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Featured

The Problem, In A Nutshell…

October 30, 2026
  • What’s What And WTF?

    October 30, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Oil, Dammit!

    October 30, 2026October 30, 2026
  • My Goodness: Amazon Spent Some Money

    October 29, 2026

Markets

Alphabet Whiffs, Microsoft Hits

October 28, 2026October 31, 2026
  • Mona Lisa’s Smirk

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Around, Around We Go

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Anthropic: The Promise, The Numbers, The Risks

    October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

economy

‘Remains Elevated’

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Boom!

    October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Dissembling Strategery

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s All Relative

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026

Geopolitics

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

Lula!

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

Duly Noted

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 30, 2026

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

847,000 Americans Fell Victim To ‘Meritocracy’ Last Week

January 28, 2021January 28, 2021

Good news! “Only” 847,000 Americans filed for unemployment benefits last week. This is yet another

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1 Comment on 847,000 Americans Fell Victim To ‘Meritocracy’ Last Week

On Reddit, ‘The Show Must Go On’

January 28, 2021January 28, 2021

The dollar touched a five-week high before trimming gains and there was a discernible sense

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11 Comments on On Reddit, ‘The Show Must Go On’

Facebook’s ‘Uncertainty’ And Apple’s $100 Billion Quarter

January 27, 2021January 31, 2021

Normally, Apple, Facebook, and Tesla would dominate the news cycle on a day when all

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Leave a Comment on Facebook’s ‘Uncertainty’ And Apple’s $100 Billion Quarter

Fed Points To Waning Momentum In Virus-Blighted US Economy

January 27, 2021January 31, 2021

The Fed on Wednesday did as expected — they kept policy on hold and cautioned

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2 Comments on Fed Points To Waning Momentum In Virus-Blighted US Economy

‘Insane, Dangerous’ Reddit Stock Phenomenon Raises Uncomfortable Questions

January 27, 2021January 28, 2021

“Liquidity, not low bond yields, is fueling this market, and market behavior is so speculative

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20 Comments on ‘Insane, Dangerous’ Reddit Stock Phenomenon Raises Uncomfortable Questions

‘Troubling Inflation Seems Far Away, Unlikely,’ Powell Says

January 27, 2021January 31, 2021

“We understand inflation dynamics evolve constantly over time but they don’t change rapidly,” Jerome Powell

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2 Comments on ‘Troubling Inflation Seems Far Away, Unlikely,’ Powell Says

Marko Kolanovic: ‘Outlook Is Positive, Buy The Dips’

January 27, 2021January 28, 2021

“[The] outlook remains positive – buy the dip,” reads the first line of the latest

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Resilient Durables Does Not A Durable Recovery Make

January 27, 2021January 27, 2021

You can put your own spin on December’s durable goods numbers. The headline print, a

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Leave a Comment on Resilient Durables Does Not A Durable Recovery Make

‘We All See It Happening’: Dour Predictions Proliferate As Insanity Reigns

January 27, 2021January 27, 2021

Risk sentiment was noticeably sour Wednesday morning in the US, as market participants pondered earnings,

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4 Comments on ‘We All See It Happening’: Dour Predictions Proliferate As Insanity Reigns

‘This Is A Riot’: Reddit Stock Mania Channels Populist Battlecry

January 27, 2021January 31, 2021

Apparently, the GameStop fight (which by now includes many more names than just GameStop) has

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‘Imminent’ Stock Correction: What’s Bitcoin Got To Do With It?

January 26, 2021January 27, 2021

If you’re expecting a correction for US equities or, at the least, for one of

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5 Comments on ‘Imminent’ Stock Correction: What’s Bitcoin Got To Do With It?

Stop Asking Me About GameStop, Jason

January 26, 2021January 27, 2021

People keep asking me about GameStop. I’ve been extremely reluctant to engage. But, against my

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Today Is Bad, But Tomorrow Will Be Better

January 26, 2021January 26, 2021

Well, consumer confidence ticked higher in January, rising to 89.3 on The Conference Board’s gauge

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1 Comment on Today Is Bad, But Tomorrow Will Be Better

IMF More Optimistic, Gopinath Says Biden Plan Would Boost US

January 26, 2021January 27, 2021

Good news! Albeit news that most folks won’t be inclined to care much about. The

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Leave a Comment on IMF More Optimistic, Gopinath Says Biden Plan Would Boost US

Stocks, Reflation Trade Due For ‘Deserved’ Break: Morgan’s Wilson Suggests

January 26, 2021January 27, 2021

It’s always interesting to observe the difference in cadence between the rates crowd and the

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1 Comment on Stocks, Reflation Trade Due For ‘Deserved’ Break: Morgan’s Wilson Suggests

McConnell’s Relent, Fast Times In Hong Kong & ‘Civic Integrity’

January 26, 2021January 26, 2021

The froth in Hong Kong came off fairly dramatically Tuesday, as the Hang Seng tumbled

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7 Comments on McConnell’s Relent, Fast Times In Hong Kong & ‘Civic Integrity’

Less Money, More Poverty

January 25, 2021February 28, 2021

On New Year’s Eve, as the curtain closed on what, for those lucky enough to

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3 Comments on Less Money, More Poverty

Same As It Ever Was?

January 25, 2021January 26, 2021

Suddenly, the pro-cyclical rotation catalyzed by the prospect of more fiscal stimulus (think: A unified

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14 Comments on Same As It Ever Was?

I’m Old Enough To Remember The Bond Selloff

January 25, 2021January 26, 2021

So much for 1.25%. Late last week, I wrote that the US 10-year was “basically

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3 Comments on I’m Old Enough To Remember The Bond Selloff

Mutant Wars: Moderna Takes Aim At South African Virus Variant

January 25, 2021January 31, 2021

Moderna is jumping at the opportunity to take a stab (figuratively and literally) at the

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6 Comments on Mutant Wars: Moderna Takes Aim At South African Virus Variant

‘The Most Severe Risk’: Goldman On Vaccine-Resistant Virus Mutations

January 25, 2021January 26, 2021

What could go wrong? That’s the question Goldman asked in a sweeping new note that

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2 Comments on ‘The Most Severe Risk’: Goldman On Vaccine-Resistant Virus Mutations

Froth In Hong Kong, Pessimism In Germany, Bickering Stateside

January 25, 2021January 25, 2021

Risk sentiment was generally muted to start a week that will feature key economic data

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Leave a Comment on Froth In Hong Kong, Pessimism In Germany, Bickering Stateside

As Birx, Fauci Reflect On Trump, Some Seem Unsatisfied

January 24, 2021January 28, 2021

If you’re inclined to hand-wringing about the virus and what could have been, so to

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6 Comments on As Birx, Fauci Reflect On Trump, Some Seem Unsatisfied

Vacuous Shell Game

January 24, 2021January 28, 2021

The Fed takes center stage this week, and it’s probably not a stretch to suggest

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4 Comments on Vacuous Shell Game

Junk Eyes January Sales Record As Risk-Taking En Vogue

January 24, 2021January 25, 2021

The US corporate bond market remains robust coming off a banner 2020. Last year, both

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Leave a Comment on Junk Eyes January Sales Record As Risk-Taking En Vogue

After All That: Here’s How Trump’s Stock Market Ranks

January 23, 2021January 25, 2021

One of — and perhaps the — defining features of the Trump era was the

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11 Comments on After All That: Here’s How Trump’s Stock Market Ranks

Goldman Weighs In On ‘Unsustainable Excesses’ In US Stocks

January 23, 2021January 25, 2021

If you ask Goldman, stocks probably aren’t a “bubble” — or at least not at

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4 Comments on Goldman Weighs In On ‘Unsustainable Excesses’ In US Stocks

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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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