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Featured

The Problem, In A Nutshell…

October 30, 2026
  • What’s What And WTF?

    October 30, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Oil, Dammit!

    October 30, 2026October 30, 2026
  • My Goodness: Amazon Spent Some Money

    October 29, 2026

Markets

Alphabet Whiffs, Microsoft Hits

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Mona Lisa’s Smirk

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Around, Around We Go

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Anthropic: The Promise, The Numbers, The Risks

    October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

economy

‘Remains Elevated’

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Boom!

    October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Dissembling Strategery

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s All Relative

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026

Geopolitics

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

Lula!

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

Duly Noted

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 30, 2026

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

Don’t Mention Politics

April 28, 2021April 28, 2021

All eyes turned to the Fed Wednesday. That’s what I was supposed to write. In

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4 Comments on Don’t Mention Politics

Housing Is A Bubble. No Point In Denying It Now

April 27, 2021May 3, 2021

Home prices are a lot like input price gauges these days — just as you

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11 Comments on Housing Is A Bubble. No Point In Denying It Now

You Need Us

April 27, 2021April 28, 2021

The reflationary vibes were discernible Tuesday, as 10-year breakevens pushed up against 2.4% (second figure

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8 Comments on You Need Us

The American Consumer Is Absolutely Excited

April 27, 2021April 28, 2021

Consumer confidence breezed past estimates in April, the Conference Board said Tuesday. The headline gauge

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1 Comment on The American Consumer Is Absolutely Excited

Let’s Talk Tesla, Bitcoin And ‘Risk Management’

April 27, 2021April 28, 2021

I didn’t plan to dwell on this, mostly because it was entirely predictable, but I’d

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15 Comments on Let’s Talk Tesla, Bitcoin And ‘Risk Management’

The Cost Of Doing Business (With Archegos)

April 27, 2021May 5, 2021

Archegos lives! Vicariously, through losses logged by banks, I mean. UBS said Tuesday it expected

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1 Comment on The Cost Of Doing Business (With Archegos)

Cabin Fever

April 26, 2021April 27, 2021

Folks seemed agitated Monday. As if COVID cabin fever might finally be metamorphosing into irritation

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Mind Games

April 26, 2021April 27, 2021

It’s a broken record, yes, but it’s also a tautology: There’s a lot of uncertainty

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Beyond Peak Growth

April 26, 2021May 2, 2021

It’s becoming a familiar refrain: US growth is peaking. Purely from a “feel” perspective, that

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2 Comments on Beyond Peak Growth

A Trio Of Summer Risks (And Banker Vacation Backlogs)

April 26, 2021April 27, 2021

For most, if not all, of the 12 months since the initial US lockdown, Morgan

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1 Comment on A Trio Of Summer Risks (And Banker Vacation Backlogs)

Mixed Or Muted

April 26, 2021April 26, 2021

Sentiment was mixed or muted (pick your favorite nebulous adjective) to kick off a week

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1 Comment on Mixed Or Muted

Crisis Hotline (And Forget The Pay-Fors)

April 25, 2021April 26, 2021

As expected, the international community is mobilizing to assist India, where COVID cases have spiraled

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4 Comments on Crisis Hotline (And Forget The Pay-Fors)

Inflection Points

April 25, 2021April 29, 2021

Traders and investors came into the new week staring down a formidable slate of data

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4 Comments on Inflection Points

Vegas

April 25, 2021April 26, 2021

Finally, someone admits it: It’s hard to beat benchmarks that only go higher. When you

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4 Comments on Vegas

India Needs Help. Now

April 24, 2021May 2, 2021

Last month, BofA’s closely-watched Global Fund Manager survey revealed that for the first time since

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8 Comments on India Needs Help. Now

Junk Just Keeps Notching Records

April 24, 2021April 25, 2021

The first quarter of 2021 was the busiest ever for US junk sales. Almost $150

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Leave a Comment on Junk Just Keeps Notching Records

Wealthiest Americans May Sell Some Stocks

April 24, 2021May 1, 2021

A few minutes after Bloomberg lit up traders’ screens with headlines touting a doubling of

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4 Comments on Wealthiest Americans May Sell Some Stocks

Sound And Fury

April 23, 2021April 25, 2021

US equities were worried about a burgeoning humanitarian crisis in India on Monday and Tuesday.

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Leave a Comment on Sound And Fury

Ultra-Rich To Prosperous Americans: We’ll Speak For You

April 23, 2021April 24, 2021

One of the (many) advantages to living amongst people who fall into what I described

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19 Comments on Ultra-Rich To Prosperous Americans: We’ll Speak For You

The Great Tapering? (Oh, How Quaint)

April 23, 2021April 24, 2021

If the flow of central bank purchases matters more than the stock, asset prices may

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3 Comments on The Great Tapering? (Oh, How Quaint)

Cruel Biden Tax Plan Causes ‘High Anxiety’ For 0.3% Of Filers

April 23, 2021April 28, 2021

The prospect of higher taxes is likely to permeate discussions around US equities in the

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23 Comments on Cruel Biden Tax Plan Causes ‘High Anxiety’ For 0.323 Of Filers

US Economy ‘Firing On All Cylinders’

April 23, 2021April 23, 2021

There was more good news on the economic front in the US on Friday. IHS

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1 Comment on US Economy ‘Firing On All Cylinders’

This Is News, By God. And You’ll Trade It As Such

April 22, 2021April 23, 2021

Man and machine were aggrieved Thursday at the prospect that wealthy versions of the former

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3 Comments on This Is News, By God. And You’ll Trade It As Such

Oh, No! Higher Capital Gains Taxes For The Wealthy!

April 22, 2021April 25, 2021

Lengthy editorializing (on my part) around the latest weekly jobless claims figures proved accidentally prescient

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10 Comments on Oh, No! Higher Capital Gains Taxes For The Wealthy!

Albert Edwards Isn’t Retiring. And Nothing Matters Anymore

April 22, 2021April 23, 2021

Valuations seemingly don’t matter. I’m talking about equities, of course. While the contention that traditional

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1 Comment on Albert Edwards Isn’t Retiring. And Nothing Matters Anymore

Jobless Claims And Two Kinds Of Porsche Shoppers

April 22, 2021April 23, 2021

A week after diving to a new pandemic-era low, US jobless claims… well, they dove

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12 Comments on Jobless Claims And Two Kinds Of Porsche Shoppers

The Situation, The Matter And Reputation Repairmen

April 22, 2021April 25, 2021

“[Our] underlying business results were offset by the significant charge in respect of the US-based

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3 Comments on The Situation, The Matter And Reputation Repairmen

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Monthly Letter

  • The Arbitrageur

Recent Comments

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  • Sophist on The Problem, In A Nutshell…
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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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