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Featured

Let’s Talk Blue Waves

November 1, 2026November 1, 2026
  • Polls, Projectiles And Payrolls

    November 1, 2026November 1, 2026
  • Weekly: The Leveraged Buildout (Speculative Gravity Control)

    October 31, 2026October 31, 2026
  • The Problem, In A Nutshell…

    October 30, 2026

Markets

What’s What And WTF?

October 30, 2026November 1, 2026
  • Oil, Dammit!

    October 30, 2026November 1, 2026
  • My Goodness: Amazon Spent Some Money

    October 29, 2026October 31, 2026
  • Alphabet Whiffs, Microsoft Hits

    October 28, 2026October 31, 2026
  • Mona Lisa’s Smirk

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

economy

‘Remains Elevated’

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Boom!

    October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Dissembling Strategery

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s All Relative

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026

Geopolitics

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

Lula!

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

Duly Noted

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 30, 2026

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

‘We Now Encounter A Grim Reality’: IMF Sees Worst Downturn Since Depression In ‘The Great Lockdown’

April 14, 2020April 14, 2020

“This crisis is like no other.”

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1 Comment on ‘We Now Encounter A Grim Reality’: IMF Sees Worst Downturn Since Depression In ‘The Great Lockdown’

JPMorgan Reports 69% Drop In Net Income As ‘Likely Severe Recession’ Prompts $6.8 Billion Reserve Build

April 14, 2020October 13, 2021

“The first quarter delivered some unprecedented challenges.”

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Leave a Comment on JPMorgan Reports 69% Drop In Net Income As ‘Likely Severe Recession’ Prompts $6.8 Billion Reserve Build

‘There’s No Such Thing As A Free Market.’ Imagine A Future Where Asset Prices Are Administered

April 13, 2020November 19, 2020

Call it a requiem. Or a pseudo-lament. Or maybe just an obituary dressed up as

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9 Comments on ‘There’s No Such Thing As A Free Market.’ Imagine A Future Where Asset Prices Are Administered

Against The Gods: ‘Historically A Losing Proposition’

April 13, 2020April 13, 2020

“Unhindered by moral hazard”…

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10 Comments on Against The Gods: ‘Historically A Losing Proposition’

Just How Bad Is It Out There For America’s Small Businesses? This Bad…

April 13, 2020April 13, 2020

“Hourly workers have seen hours, shifts, and operations come to a full stop.”

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3 Comments on Just How Bad Is It Out There For America’s Small Businesses? This Bad…

Marko Kolanovic Addresses ‘Critical’ COVID-19 Questions On Herd Immunity, True Mortality Rate

April 13, 2020April 14, 2020

“The analogy is with an iceberg.”

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Morgan Stanley’s Sobering COVID-19 Call: ‘This Is Far From Over’

April 13, 2020April 13, 2020

“…recovering from this acute period in the outbreak is just the beginning, not the end”.

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2 Comments on Morgan Stanley’s Sobering COVID-19 Call: ‘This Is Far From Over’

Nomura’s McElligott Is Back And He Wants To Talk About April’s Epic ‘Momentum Reversal Shock’

April 13, 2020April 13, 2020

“Could this be ‘it’?”

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1 Comment on Nomura’s McElligott Is Back And He Wants To Talk About April’s Epic ‘Momentum Reversal Shock’

Oprah Versus COVID.

April 13, 2020April 13, 2020

“Everybody gets a car”.

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3 Comments on Oprah Versus COVID.

Dangerous Territory.

April 12, 2020April 13, 2020

“…as investors’ focus turns to the real economy a reality check or two remains in the cards.”

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Leave a Comment on Dangerous Territory.

Saudis Declare OPEC+ ‘Up And Alive’ After Mexican Standoff, But Demand Still ‘Down And Dead’

April 12, 2020April 12, 2020

“We’re more than happy with the deal.”

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oil, OPEC2 Comments on Saudis Declare OPEC+ ‘Up And Alive’ After Mexican Standoff, But Demand Still ‘Down And Dead’

‘We Either Produce Food Or Not’, Smithfield CEO Warns, As Virus Closes Sioux Falls Plant

April 12, 2020April 13, 2020

“An alarming statistic.”

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16 Comments on ‘We Either Produce Food Or Not’, Smithfield CEO Warns, As Virus Closes Sioux Falls Plant

Neel Kashkari: Barring ‘Miracle’, America Should Expect 18 Months Of Rolling Shutdowns

April 12, 2020April 13, 2020

“This could be a long, hard road we have ahead of us.”

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6 Comments on Neel Kashkari: Barring ‘Miracle’, America Should Expect 18 Months Of Rolling Shutdowns

Lindsey Graham: America Should Intentionally Default On Trillions In Debt To Punish China For Pandemic

April 12, 2020April 12, 2020

Better to remain silent and be thought a fool than to speak and to remove all doubt.

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30 Comments on Lindsey Graham: America Should Intentionally Default On Trillions In Debt To Punish China For Pandemic

Junk Bonds’ Guardian Angel Is Only So Benevolent

April 11, 2020April 11, 2020

Not everyone is a winner.

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5 Comments on Junk Bonds’ Guardian Angel Is Only So Benevolent

Once Red-Hot Private Debt Market Sees 41% Collapse In Fundraising Amid Virus Tumult

April 11, 2020November 22, 2020

Back in January, JPMorgan’s Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou noted that persistent underperformance from hedge funds over long

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2 Comments on Once Red-Hot Private Debt Market Sees 412 Collapse In Fundraising Amid Virus Tumult

Trump’s Latest Mexican Standoff And Big Banks’ Plan To Seize Oil And Gas Fields

April 11, 2020April 11, 2020

“Over the barrel.”

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oil, OPEC10 Comments on Trump’s Latest Mexican Standoff And Big Banks’ Plan To Seize Oil And Gas Fields

One-Third Of Global Trade May Be Lost To Coronavirus. In Services, The Damage Could Be Permanent.

April 11, 2020April 13, 2020

“…declines in services trade during the pandemic may be lost forever.”

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8 Comments on One-Third Of Global Trade May Be Lost To Coronavirus. In Services, The Damage Could Be Permanent.

Off-Air.

April 10, 2020April 11, 2020

Amid the worst crisis “since the dawn of the jet age”, America’s airline industry needs a bailout. And we’re going to give them one.

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5 Comments on Off-Air.

Trump ‘Hopes To God’ He Makes The Right Decision On Virus, Economy

April 10, 2020April 11, 2020

“I have a big decision coming up.”

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11 Comments on Trump ‘Hopes To God’ He Makes The Right Decision On Virus, Economy

‘The Fed Will Likely Monetize The Entire Stimulus Delivered By Congress’ (And Making The Covert, Overt)

April 10, 2020April 10, 2020

“These are administered markets.”

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10 Comments on ‘The Fed Will Likely Monetize The Entire Stimulus Delivered By Congress’ (And Making The Covert, Overt)

Albert Edwards On Bear Market Rallies, Direct Deficit Financing And Yellen’s Stock Trial Balloon

April 10, 2020April 10, 2020

“Maybe direct Fed buying of the S&P might break the link.”

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17 Comments on Albert Edwards On Bear Market Rallies, Direct Deficit Financing And Yellen’s Stock Trial Balloon

Airfares See Record Crash, Gasoline Plunges As Coronavirus Deflation Comes Knocking

April 10, 2020April 10, 2020

As you might imagine, there are some fireworks in March’s report.

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3 Comments on Airfares See Record Crash, Gasoline Plunges As Coronavirus Deflation Comes Knocking

China Unleashes 5.15 Trillion Yuan Credit Tsunami As Country Emerges From Lockdown

April 10, 2020April 10, 2020

Give me some credit.

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Leave a Comment on China Unleashes 5.15 Trillion Yuan Credit Tsunami As Country Emerges From Lockdown

As Fed’s Balance Sheet Tops $6 Trillion, Foreign Central Banks Sell Another $22 Billion In Treasurys

April 9, 2020

You can draw your own conclusions.

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Leave a Comment on As Fed’s Balance Sheet Tops $6 Trillion, Foreign Central Banks Sell Another $22 Billion In Treasurys

Do Not Go Gentle Into That Good Friday

April 9, 2020April 10, 2020

“The world has indeed changed”.

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oil, OPEC3 Comments on Do Not Go Gentle Into That Good Friday

What A Laffer.

April 9, 2020April 9, 2020

“To make things more fair, he said, government should impose levies on nonprofit educational, arts and other institutions.”

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9 Comments on What A Laffer.

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Monthly Letter

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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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