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Featured

Have The Hyper-Scalers Lost Their Minds?

November 2, 2026November 2, 2026
  • Apple Sets A Bunch Of Records. Misses In China

    November 2, 2026November 2, 2026
  • Debbie Downers Amid The Renaissance

    November 2, 2026November 2, 2026
  • Sell-Side Sarcasm: New And Improved!

    November 2, 2026November 2, 2026

Markets

Weekly: The Leveraged Buildout (Speculative Gravity Control)

October 31, 2026November 2, 2026
  • The Problem, In A Nutshell…

    October 30, 2026November 2, 2026
  • What’s What And WTF?

    October 30, 2026November 1, 2026
  • Oil, Dammit!

    October 30, 2026November 1, 2026
  • My Goodness: Amazon Spent Some Money

    October 29, 2026October 31, 2026

economy

Polls, Projectiles And Payrolls

November 1, 2026November 2, 2026
  • ‘Remains Elevated’

    October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Boom!

    October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Dissembling Strategery

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026

Geopolitics

Let’s Talk Blue Waves

November 1, 2026November 2, 2026

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

Duly Noted

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 30, 2026

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

2019 Was The 9th Smoothest Year In History For US Equities (By One Measure, At Least)

December 26, 2019December 26, 2019

And while we’re at it, let’s talk about gold.

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3 Comments on 2019 Was The 9th Smoothest Year In History For US Equities (By One Measure, At Least)

As Tewoo Default Fires Up Doomsday Crowd, China To Roll Out SOE Reform

December 26, 2019December 26, 2019

“World-class companies”.

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From Turkey To China To Japan, Global Equities Buoyant In Holiday-Thinned Trade

December 26, 2019December 26, 2019

Everywhere you turn, something’s higher.

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Trump Confuses With Bombastic Holiday Retail Sales Boast

December 25, 2019December 26, 2019

“CONGRATULATIONS AMERICA!”

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1 Comment on Trump Confuses With Bombastic Holiday Retail Sales Boast

As Defaults Soar, China Promises World’s Second-Largest Bond Market Won’t Be Nightmare For Creditors

December 25, 2019

It’s impossible to fathom what a true default cycle might look like in China.

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Turkey, Erdogan Set Collision Course With US Congress Over Russian Missiles

December 25, 2019December 25, 2019

“Such language would push Turkey exactly toward places that they don’t want it turn to”.

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2 Comments on Turkey, Erdogan Set Collision Course With US Congress Over Russian Missiles

Yen, Pound See Wild Swings Amid Lack Of Adult Supervision

December 25, 2019December 25, 2019

“Nobody is trading now”.

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2 Comments on Yen, Pound See Wild Swings Amid Lack Of Adult Supervision

Trump Talks China Deal, Roger Stone Pardon And Possible ‘Beautiful Vase’ From North Korea

December 24, 2019

“I may get a vase”.

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1 Comment on Trump Talks China Deal, Roger Stone Pardon And Possible ‘Beautiful Vase’ From North Korea

Macro Tourist Asks: ‘Wouldn’t It Be Something If We Topped On The Day We Bottomed Last Year?’

December 24, 2019December 24, 2019

“…what’s interesting about both dates is that they coincided with the end of a protracted bull market”.

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Leave a Comment on Macro Tourist Asks: ‘Wouldn’t It Be Something If We Topped On The Day We Bottomed Last Year?’

Will Trump Be Impeached Again? McGahn Testimony Fight Heats Up While New Ukraine Docs Complicate Senate Trial

December 24, 2019December 25, 2019

“To oppose the admission of this evidence would be to turn a willfully blind eye to the facts”.

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Leave a Comment on Will Trump Be Impeached Again? McGahn Testimony Fight Heats Up While New Ukraine Docs Complicate Senate Trial

Japan, South Korea Flash Point Still Menaces Global Economy As 2019 Melts Into 2020

December 24, 2019December 24, 2019

“Our relationship is one that cannot be made distant”.

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A Year On, Markets No Longer Haunted By Ghost Of 2018 Christmas Massacre

December 23, 2019December 24, 2019

And a partridge in a pear tree.

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Growth Will Be Sluggish And Corporate Fundamentals Will Deteriorate. So Buy The Dip And Short Vol., Of Course!

December 23, 2019December 23, 2019

A familiar paradox.

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3 Comments on Growth Will Be Sluggish And Corporate Fundamentals Will Deteriorate. So Buy The Dip And Short Vol., Of Course!

Macro Tourist Not Sure Becky Quick’s ‘I’m 100% In Equities’ Proclamation Is Great Sign

December 23, 2019December 23, 2019

“I am not trying to pick on Becky”.

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3 Comments on Macro Tourist Not Sure Becky Quick’s ‘I’m 1003 In Equities’ Proclamation Is Great Sign

Potpourri! 9% Premiums, Weak Business Investment And Undersubscribed Repos

December 23, 2019December 23, 2019

Here are some notables that may fly under the radar.

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4 Comments on Potpourri! 94 Premiums, Weak Business Investment And Undersubscribed Repos

Vanguard Says Equity Volatility ‘Unsustainably Low’, 50% Odds Of Correction In 2020

December 23, 2019December 23, 2019

Caution is warranted, according to the mammoth collector of assets.

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Saudis Wrap Up Farcical Khashoggi ‘Trial’, Will Probably Behead Five Scapegoats, Jail Three More

December 23, 2019December 23, 2019

“Death sentences in Saudi Arabia are usually carried out by beheading in public squares”.

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1 Comment on Saudis Wrap Up Farcical Khashoggi ‘Trial’, Will Probably Behead Five Scapegoats, Jail Three More

China’s 2020 Tariff Cuts Cover Nearly 20% Of Total Imports

December 23, 2019December 23, 2019

Thanks to the retaliatory levies in place on US products, American exports will be less competitive.

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China Shares Dive, Are Not Amused With ‘Big Fund’ Selling Of Semi Stakes

December 23, 2019December 23, 2019

“The overall market sentiment remains strong”.

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1 Comment on China Shares Dive, Are Not Amused With ‘Big Fund’ Selling Of Semi Stakes

Global Economy Gets Ostensibly Positive News In China Tariff Headlines, South Korea Export Numbers

December 22, 2019December 22, 2019

All obligatory caveats aside…

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Questioning ‘Life Above 2%’ And Pondering The ‘Long-Dated Rates Catastrophe Option’

December 22, 2019

A large, sustained bond selloff isn’t likely, but…

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3 Comments on Questioning ‘Life Above 23’ And Pondering The ‘Long-Dated Rates Catastrophe Option’

To Fade Reflation Or Not To Fade: The Big Debate For 2020

December 22, 2019December 23, 2019

Pick a side.

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5 Comments on To Fade Reflation Or Not To Fade: The Big Debate For 2020

New, Heavily-Redacted Ukraine Documents Offer More Hard Evidence Of Trump’s Ill Intent

December 22, 2019December 22, 2019

“Please hold off”.

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2 Comments on New, Heavily-Redacted Ukraine Documents Offer More Hard Evidence Of Trump’s Ill Intent

Time To Lock People In The Riyadh Ritz! Saudi Aramco Rides Four-Day Losing Streak

December 22, 2019December 22, 2019

The world’s most profitable company has now nearly reversed half of the IPO rally.

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1 Comment on Time To Lock People In The Riyadh Ritz! Saudi Aramco Rides Four-Day Losing Streak

Cross-Asset Returns Are The Best In Recent Memory, But Beauty Is In The Eye Of The Beholder

December 21, 2019December 22, 2019

“All that glitters”…

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Bonds Dictated The Action In 2019. They May Hold The Keys In 2020 Too

December 21, 2019December 21, 2019

“…equities soon needed yields to rise to be able to do the same”.

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Trump Was Prepared To Force Government Shutdown Over Ukraine Language In Spending Bill: Sources

December 21, 2019December 21, 2019

The language was a “non-starter” for Trump.

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2 Comments on Trump Was Prepared To Force Government Shutdown Over Ukraine Language In Spending Bill: Sources

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Monthly Letter

  • The Arbitrageur

Recent Comments

  • Rizzo Jonez on Apple Sets A Bunch Of Records. Misses In China
  • WMD on Sell-Side Sarcasm: New And Improved!
  • OldSkoolValueGARPGuy on Have The Hyper-Scalers Lost Their Minds?
  • Engineer on Have The Hyper-Scalers Lost Their Minds?

Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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