview

The Macro Tourist Talks Vancouver, Casinos And Grandma

May 10, 2019May 10, 2019

“Sure. Be my guest. But I warn you, it hasn’t been nice.”

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Monthly Letter

  • The Arbitrageur

Recent Comments

  • Engineer on ‘Dem Fatale’ Crashes The AI Party
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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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