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Featured

The Capex Catch-22

November 3, 2026November 3, 2026
  • Someone’s Got Work For You

    November 3, 2026November 3, 2026
  • Tech Got No Love This Earnings Season

    November 3, 2026November 3, 2026
  • Have The Hyper-Scalers Lost Their Minds?

    November 2, 2026November 2, 2026

Markets

Apple Sets A Bunch Of Records. Misses In China

November 2, 2026November 3, 2026
  • Sell-Side Sarcasm: New And Improved!

    November 2, 2026November 3, 2026
  • Weekly: The Leveraged Buildout (Speculative Gravity Control)

    October 31, 2026November 2, 2026
  • The Problem, In A Nutshell…

    October 30, 2026November 2, 2026
  • What’s What And WTF?

    October 30, 2026November 1, 2026

economy

Debbie Downers Amid The Renaissance

November 2, 2026November 3, 2026
  • Polls, Projectiles And Payrolls

    November 1, 2026November 2, 2026
  • ‘Remains Elevated’

    October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Boom!

    October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Dissembling Strategery

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

Geopolitics

Let’s Talk Blue Waves

November 1, 2026November 2, 2026

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

Duly Noted

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 30, 2026

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

Trump Said Israel Should Ban Ilhan Omar And Rashida Tlaib: Report

August 10, 2019August 10, 2019

Make of this what you will, but…

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5 Comments on Trump Said Israel Should Ban Ilhan Omar And Rashida Tlaib: Report

The Simple Reason Why The S&P Is Just 3.5% From Record Highs (And Why Gold Is Surging)

August 10, 2019August 10, 2019

Despite the unwelcome turmoil and surging safe havens, stocks are resilient.

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13 Comments on The Simple Reason Why The S&P Is Just 3.513 From Record Highs (And Why Gold Is Surging)

Goldman Updates Tariff Analysis Chris Wallace Used To Grill Peter Navarro

August 10, 2019

Here are the facts.

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Former Chinese Central Bankers Say Currency War Risks Rising, Official Warns Of ‘More Measures’

August 10, 2019August 10, 2019

Meanwhile, the People’s Daily is on offense.

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‘Hang On!’ Peter Navarro Will Never Test Sara Eisen On Currency ‘Manipulation’ Again

August 9, 2019August 9, 2019

“Why is that ‘clearly they’re manipulating”?

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1 Comment on ‘Hang On!’ Peter Navarro Will Never Test Sara Eisen On Currency ‘Manipulation’ Again

Ray Dalio Weighs In On ‘Spreading’ US-China War In Interview

August 9, 2019August 9, 2019

“Unfortunately the war with China is spreading”.

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August Market Turmoil Proves ‘Bad News Is Good News’ Trading Philosophy Has Limits

August 9, 2019August 10, 2019

Perverse dynamics only persist until their inherent contradiction is exposed.

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3 Comments on August Market Turmoil Proves ‘Bad News Is Good News’ Trading Philosophy Has Limits

Meanwhile, In Turkey, Erdogan Purges Central Bank, Gets $1 Billion High Five From China

August 9, 2019August 9, 2019

“Really disappointing”.

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3 Comments on Meanwhile, In Turkey, Erdogan Purges Central Bank, Gets $1 Billion High Five From China

Bond Infatuation Nears Record Extreme As Duration Obsession Hits Escape Velocity

August 9, 2019August 9, 2019

For now, anyway, the exit from this self-fulfilling prophecy appears to be blocked.

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1 Comment on Bond Infatuation Nears Record Extreme As Duration Obsession Hits Escape Velocity

Trump Shakes Up Markets With Dizzying String Of China, Huawei, Fed, Dollar Comments

August 9, 2019August 9, 2019

“If we don’t that’s fine, if we do that’s fine”.

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5 Comments on Trump Shakes Up Markets With Dizzying String Of China, Huawei, Fed, Dollar Comments

In Junk Bonds: Exodus

August 9, 2019November 18, 2021

So, is there any good news here?

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Italian Bonds Plunge As World Prepares For Effective One-Man Rule In Matteo Salvini’s Italy

August 9, 2019August 9, 2019

It’s a wrap. Italy now belongs to one man.

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As UK Economy Posts Shocking Contraction, One Bank Raises Odds Of No-Deal Brexit To 50%

August 9, 2019August 9, 2019

The UK is now one more bad quarterly GDP print away from a technical recession. 

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2 Comments on As UK Economy Posts Shocking Contraction, One Bank Raises Odds Of No-Deal Brexit To 502

Bernanke Deputy Kohn: Political Pressure Is Nothing New, But Trump’s Recent Actions Unique In History

August 8, 2019November 18, 2021

“I am somewhat worried that constant criticism could over time undermine public support for Fed independence”.

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Trump Ponders Freezing Huawei Licenses In Retaliation For China Farm Insult

August 8, 2019

Another mini-escalation, perhaps.

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1 Comment on Trump Ponders Freezing Huawei Licenses In Retaliation For China Farm Insult

S&P’s Bloody Week Turns Green, Goldman Cools On Bond Rally And Hope Floats For Stable Yuan

August 8, 2019August 8, 2019

Fingers crossed. “Thoughts and prayers”.

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2 Comments on S&P’s Bloody Week Turns Green, Goldman Cools On Bond Rally And Hope Floats For Stable Yuan

‘Jefferson Beauregard Sessions Acted In Furtherance Of Trump’s Scheme’: Read Andrew McCabe’s Lawsuit Against DoJ, FBI

August 8, 2019August 8, 2019

“Trump’s use of threats to cause his subordinates to act is memorialized in his tweets”.

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2 Comments on ‘Jefferson Beauregard Sessions Acted In Furtherance Of Trump’s Scheme’: Read Andrew McCabe’s Lawsuit Against DoJ, FBI

Elections Are Coming: Salvini Pulls Plug On Italian Government At Long Last

August 8, 2019August 8, 2019

It was a long time coming.

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Carl Icahn Suggests Trump Is Wrong On Fed, Says ‘Just Cutting Rates Isn’t The Answer’

August 8, 2019August 8, 2019

“If it were that easy, you’d never have these cycles”.

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‘Clearly, There Is Downside Risk’: Strategist Who Called For ‘Melt-Up’ Weighs In After Selloff

August 8, 2019

On the bright side…

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3 Comments on ‘Clearly, There Is Downside Risk’: Strategist Who Called For ‘Melt-Up’ Weighs In After Selloff

Intervention Imminent? Trump Cranks Up Currency War Rhetoric With New Dollar Tweets

August 8, 2019August 8, 2019

We are now squarely in the throes of a global currency war.

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1 Comment on Intervention Imminent? Trump Cranks Up Currency War Rhetoric With New Dollar Tweets

Peter Navarro Calls For Huge Fed Cut, Trashes WSJ In Bartiromo Interview

August 8, 2019

Deflect and blame the Fed. It’s so easy.

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5 Comments on Peter Navarro Calls For Huge Fed Cut, Trashes WSJ In Bartiromo Interview

‘Boom!’: Did Germany Just Change The Game With Long-Awaited Fiscal U-Turn?

August 8, 2019August 8, 2019

“Fiscal [stimulus] changes the whole equation”.

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With ‘Crash’ Bets Bid And Downside Risks Lingering, Nomura’s McElligott Talks Possible ‘Quiet’ Period

August 8, 2019August 8, 2019

That said, risks come back into play starting in late August.

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Leave a Comment on With ‘Crash’ Bets Bid And Downside Risks Lingering, Nomura’s McElligott Talks Possible ‘Quiet’ Period

Matteo Salvini May Collapse Italian Government Imminently – Cites Lack Of ‘Love Making’

August 8, 2019

“It’s better to look each other in the eyes and take an adult decision”.

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Albert Edwards: Maybe Trump Does Have The Upper-Hand On Xi In The Trade War

August 8, 2019August 8, 2019

“What if – take a deep breath – the Chinese authorities are not as in control of events as investors assume”?

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4 Comments on Albert Edwards: Maybe Trump Does Have The Upper-Hand On Xi In The Trade War

China’s Yuan Fixes Through 7 For First Time Since 2008, While July Trade Data Tops Estimates

August 7, 2019November 18, 2021

Paradoxically, this could serve as something of a pressure valve.

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2 Comments on China’s Yuan Fixes Through 7 For First Time Since 2008, While July Trade Data Tops Estimates

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Monthly Letter

  • The Arbitrageur

Recent Comments

  • Soutomaxwell on The Capex Catch-22
  • Frederic MARI on The Capex Catch-22
  • Frederic MARI on Let’s Talk Blue Waves
  • Frederic MARI on Apple Sets A Bunch Of Records. Misses In China

Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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