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Featured

Weekly: Melodrama

November 7, 2026November 7, 2026
  • ‘Dem Fatale’ Crashes The AI Party

    November 6, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Inflation Fatalism Has Set In

    November 6, 2026
  • Drunken Monkey Darts

    November 6, 2026November 6, 2026

Markets

On Wall Street: Crash And F’in’ Burn

November 5, 2026November 7, 2026
  • Did Democrats Just Kill ‘New 60/40’?

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Um, Excuse Me, But Your Chips Are Bleeding

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Deus Ex Machina?

    November 4, 2026November 5, 2026
  • The Capex Catch-22

    November 3, 2026November 4, 2026

economy

US Jobless Claims Chase History

November 5, 2026November 5, 2026
  • ‘Tis The Season! For Temporary Fulfillment Jobs

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Senseless Iran War Triggers BoE Hike, 5% Inflation Warning

    November 5, 2026November 5, 2026
  • Irrepressible

    November 4, 2026November 5, 2026
  • In Other News: Scorching ‘Job Changer’ Pay Gains, AI Disruption

    November 4, 2026November 5, 2026

Geopolitics

Tsunami

November 4, 2026November 5, 2026

Let’s Talk Blue Waves

November 1, 2026November 2, 2026

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

Duly Noted

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 30, 2026

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

Trump Rattles Markets Anew As Details Of Mexico Tariffs Show Rate Rising To 25% Within Months

May 30, 2019

Eventually, everyone will get tired of this charade

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6 Comments on Trump Rattles Markets Anew As Details Of Mexico Tariffs Show Rate Rising To 256 Within Months

Mike Pence Can ‘More Than Double’ Tariffs On China, But Right Now He’s More Concerned About Kawhi Leonard

May 30, 2019May 30, 2019

Mike Pence isn’t good for much, but you can count on him for three things…

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5 Comments on Mike Pence Can ‘More Than Double’ Tariffs On China, But Right Now He’s More Concerned About Kawhi Leonard

And Now, A Hot Take Rant On ETFs And Liquidity…

May 30, 2019

Imagine that, right?

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1 Comment on And Now, A Hot Take Rant On ETFs And Liquidity…

Italy On Brink Of Rule-By-Matteo, As Salvini Threatens To Pull Plug On Government

May 30, 2019May 30, 2019

Nobody should be surprised by this.

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1 Comment on Italy On Brink Of Rule-By-Matteo, As Salvini Threatens To Pull Plug On Government

Trump Furious At Verified Twitter Namesake For Admitting ‘Russia Helped Me To Get Elected’

May 30, 2019May 30, 2019

‘Russia, Russia, Russia!’

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2 Comments on Trump Furious At Verified Twitter Namesake For Admitting ‘Russia Helped Me To Get Elected’

Nowhere Fast: Trump Bogged Down As US Wades Into Multi-Front Trade War

May 30, 2019

Here we are – walking into meetings with America’s closest allies and proudly pointing at bulging binders.

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1 Comment on Nowhere Fast: Trump Bogged Down As US Wades Into Multi-Front Trade War

And Then, Things Really Started To Go Wrong…

May 29, 2019May 29, 2019

Things have taken a wholly unfortunate turn into month-end.

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6 Comments on And Then, Things Really Started To Go Wrong…

Read Robert Mueller’s Full Statement On The Russia Probe And Obstruction Of Justice

May 29, 2019

“We chose those words carefully, and the work speaks for itself.”

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1 Comment on Read Robert Mueller’s Full Statement On The Russia Probe And Obstruction Of Justice

Mueller: ‘The Report Is My Testimony’

May 29, 2019May 30, 2019

“If we had confidence that the president clearly did not commit a crime, we would have said so.”

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4 Comments on Mueller: ‘The Report Is My Testimony’

Goldman: Easy Monetary Policy Won’t Be Enough If Growth Doesn’t Pick Up Soon

May 29, 2019May 29, 2019

Suddenly, we’re back in the teeth of the global slowdown narrative. 

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4 Comments on Goldman: Easy Monetary Policy Won’t Be Enough If Growth Doesn’t Pick Up Soon

That Anomalous German Jobless Print Is Somewhat Unnerving, No?

May 29, 2019

Apparently, some of this is down to a statistical change, but…

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1 Comment on That Anomalous German Jobless Print Is Somewhat Unnerving, No?

The ‘Marking To Misery’ Trade Has Accelerated

May 29, 2019May 29, 2019

It’s now exceedingly difficult to ignore what bonds are trying to “say”.

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Leave a Comment on The ‘Marking To Misery’ Trade Has Accelerated

Steve Mnuchin Declines To Name China A Currency Manipulator, Will Leave That To Trump’s Twitter Account

May 28, 2019May 28, 2019

“Treasury continues to urge China to enhance the transparency of China’s exchange rate.”

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6 Comments on Steve Mnuchin Declines To Name China A Currency Manipulator, Will Leave That To Trump’s Twitter Account

‘What I Can Tell You Is That The People Would Be Unhappy’: Another Day, Another Rare Earths Threat From China

May 28, 2019May 28, 2019

This is probably more about the signaling effect than anything else.

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3 Comments on ‘What I Can Tell You Is That The People Would Be Unhappy’: Another Day, Another Rare Earths Threat From China

Month-End Rebalancing Hopes And Fed Pricing As ‘Just Another Measure Of Market Fear’

May 28, 2019

Assuming Trump can abstain from further trade escalations for a couple of days, “all else” might in fact turn out to be “equal.”

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2 Comments on Month-End Rebalancing Hopes And Fed Pricing As ‘Just Another Measure Of Market Fear’

An ‘Exchange Of Letters’, A Succession Plan Gone Awry And The Familiar Paradox

May 28, 2019May 28, 2019

As night follows day…

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Leave a Comment on An ‘Exchange Of Letters’, A Succession Plan Gone Awry And The Familiar Paradox

America Can’t Escape The Reality Of Trump’s Trade War Forever

May 27, 2019May 27, 2019

Eggs will be broken.

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9 Comments on America Can’t Escape The Reality Of Trump’s Trade War Forever

In Complete Coincidence, EU Leaks Plans To Punish Italy For Budget After Salvini Election Triumph

May 27, 2019

“The mood is definitely for action.”

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3 Comments on In Complete Coincidence, EU Leaks Plans To Punish Italy For Budget After Salvini Election Triumph

Italy Now Belongs To Matteo Salvini

May 27, 2019November 6, 2021

“The time has come to totally re-discuss old and outdated rules.”

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Leave a Comment on Italy Now Belongs To Matteo Salvini

China Desperate For Trade Deal, Trump Imagines

May 27, 2019May 27, 2019

“I don’t believe they can do that.”

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4 Comments on China Desperate For Trade Deal, Trump Imagines

As China Threatens Yuan Shorts With ‘Huge Losses’, Here’s The Ultimate Irony

May 26, 2019May 26, 2019

Still, you can hardly blame the market for thinking the yuan is headed lower.

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8 Comments on As China Threatens Yuan Shorts With ‘Huge Losses’, Here’s The Ultimate Irony

What Really Matters?

May 26, 2019May 26, 2019

It’s too hot to go out, but too nice to stay in.

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2 Comments on What Really Matters?

Trump’s Japan Jaunt Is A Child’s Presidential Fantasy

May 26, 2019November 6, 2021

Augustus Gloop diplomacy.

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2 Comments on Trump’s Japan Jaunt Is A Child’s Presidential Fantasy

Long Live The Zombies

May 25, 2019May 25, 2019

“The dark side of stimulus.”

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5 Comments on Long Live The Zombies

Markets Eye December Circuit Breaker To Save Stocks From ‘Massive’ 4% Monthly Slide

May 25, 2019

It’s worth mentioning, but curb your enthusiasm.

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1 Comment on Markets Eye December Circuit Breaker To Save Stocks From ‘Massive’ 4% Monthly Slide

Satire Dies Again: Trump Declares His Presidency ‘The Age Of Enlightenment’ – On Way To Sumo Match

May 25, 2019May 26, 2019

“… an engagement that White House officials say he’s been anticipating eagerly.”

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3 Comments on Satire Dies Again: Trump Declares His Presidency ‘The Age Of Enlightenment’ – On Way To Sumo Match

Amid The Worst Stretch Of The Year For US Stocks, The Real Question Is: Why Isn’t It Worse?

May 24, 2019May 25, 2019

“Why are equities so calm if the most plausible outcomes of the trade war are all bearish for growth?”

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7 Comments on Amid The Worst Stretch Of The Year For US Stocks, The Real Question Is: Why Isn’t It Worse?

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Monthly Letter

  • The Arbitrageur

Recent Comments

  • Engineer on ‘Dem Fatale’ Crashes The AI Party
  • Engineer on ‘Dem Fatale’ Crashes The AI Party
  • Engineer on ‘Dem Fatale’ Crashes The AI Party
  • Engineer on ‘Dem Fatale’ Crashes The AI Party

Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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