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Featured

Have The Hyper-Scalers Lost Their Minds?

November 2, 2026November 2, 2026
  • Apple Sets A Bunch Of Records. Misses In China

    November 2, 2026November 2, 2026
  • Debbie Downers Amid The Renaissance

    November 2, 2026November 2, 2026
  • Sell-Side Sarcasm: New And Improved!

    November 2, 2026November 2, 2026

Markets

Weekly: The Leveraged Buildout (Speculative Gravity Control)

October 31, 2026November 2, 2026
  • The Problem, In A Nutshell…

    October 30, 2026November 2, 2026
  • What’s What And WTF?

    October 30, 2026November 1, 2026
  • Oil, Dammit!

    October 30, 2026November 1, 2026
  • My Goodness: Amazon Spent Some Money

    October 29, 2026October 31, 2026

economy

Polls, Projectiles And Payrolls

November 1, 2026November 2, 2026
  • ‘Remains Elevated’

    October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Boom!

    October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Dissembling Strategery

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026

Geopolitics

Let’s Talk Blue Waves

November 1, 2026November 2, 2026

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

Duly Noted

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 30, 2026

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

Melt-Up Or Euphoria? A Rose By Any Other Name…

December 20, 2019December 21, 2019

And yet, it doesn’t have to end now.

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6 Comments on Melt-Up Or Euphoria? A Rose By Any Other Name…

Trump’s Call With Xi Jinping Wasn’t As Cordial As Friday Tweet Suggests

December 20, 2019December 20, 2019

“Pay close attention to and attach importance to China’s concerns”.

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5 Comments on Trump’s Call With Xi Jinping Wasn’t As Cordial As Friday Tweet Suggests

For 1,545 US Steel Workers, MAGA Promise Rings Hollow

December 20, 2019December 20, 2019

“Current market conditions made it imperative that we act now”.

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The Two Best Periods Of Optimism In US History Had One Thing In Common: Impeachment

December 20, 2019

Also, inflation expectations dropped to a record low.

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Macro Tourist To Druckenmiller: ‘Sold To You Stanley’

December 20, 2019December 20, 2019

“Instead of fawning all over his market calls, let me highlight where I think he is mistaken”.

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Nomura’s Charlie McElligott Delivers 2020 Macro Outlook: ‘My View Is Much More Realistic’

December 20, 2019December 20, 2019

“As a contrarian, consensual group-think views into the year-ahead are often exaggerated”.

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Say Goodbye To Mick Mulvaney. He’s A Lame Duck.

December 20, 2019December 20, 2019

“Well-oiled machine”.

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2 Comments on Say Goodbye To Mick Mulvaney. He’s A Lame Duck.

Carry On. There Are Stocks To Buy.

December 20, 2019December 20, 2019

Lacking impediments, global stocks summit ever higher peaks.

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2 Comments on Carry On. There Are Stocks To Buy.

Don’t Be So ‘Sensitive’: How Much Will The Data Matter For Markets In 2020?

December 19, 2019

“Data dependent”, so to speak.

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3 Comments on Don’t Be So ‘Sensitive’: How Much Will The Data Matter For Markets In 2020?

In Record-Setting Stock Rally, USMCA, Trump Scores Pyrrhic Victories Amid Impeachment

December 19, 2019December 20, 2019

Now if only Trump could get the “Do Nothing” ISM to cooperate, he’d be in good shape.

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1 Comment on In Record-Setting Stock Rally, USMCA, Trump Scores Pyrrhic Victories Amid Impeachment

This 2s10s Curve Is Still Inverted…

December 19, 2019December 19, 2019

And has been for the better part of two years.

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Steve Mnuchin: Other Than Trump Being Impeached, Things Are ‘Terrific’

December 19, 2019December 19, 2019

“Well first of all, it’s great to be here with you”…

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1 Comment on Steve Mnuchin: Other Than Trump Being Impeached, Things Are ‘Terrific’

McConnell, Schumer Square Off Over Trump’s Senate Trial As Pelosi Plans Next Move

December 19, 2019

“Is the president so weak than none of the president’s men can defend him under oath?”

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7 Comments on McConnell, Schumer Square Off Over Trump’s Senate Trial As Pelosi Plans Next Move

What To Know About The Biggest Chinese Liquidity Injection Since January

December 19, 2019December 19, 2019

It’s worth taking a few minutes to understand the specifics.

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Hacks, Brexit, Boris And Carney Replacement Search Make For Fun Times At BOE

December 19, 2019

In flux…

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Riksbank ‘Sadomonetarists’ Exit Negative Rates To Fanfare

December 19, 2019December 19, 2019

Cue Paul Krugman.

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Congrats To Donald Trump On Joining The Highly Exclusive Club Of Impeached US Presidents

December 18, 2019December 19, 2019

The president was impeached while telling a story about invisible stealth fighters to a crowd in Michigan.

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4 Comments on Congrats To Donald Trump On Joining The Highly Exclusive Club Of Impeached US Presidents

Get Ready. ‘Great Rotation II’ Is Coming, JPMorgan Says

December 18, 2019December 18, 2019

A “structural change” is coming.

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5 Comments on Get Ready. ‘Great Rotation II’ Is Coming, JPMorgan Says

Trump Paralyzed The WTO’s Appellate Body. Then He Filed An Appeal.

December 18, 2019

It’s “almost comical”.

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2 Comments on Trump Paralyzed The WTO’s Appellate Body. Then He Filed An Appeal.

Stanley Druckenmiller: ‘This Crazy President Saying We Need Negative Rates Is Most Anti-Capitalist Idea Ever’

December 18, 2019May 12, 2020

“This administration, with wondering about where the hell the next bomb is coming from”…

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1 Comment on Stanley Druckenmiller: ‘This Crazy President Saying We Need Negative Rates Is Most Anti-Capitalist Idea Ever’

Stanley Druckenmiller Delivers 2020 Outlook. Here Are Some Charts And Brief Color

December 18, 2019May 12, 2020

“I’m 66, I might be dead by the time it happens”.

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3 Comments on Stanley Druckenmiller Delivers 2020 Outlook. Here Are Some Charts And Brief Color

Here’s What Usually Happens After The S&P Has A Blockbuster Year

December 18, 2019

“Objects in motion”…

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1 Comment on Here’s What Usually Happens After The S&P Has A Blockbuster Year

As House Moves To Impeach On ‘Sad’, Historic Day, Trump Sends Sarcastic Christmas Cards To Democrats

December 18, 2019December 19, 2019

“Really sick”.

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4 Comments on As House Moves To Impeach On ‘Sad’, Historic Day, Trump Sends Sarcastic Christmas Cards To Democrats

Markets Adrift As Traders Search For Catalysts Amid Trade Lull

December 18, 2019December 18, 2019

Expect details around the trade deal to remain scant in the near-term.

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With Nothing Left To Lose, Rudy Giuliani Goes All-In Amid Investigations, Impeachment

December 17, 2019December 18, 2019

“Just in case you think we’re on defense, we’re not”.

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5 Comments on With Nothing Left To Lose, Rudy Giuliani Goes All-In Amid Investigations, Impeachment

Special Delivery! FedEx Drives Up, Drops Off Box Of God-Awful Numbers. Drives Off.

December 17, 2019

It’s bad. It’s so bad.

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‘A Dramatic Turnaround’: BofA’s December Fund Manager Survey ‘Confirms The Bulls Are Back’

December 17, 2019December 17, 2019

More “FOMO” feeling as recession risk is rapidly priced out.

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Monthly Letter

  • The Arbitrageur

Recent Comments

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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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