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Featured

Let’s Talk Blue Waves

November 1, 2026November 1, 2026
  • Weekly: The Leveraged Buildout (Speculative Gravity Control)

    October 31, 2026October 31, 2026
  • The Problem, In A Nutshell…

    October 30, 2026
  • What’s What And WTF?

    October 30, 2026October 30, 2026

Markets

Oil, Dammit!

October 30, 2026November 1, 2026
  • My Goodness: Amazon Spent Some Money

    October 29, 2026October 31, 2026
  • Alphabet Whiffs, Microsoft Hits

    October 28, 2026October 31, 2026
  • Mona Lisa’s Smirk

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026

economy

‘Remains Elevated’

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Boom!

    October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Dissembling Strategery

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s All Relative

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026

Geopolitics

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

Lula!

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

Duly Noted

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 30, 2026

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

To Hell And Back Again (What The Flows Are Saying)

July 3, 2020July 3, 2020

It’s been a wild ride.

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1 Comment on To Hell And Back Again (What The Flows Are Saying)

‘It Can Always Get Stupider’: Nasdaq Bubble Warnings May Be False Equivalence

July 3, 2020July 3, 2020

“…it’s hard to have that real conversation”.

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2 Comments on ‘It Can Always Get Stupider’: Nasdaq Bubble Warnings May Be False Equivalence

China Rising. Europe Trying. Brits Drinking.

July 3, 2020July 3, 2020

Responsible behavior.

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Harley Bassman Interview: ‘The Long, Slow Road To Inflation’

July 2, 2020July 2, 2020

“Truth be told, I kind of like – I can’t believe I’m saying this – I actually think I’m bullish on stocks”.

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3 Comments on Harley Bassman Interview: ‘The Long, Slow Road To Inflation’

Close Proximity

July 2, 2020July 3, 2020

“I’ll take it”.

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1 Comment on Close Proximity

Ray Dalio: We No Longer Have Free Markets

July 2, 2020July 2, 2020

“The Fed will set an interest rate for different types of creditors based on its economic objective”.

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5 Comments on Ray Dalio: We No Longer Have Free Markets

Nomura’s McElligott: The Machines Are Getting Long And Covering Shorts In Real-Time

July 2, 2020July 2, 2020

“Remember my generic thinking on these strategies: ‘Volatility is the exposure toggle.'”

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Now For The Bad News From The June Jobs Report…

July 2, 2020

For many, “temporary” precarity has become permanent.

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2 Comments on Now For The Bad News From The June Jobs Report…

Latest Jobless Claims Numbers Suggest We’re Not Out Of The Woods

July 2, 2020July 2, 2020

Reality check?

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Blockbuster: US Economy Adds 4.8 Million Jobs In Eye-Popping June Payrolls Report

July 2, 2020July 2, 2020

Now questions will turn to the necessity (or not) of another stimulus package.

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6 Comments on Blockbuster: US Economy Adds 4.8 Million Jobs In Eye-Popping June Payrolls Report

The Tension Is Thick. But Not As Thick As The Summer Air

July 2, 2020July 2, 2020

…a perfect super spreader event, I might add.

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7 Comments on The Tension Is Thick. But Not As Thick As The Summer Air

Bad News Everywhere, But Not A Care In The World.

July 1, 2020July 2, 2020

“I think that at some point that’s going to sort of just disappear, I hope”.

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4 Comments on Bad News Everywhere, But Not A Care In The World.

Prayers And Fundamentals.

July 1, 2020July 1, 2020

Joie de vivre.

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4 Comments on Prayers And Fundamentals.

Fed Not Ready To Roll On Yield-Curve Control

July 1, 2020July 1, 2020

September implementation may be a stretch.

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1 Comment on Fed Not Ready To Roll On Yield-Curve Control

Americans Broke All-Time Record For Gun Background Checks In June

July 1, 2020July 1, 2020

I suppose the question now is whether this trend will continue unabated.

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16 Comments on Americans Broke All-Time Record For Gun Background Checks In June

Optimists Get More Ammo As ISM Climbs Higher

July 1, 2020July 1, 2020

Still, it’s a long climb out of this dark basement.

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Is The US Labor Market Back? Wild Revisions And Rampant Ambiguity

July 1, 2020July 1, 2020

Getting a “clean” read on things is well-nigh impossible.

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You’re Under Arrest. (Welcome To The Third Quarter)

July 1, 2020July 1, 2020

On that happy note, the third quarter (and second half) of 2020 is underway. 

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Harley Bassman: This Combo Will End In Tears, But Success Is Likely In The Medium-Term

June 30, 2020June 30, 2020

“I must confess the notion of buying the SPX near 3000 sounds silly”.

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8 Comments on Harley Bassman: This Combo Will End In Tears, But Success Is Likely In The Medium-Term

A Cliche, I Know.

June 30, 2020October 14, 2021

Let’s not get ahead of ourselves.

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oil1 Comment on A Cliche, I Know.

Facing Bankruptcy During The Best Quarter For Stocks Since 1998

June 30, 2020June 30, 2020

What a juxtaposition.

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5 Comments on Facing Bankruptcy During The Best Quarter For Stocks Since 1998

Speculative Mania Or ‘Unprecedented Bearishness’? The Strange Case Of The US Retail Investor

June 30, 2020June 30, 2020

It’s a generational thing. 

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Fiscal Cliffs And New Lockdowns Undercut Signal From June Data

June 30, 2020June 30, 2020

In the simplest possible terms…

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3 Comments on Fiscal Cliffs And New Lockdowns Undercut Signal From June Data

With 2020 Halfway Over, ‘Markets Are Relying On Their Own Unique Take’

June 30, 2020June 30, 2020

Halfway through — glass half empty or half full?

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‘You Are Here’: Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson Is Still Bullish

June 29, 2020June 30, 2020

“…while some might contend earnings forecasts remain too high, we would argue otherwise”.

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4 Comments on ‘You Are Here’: Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson Is Still Bullish

You Gotta Buy Any Dip: FOMO Calls Are Back, But Not Everyone Is Excited

June 29, 2020June 29, 2020

… figuratively or literally.

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4 Comments on You Gotta Buy Any Dip: FOMO Calls Are Back, But Not Everyone Is Excited

US Revokes Hong Kong’s Special Status After Weeks Of Tension Around Security Law

June 29, 2020June 29, 2020

“Risks the US refuses to accept”…

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5 Comments on US Revokes Hong Kong’s Special Status After Weeks Of Tension Around Security Law

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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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