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Featured

My Goodness: Amazon Spent Some Money

October 29, 2026
  • Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

    October 29, 2026October 29, 2026
  • ‘Remains Elevated’

    October 29, 2026
  • Boom!

    October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

Markets

Alphabet Whiffs, Microsoft Hits

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Mona Lisa’s Smirk

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Around, Around We Go

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Anthropic: The Promise, The Numbers, The Risks

    October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

economy

Dissembling Strategery

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • An ARM And A Leg

    October 28, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s All Relative

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s A Big Week

    October 25, 2026October 27, 2026

Geopolitics

The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

Lula!

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

Not Done Just Yet?

October 22, 2026October 23, 2026

Duly Noted

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

Mind The Control Group!

October 15, 2026October 16, 2026

Message To Active Managers: ‘Alpha Potential Always Exists’

January 3, 2022January 4, 2022

Late last month, while revisiting the idea that US equities are a “perpetual motion machine”

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3 Comments on Message To Active Managers: ‘Alpha Potential Always Exists’

Stocks May Enter ‘Prototypical Feedback Loop’

January 3, 2022January 4, 2022

Systematic strats and the vol-control universe are “in motion” as 2022 gets underway, Nomura’s Charlie

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Why Smaller Gains May Hold The Key For Stocks In January

January 3, 2022January 4, 2022

Early Monday, in “Stocks May Enter ‘Prototypical Feedback Loop,’” I outlined familiar dynamics that could

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Leave a Comment on Why Smaller Gains May Hold The Key For Stocks In January

‘Mad Cult’ Of Erdogan Begets Impossible Inflation Surge In Turkey

January 3, 2022January 9, 2022

“We’re cutting interest rates. And we will all see how inflation will start falling within

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1 Comment on ‘Mad Cult’ Of Erdogan Begets Impossible Inflation Surge In Turkey

Tesla Looks To Electrify S&P As Engine Starts On 2022

January 3, 2022January 3, 2022

Notwithstanding a somewhat unfortunate smattering of headlines out of Hong Kong, risk sentiment was buoyant

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2 Comments on Tesla Looks To Electrify S&P As Engine Starts On 2022

Hong Kong Marks ‘Regrettable’ Start To 2022

January 3, 2022January 3, 2022

It was an inauspicious start to 2022 in Hong Kong, where shares fell on the

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2 Comments on Hong Kong Marks ‘Regrettable’ Start To 2022

Friendly Reminder: Some Of The Workers Aren’t Coming Back

January 2, 2022January 3, 2022

“We’re not going back to the same economy as we had in February of 2020,”

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4 Comments on Friendly Reminder: Some Of The Workers Aren’t Coming Back

What To Expect From 2022’s First Week

January 2, 2022January 6, 2022

It’ll be back to the monitors, even if it’s not back to the office this

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Leave a Comment on What To Expect From 2022’s First Week

‘Imperious’ New Yorkers, Jaded Wall Street Stare Down COVID Tsunami

January 2, 2022January 3, 2022

Market participants will get back to work this week. From home. Employees at Bank of

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7 Comments on ‘Imperious’ New Yorkers, Jaded Wall Street Stare Down COVID Tsunami

The Year Of The Abject: Making Sense of Nonsense

January 1, 2022June 24, 2022

The emergence of 21st century Right-wing populism represents the biggest innovation on that terrain. Right-wingers

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2 Comments on The Year Of The Abject: Making Sense of Nonsense

Onomatopoeia: The Guaranteed Dovish Fed Pivot

January 1, 2022January 2, 2022

This is a bit of a broken record, but I’d be remiss not to emphasize

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3 Comments on Onomatopoeia: The Guaranteed Dovish Fed Pivot

Stocks, COVID Enter 2022 Riding Unfathomable Surge

January 1, 2022January 8, 2022

The first day of 2022 featured a somewhat awkward juxtaposition of headlines. Stories documenting the

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3 Comments on Stocks, COVID Enter 2022 Riding Unfathomable Surge

This Crisis Requires Genuine Social Change

December 31, 2021June 12, 2022

[Editor’s note: In “The Cost Of Procrastination: America’s Broken Economy,” I compared the haphazard character

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2 Comments on This Crisis Requires Genuine Social Change

The Best (And Simplest) Bear Case For Bulletproof Stocks

December 31, 2021January 2, 2022

It’s fair to suggest the macro consensus headed into 2022 is that inflation will remain

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2 Comments on The Best (And Simplest) Bear Case For Bulletproof Stocks

World’s Wealthiest 10 Now $729 Billion Richer Since Pandemic

December 31, 2021January 20, 2022

2021 was another good year to be rich. Every New Year’s Eve, I refresh the

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2 Comments on World’s Wealthiest 10 Now $729 Billion Richer Since Pandemic

The Cost Of Procrastination: America’s Broken Economy

December 30, 2021February 1, 2022

“Whatever availability you put down when I hired you is what I expect,” a self-important

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10 Comments on The Cost Of Procrastination: America’s Broken Economy

The Tragedy Of Inflation Inequality (By The Numbers)

December 30, 2021January 2, 2022

Whenever I get the feeling I’ve talked too much about so-called “K-shaped” inflation (the phenomenon

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7 Comments on The Tragedy Of Inflation Inequality (By The Numbers)

US Jobless Claims Trendline Falls Below 200,000

December 30, 2021January 2, 2022

US jobless claims hovered near a 50-year low in the week through Christmas Day. Initial

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Leave a Comment on US Jobless Claims Trendline Falls Below 200,000

Comatose

December 30, 2021December 31, 2021

Markets felt comatose Thursday. Within whatever scant coverage you managed to run across, there was

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8 Comments on Comatose

Why Goldman Expects Inflation To Settle Down In 2022

December 29, 2021January 5, 2022

If at first you don’t succeed. Around this time last year, Goldman’s economic team projected

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3 Comments on Why Goldman Expects Inflation To Settle Down In 2022

Howard Marks’s ‘Perpetual Motion Machine’ In The Pandemic Era

December 29, 2021December 30, 2021

Back in 2017, long before I stopped reading his memos, Howard Marks delivered one of

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3 Comments on Howard Marks’s ‘Perpetual Motion Machine’ In The Pandemic Era

Black Sheep In Hong Kong

December 29, 2021January 5, 2022

Meanwhile, in Hong Kong. Stand News, a pro-democracy holdout, became the latest casualty of Xi’s

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8 Comments on Black Sheep In Hong Kong

Two Economic Arguments You Probably Shouldn’t Make

December 28, 2021January 1, 2022

Some things are obvious, but for various reasons, we choose to ignore them. For example,

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7 Comments on Two Economic Arguments You Probably Shouldn’t Make

In Red-Hot US Housing Market, 19% Surge Counts As ‘Cool’

December 28, 2021January 1, 2022

The rate of appreciation in US home prices is slowing. Albeit only slightly. I’m not

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1 Comment on In Red-Hot US Housing Market, 19% Surge Counts As ‘Cool’

Wall Street, Fed Too Optimistic On US Economy, One Bank Says

December 28, 2021December 29, 2021

The apparent demise of Build Back Better will deal a blow to an already waning

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1 Comment on Wall Street, Fed Too Optimistic On US Economy, One Bank Says

‘Living With It’: Record Stocks, Record COVID

December 28, 2021January 3, 2022

It’s an odd pairing. Record high equities and record high COVID cases, I mean. That’s

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1 Comment on ‘Living With It’: Record Stocks, Record COVID

Everyone Loves A Rally

December 27, 2021December 28, 2021

“We like this,” one CIO said, on the first day of the last week of

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4 Comments on Everyone Loves A Rally

Posts pagination

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Monthly Letter

  • The Arbitrageur

Recent Comments

  • dayjob on My Goodness: Amazon Spent Some Money
  • FuriousA on Anthropic: The Promise, The Numbers, The Risks
  • T-Dog on My Goodness: Amazon Spent Some Money
  • T-Dog on Dissembling Strategery

Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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