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Featured

Polls, Projectiles And Payrolls

November 1, 2026November 1, 2026
  • Let’s Talk Blue Waves

    November 1, 2026November 1, 2026
  • Weekly: The Leveraged Buildout (Speculative Gravity Control)

    October 31, 2026October 31, 2026
  • The Problem, In A Nutshell…

    October 30, 2026

Markets

What’s What And WTF?

October 30, 2026November 1, 2026
  • Oil, Dammit!

    October 30, 2026November 1, 2026
  • My Goodness: Amazon Spent Some Money

    October 29, 2026October 31, 2026
  • Alphabet Whiffs, Microsoft Hits

    October 28, 2026October 31, 2026
  • Mona Lisa’s Smirk

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

economy

‘Remains Elevated’

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Boom!

    October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Dissembling Strategery

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s All Relative

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026

Geopolitics

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

Lula!

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

Duly Noted

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 30, 2026

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

Nomura’s Charlie McElligott: There’s A ‘Remarkable,’ ‘Tectonic’ Shift Occurring In US Equities

May 28, 2020May 28, 2020

“This is obviously what the market is debating right now in real-time”.

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12 Comments on Nomura’s Charlie McElligott: There’s A ‘Remarkable,’ ‘Tectonic’ Shift Occurring In US Equities

At 41 Million, US Jobs Lost To Virus Nearly Equal Population Of Spain

May 28, 2020May 28, 2020

There was one bright spot in the report…

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6 Comments on At 41 Million, US Jobs Lost To Virus Nearly Equal Population Of Spain

Boiling Points, Rubber Stamps And Expelled Students

May 28, 2020May 28, 2020

“We have all along rejected a cold war mentality”.

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2 Comments on Boiling Points, Rubber Stamps And Expelled Students

Trump’s Social Media Order Lays Groundwork To Punish Twitter, Facebook, Google For Pointing Out Lies

May 28, 2020May 28, 2020

“…we no longer have our freedom”.

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28 Comments on Trump’s Social Media Order Lays Groundwork To Punish Twitter, Facebook, Google For Pointing Out Lies

‘It’s Toast’: China Trade Deal Seen Dead Amid Hong Kong Melee. Uighur Bill Goes To Trump’s Desk

May 27, 2020May 28, 2020

“…a critical flaw of the deal emerges”.

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13 Comments on ‘It’s Toast’: China Trade Deal Seen Dead Amid Hong Kong Melee. Uighur Bill Goes To Trump’s Desk

Bazookas Galore, Irrelevant Court Rulings, And What’s Next After Europe’s ‘Essential Day’

May 27, 2020May 27, 2020

“We must go quickly and adopt this ambitious agreement”.

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7 Comments on Bazookas Galore, Irrelevant Court Rulings, And What’s Next After Europe’s ‘Essential Day’

Hong Kong, Huawei Dramatics Play Spoiler To Otherwise Bullish Narrative

May 27, 2020May 27, 2020

“Facts on the ground”.

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5 Comments on Hong Kong, Huawei Dramatics Play Spoiler To Otherwise Bullish Narrative

Donald Trump, Ostensible Republican, Says He May ‘Close Down’ America’s Social Media Platforms

May 27, 2020October 12, 2021

Fact versus fiction.

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25 Comments on Donald Trump, Ostensible Republican, Says He May ‘Close Down’ America’s Social Media Platforms

234 Trillion Yen. That’s A Real Number, Apparently.

May 27, 2020May 27, 2020

“Mind-spinning”.

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8 Comments on 234 Trillion Yen. That’s A Real Number, Apparently.

‘Largest Political Shift On The Continent In 30 Years’: €750 Billion EU Rescue Fund, Joint Debt To Become Reality

May 27, 2020May 27, 2020

€500 billion will be in the form of grants.

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Leave a Comment on ‘Largest Political Shift On The Continent In 30 Years’: €750 Billion EU Rescue Fund, Joint Debt To Become Reality

The US Election May Be Decided By June. But Would Trump Leave If He Lost?

May 26, 2020June 3, 2020

The tail risk to end all tail risks?

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24 Comments on The US Election May Be Decided By June. But Would Trump Leave If He Lost?

Euphoria Now. But Three Fiscal Cliffs Loom Large

May 26, 2020May 26, 2020

Hopefully, Mitch McConnell can be convinced.

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8 Comments on Euphoria Now. But Three Fiscal Cliffs Loom Large

100,000, Phoenix From The Ashes, And The China Sanctions Threat

May 26, 2020May 27, 2020

“…ahead of schedule.”

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1 Comment on 100,000, Phoenix From The Ashes, And The China Sanctions Threat

Robinhood, Mega-Cap Mania, And Peak Perpetual Motion

May 26, 2020May 26, 2020

“I am certain of the denouement, but it is possible its date is vastly longer than my career”.

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1 Comment on Robinhood, Mega-Cap Mania, And Peak Perpetual Motion

Why A Massive Debt-To-Equity Swap May Be Coming

May 26, 2020May 26, 2020

“…equity markets are set to experience a wave of capital raisings”.

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2 Comments on Why A Massive Debt-To-Equity Swap May Be Coming

‘Bearish Thoughts’ Will Be ‘Punished’

May 26, 2020May 26, 2020

Onward and upward for risk.

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2 Comments on ‘Bearish Thoughts’ Will Be ‘Punished’

What $600 Billion In AUM Sees For The Post-COVID World, And Why One Bank Thinks Full MMT Is Unlikely

May 25, 2020May 26, 2020

“What are the likely structural shifts post-pandemic?”

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21 Comments on What $600 Billion In AUM Sees For The Post-COVID World, And Why One Bank Thinks Full MMT Is Unlikely

World Trade Shrank Most Since GFC In March, Just Ahead Of Virus Lockdowns

May 25, 2020May 25, 2020

March’s monthly decline means world trade shrank for three months straight headed into pandemic protocol.

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1 Comment on World Trade Shrank Most Since GFC In March, Just Ahead Of Virus Lockdowns

Bored Retail Investors Not ‘Main Driving Force’ Behind Stock Surge, One Bank Says

May 25, 2020May 25, 2020

“…there is still a short base in equities to be covered”.

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4 Comments on Bored Retail Investors Not ‘Main Driving Force’ Behind Stock Surge, One Bank Says

Reopening Optimism Trumps All Other Considerations As Equities Climb Wall Of Worry

May 25, 2020May 25, 2020

“…it does not take much analytical skill to predict a much stronger slump in the second quarter”.

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1 Comment on Reopening Optimism Trumps All Other Considerations As Equities Climb Wall Of Worry

‘The Air Remains Thick With Caution’: Emerging Markets Stare Down Crises In Brazil, Hong Kong

May 24, 2020May 24, 2020

“We’ll see an HBO special about it ten or 15 years from now”.

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5 Comments on ‘The Air Remains Thick With Caution’: Emerging Markets Stare Down Crises In Brazil, Hong Kong

Why Morgan Stanley Sees ‘The Return Of Inflation’ After Coronavirus Crisis

May 24, 2020May 25, 2020

“The forces which will bring about inflation are aligning”.

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22 Comments on Why Morgan Stanley Sees ‘The Return Of Inflation’ After Coronavirus Crisis

Gary Cohn: Congress Needs To Be Ready To Spend $3-5 Trillion ‘At Any Given Moment’ In Crises

May 24, 2020May 24, 2020

“We now have the knowledge that at any given moment in time, our Congress is going to need to spend $3-5 trillion”.

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18 Comments on Gary Cohn: Congress Needs To Be Ready To Spend $3-5 Trillion ‘At Any Given Moment’ In Crises

‘Diffusion Disease,’ ‘Bizarre’ PEs And South Korean Canaries

May 24, 2020May 24, 2020

“Wink, wink”.

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6 Comments on ‘Diffusion Disease,’ ‘Bizarre’ PEs And South Korean Canaries

Protests, Tear Gas Return In Hong Kong. China Accuses US Of ‘Endangering World Peace’

May 24, 2020May 24, 2020

Wang also cautioned that anyone who expects Beijing to pay “reparations” for the virus is “daydreaming”.

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12 Comments on Protests, Tear Gas Return In Hong Kong. China Accuses US Of ‘Endangering World Peace’

‘The Stakes Keep Getting Higher’: US-China Cold War Likely To Continue Regardless Of Who’s President

May 23, 2020May 23, 2020

An “increasingly unstable and uncertain” world.

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2 Comments on ‘The Stakes Keep Getting Higher’: US-China Cold War Likely To Continue Regardless Of Who’s President

‘Cursed’ Hong Kong Is ‘Half-Way Dead’ Locals Say

May 23, 2020May 24, 2020

“It’s maybe cursed.”

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7 Comments on ‘Cursed’ Hong Kong Is ‘Half-Way Dead’ Locals Say

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Monthly Letter

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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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