Trader: This May Be The Hardest Trade On Earth
Whenever these “smart†gurus are all leaning one way, it seldom pays to join them in their trade.
The Worst-Case Scenario Is Now The Base Case
“It is more likely than not”…
S&P Would Fall 7% In Worst-Case Trade War, Goldman Says (Don’t Ask About Any Second-Order ‘Nonlinearity’)
Let’s be clear: It is impossible to estimate the impact of an all-out trade war on equity prices.
‘Previously Unlikely Options’ Are Now On The Table: Reassessing The Odds Of China Going ‘Nuclear’
We may be moving closer to a situation where Beijing feels like it has no choice.
Did The Trump Administration Just Announce A Major Currency Escalation?
“This change puts foreign exporters on notice”.
Make Farmers Bailed Out Again.
I’m out of farmer jokes.Â
This Bond Love Affair Is ‘Combustible’ And It ‘Could Get Weird’, Nomura’s McElligott Warns
It’s the damndest thing.Â
The Dollar Shortage Thesis Lingered, Like Stale Cigarette Smoke.
“Global trade is clearly now being dragged into the mud by a ‘vicious spiral’.”
The Fog Of (Cold) War
These are the bad times.Â
‘Two In One Week’: Trump’s Bid To Block Deutsche Bank From Handing Over Records Crashes And Burns
“Mazars Monday, Deutsche Bank today.”
Erdogan Meets The Bear
And capital control whispers are getting louder.
Fed Minutes Underscore ‘Transitory’ Narrative, ‘Patient’ Approach
“…even if global economic and financial conditions continued to improve.”
The ‘I’ Word Presser
Affixed to the front of Trump’s lectern was a piece of poster board.
Steve Mnuchin To Congress: Crimes Are Legal Now
Rashida Tlaib’s advice: “Get a lawyer”.
Nomura’s Charlie McElligott Explains Why Stocks Can’t Seem To ‘Really Sell Off’
Obviously, the macro narrative is a train wreck, but…
‘Take Out Their Surveillance’: Hikvision, Dahua And Trump’s Widening Dragnet
Tightening the noose.
Trump May Blacklist Chinese Video Surveillance Colossus, Because ‘Human Rights’ Or Whatever…
A decision is expected within “weeks”.
Make ‘Miscalculation’ Great Again
The word became so ubiquitous in trade war commentary that it ceased to have any meaning.
I’ll Die Unhedged, Thank You.
They say you can’t hedge a portfolio for the end of the world.
Don’t Fight The Rate-Setters? Or Are Stocks ‘The Real Aberration’?
“The reality is”…
Trump: It’s ‘Crazy’ That My Accounting Firm Was Ordered To Turn Over Documents To Congress Today
“It is simply not fathomable”…
We’re Devolving. And The Cobblers Are Restless.
“It is time to bring this trade war to an end”.
When The Chips Are Down
Semis are now synonymous with the overarching macro narrative.
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