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Featured

The Problem, In A Nutshell…

October 30, 2026
  • What’s What And WTF?

    October 30, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Oil, Dammit!

    October 30, 2026October 30, 2026
  • My Goodness: Amazon Spent Some Money

    October 29, 2026

Markets

Alphabet Whiffs, Microsoft Hits

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Mona Lisa’s Smirk

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Around, Around We Go

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Anthropic: The Promise, The Numbers, The Risks

    October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

economy

‘Remains Elevated’

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Boom!

    October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Dissembling Strategery

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s All Relative

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026

Geopolitics

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

Lula!

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

Duly Noted

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 30, 2026

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

‘This May Not Be Sustainable’: Factory Surveys Show Acute Price Pressures

March 1, 2021March 7, 2021

In the first of this week’s marquee data in the US, ISM manufacturing handily topped

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2 Comments on ‘This May Not Be Sustainable’: Factory Surveys Show Acute Price Pressures

Three Things That Can ‘Make It All Go Right Again’

March 1, 2021March 5, 2021

How do things calm down? That’s the main question on traders’ minds this week. The

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2 Comments on Three Things That Can ‘Make It All Go Right Again’

Hope Floats, Skepticism Lingers

March 1, 2021March 1, 2021

Risk sentiment improved as February gave way to March. Global equities were higher, marking a

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3 Comments on Hope Floats, Skepticism Lingers

Where To Now?

February 28, 2021March 2, 2021

Markets started the week in “what now?” mode, as traders nervously eyed bond yields for

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3 Comments on Where To Now?

Don’t Be A Hero Without The Fed

February 28, 2021March 1, 2021

Some were “undaunted” by the second week of losses for US equities, which finally seemed

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1 Comment on Don’t Be A Hero Without The Fed

Vigilante Attack And The Lost Labor Market

February 28, 2021March 3, 2021

Traders will stare down a deluge of data and a bevy of Fed speakers in

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Leave a Comment on Vigilante Attack And The Lost Labor Market

Yields ‘Emphatically Not’ High Enough To Threaten Stock Valuations: Goldman

February 27, 2021March 1, 2021

For as long as I can remember (which, admittedly, isn’t usually very long given that

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1 Comment on Yields ‘Emphatically Not’ High Enough To Threaten Stock Valuations: Goldman

Free Money And What To Do With It

February 27, 2021February 28, 2021

$1,400 stimulus checks are coming. That’s good news for the 10 million Americans who had

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6 Comments on Free Money And What To Do With It

Stimulus And The Tyranny Of ‘Practicality’

February 27, 2021March 5, 2021

The House passed Joe Biden’s $1.9 trillion virus relief bill early Saturday. It was not

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22 Comments on Stimulus And The Tyranny Of ‘Practicality’

Bon(d)fire And The Great Wage Debate

February 26, 2021March 1, 2021

US markets calmed down a bit Friday as gloved traders and investors sifted through the

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2 Comments on Bon(d)fire And The Great Wage Debate

Let’s Tell A Risk Parity Ghost Story

February 26, 2021February 27, 2021

The equity rally is the greatest-of-all-time, the V-shaped macro recovery is the greatest-of-all-time, [and] the

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7 Comments on Let’s Tell A Risk Parity Ghost Story

The Bond Tantrum Canaries

February 26, 2021February 27, 2021

A while back — and I endeavored to find the relevant articles Friday morning, but

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US Blames Bin Salman For Khashoggi. Will Punish Some Other People

February 26, 2021March 2, 2021

More than two years after dissident journalist and Washington Post columnist Jamal Khashoggi was murdered

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1 Comment on US Blames Bin Salman For Khashoggi. Will Punish Some Other People

Here’s What Stimulus Did For Incomes In January

February 26, 2021March 4, 2021

Given the backdrop, it was doubtful that market participants were inclined to read too much

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1 Comment on Here’s What Stimulus Did For Incomes In January

In Bond Tantrum, Markets Argue For Their Own Extinction

February 26, 2021March 2, 2021

“So much of the rally in equities was built on easy money,” Bloomberg’s Eddie van

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2 Comments on In Bond Tantrum, Markets Argue For Their Own Extinction

Harley Bassman Presents: ‘Seeking Treasure with Convexity’

February 25, 2021February 25, 2021

And while I am being honest, let me further reveal that my membership in the

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6 Comments on Harley Bassman Presents: ‘Seeking Treasure with Convexity’

Idiocy And The Art Of Getting Lost

February 25, 2021February 25, 2021

This brings us closer to answering the nagging question that just won’t go away: Why

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7 Comments on Idiocy And The Art Of Getting Lost

The Story

February 25, 2021February 28, 2021

Coming into Thursday, it was clear that rates were going to be the story. Of

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5 Comments on The Story

Spooked Market Turns To ‘Bogus’ Convexity Narrative Amid Bond Rout

February 25, 2021February 26, 2021

The red-hot US housing market (the “giant flaming marshmallow,” as I’ve called it), may be

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2 Comments on Spooked Market Turns To ‘Bogus’ Convexity Narrative Amid Bond Rout

Coinbase To Go Public With $100 Billion Valuation, No Address

February 25, 2021February 28, 2021

Coinbase is going public in a direct listing. And why wouldn’t it? I’m a simple

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11 Comments on Coinbase To Go Public With $100 Billion Valuation, No Address

Albert Edwards Says MMT ‘Captured’ Biden, Warns Of Stock ‘Riot’

February 25, 2021February 26, 2021

A few weeks ago, while describing a meeting at the White House between Joe Biden,

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9 Comments on Albert Edwards Says MMT ‘Captured’ Biden, Warns Of Stock ‘Riot’

Jobless Claims Fall, But Remain Embarrassingly High

February 25, 2021February 25, 2021

In a welcome reprieve, US jobless claims fell sharply last week. 730,000 Americans filed for

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Leave a Comment on Jobless Claims Fall, But Remain Embarrassingly High

Playing The Real Game

February 25, 2021February 25, 2021

The “memes” are back. GameStop and other manifestations of last month’s Reddit mania started grabbing

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1 Comment on Playing The Real Game

Marko Kolanovic Finds A Bubble – In The VIX

February 24, 2021February 25, 2021

Marko Kolanovic says the VIX is “bound to decline.” In a Wednesday note, Kolanovic blamed

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Bank On It

February 24, 2021February 28, 2021

It’s good to be the bank. You know, just in a kind of general sense.

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2 Comments on Bank On It

Critical Systems

February 24, 2021February 25, 2021

Some of the Fed’s critical systems went down on Wednesday. But not the ones that

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3 Comments on Critical Systems

A Half-Million Dollar Home Is Where The Heart Is

February 24, 2021February 25, 2021

Don’t count the “bubble” burst just yet. While some recent evidence (both anecdotal and otherwise)

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3 Comments on A Half-Million Dollar Home Is Where The Heart Is

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Monthly Letter

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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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