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Featured

F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

October 27, 2026October 27, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 27, 2026
  • It’s All Relative

    October 27, 2026
  • Around, Around We Go

    October 27, 2026October 27, 2026

Markets

Anthropic: The Promise, The Numbers, The Risks

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026
  • Only You Can Prevent A Bear Market

    October 26, 2026October 27, 2026
  • Credit Canaries

    October 25, 2026October 26, 2026
  • Weekly: Something Wicked This Way Comes?

    October 23, 2026October 26, 2026
  • After The Rally: What’s Next For Treasurys?

    October 23, 2026October 25, 2026

economy

It’s A Big Week

October 25, 2026October 27, 2026
  • What To Expect From The October FOMC Meeting

    October 24, 2026October 26, 2026
  • Kevin Needs A Credit Event

    October 23, 2026October 25, 2026
  • Return Of The Left-Tail

    October 22, 2026October 23, 2026
  • Dear Lord…

    October 20, 2026October 21, 2026

Geopolitics

Lula!

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

Not Done Just Yet?

October 22, 2026October 23, 2026

Questions, But No Answers

October 19, 2026October 20, 2026

Duly Noted

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

Mind The Control Group!

October 15, 2026October 16, 2026

Good News Of The Bad Variety

October 7, 2022October 11, 2022

The US economy added more jobs than expected in September, while the unemployment rate moved

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7 Comments on Good News Of The Bad Variety

One Bear Is ‘So Tempted’ To Turn Contrarian Bull. Alas…

October 7, 2022October 7, 2022

It’s “so tempting to be a contrarian bull,” BofA’s Michael Hartnett said. After all, bonds

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7 Comments on One Bear Is ‘So Tempted’ To Turn Contrarian Bull. Alas…

Bassman Warns Of ‘Full-On Recession’ From Housing ‘Halt’

October 6, 2022October 7, 2022

I am not sure how fast the Fed will start to cut rates because CPI

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7 Comments on Bassman Warns Of ‘Full-On Recession’ From Housing ‘Halt’

‘Abundant, Wide’ Market Dislocations ‘Unlikely To Disappear’: Kocic

October 6, 2022October 7, 2022

These are unprecedented times. I’m immediately compelled to roll out two caveats that frustrate some

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4 Comments on ‘Abundant, Wide’ Market Dislocations ‘Unlikely To Disappear’: Kocic

Jeffrey Sachs And The Nord Stream: A Counter-Narrative Case Study

October 6, 2022October 7, 2022

I’ve long described my raison d’être in terms of the intersection between geopolitics and finance.

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22 Comments on Jeffrey Sachs And The Nord Stream: A Counter-Narrative Case Study

OPEC+ Output Cut: The Bigger Picture

October 6, 2022October 7, 2022

There’s most assuredly a tie in between the naked politicization of the world’s most financialized

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5 Comments on OPEC+ Output Cut: The Bigger Picture

US Believes Daria Dugina Assassinated By Ukrainians: NYT

October 5, 2022October 6, 2022

War is hell. Elements within the Ukrainian government might’ve been responsible for the August 20

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11 Comments on US Believes Daria Dugina Assassinated By Ukrainians: NYT

The OPEC Problem

October 5, 2022October 16, 2022

“Shortsighted.” That, in a word, is what the Biden White House thought of OPEC+’s move

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8 Comments on The OPEC Problem

Why Would The Bond Vigilantes Spare The Bank Of England?

October 5, 2022October 7, 2022

Since announcing an emergency bond market intervention last week to prevent the UK pension complex

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3 Comments on Why Would The Bond Vigilantes Spare The Bank Of England?

Resilient, Stubborn Or Stagflationary?

October 5, 2022October 5, 2022

US services sector activity was healthy in September, according to top-tier data released on Wednesday.

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Leave a Comment on Resilient, Stubborn Or Stagflationary?

The ‘Absolutely Staggering’ Flows Behind This Week’s Fireworks

October 5, 2022October 6, 2022

On Tuesday evening, while recapping the largest two-day gain for US shares since the tumultuous

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3 Comments on The ‘Absolutely Staggering’ Flows Behind This Week’s Fireworks

US Private Sector Added Some Jobs Last Month

October 5, 2022October 5, 2022

US private sector employers added 208,000 jobs in September, ADP said Wednesday. It felt, for

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3 Comments on US Private Sector Added Some Jobs Last Month

The New ‘Now’ Zeitgeist

October 5, 2022October 5, 2022

Policy pivot euphoria waned Wednesday, as investors and traders weighed persistent inflation and tough-talking central

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6 Comments on The New ‘Now’ Zeitgeist

$35 Trillion Was Enough (Pivot Point)

October 4, 2022October 5, 2022

A year ago last month, the Norges Bank became the first central bank to raise

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8 Comments on $35 Trillion Was Enough (Pivot Point)

Elon Musk Scales New Heights Of Ignominy

October 4, 2022October 11, 2022

Let me state this clearly: I have no desire to waste my time or yours

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13 Comments on Elon Musk Scales New Heights Of Ignominy

‘Soft Landing’ Narrative Gets Its Lazarus Moment

October 4, 2022October 9, 2022

Suddenly, the data is playing along. US job openings notched one of their largest monthly

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14 Comments on ‘Soft Landing’ Narrative Gets Its Lazarus Moment

Dalio Gives Up Running Bridgewater To Mentor The People Running It

October 4, 2022October 4, 2022

Ray Dalio “no longer has the final word” at Bridgewater. That’s a quote from co-Chief

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2 Comments on Dalio Gives Up Running Bridgewater To Mentor The People Running It

‘It’s Now Crystal Clear’ That Policymakers Are Panicking: McElligott

October 4, 2022October 5, 2022

There’s a “light at the end of the tunnel.” That’s according to Nomura’s Charlie McElligott,

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7 Comments on ‘It’s Now Crystal Clear’ That Policymakers Are Panicking: McElligott

Central Banks ‘Risking A Bear Stearns’ Moment

October 4, 2022October 14, 2022

There was plenty of “Lehman moment” chatter early this week, when an overblown social media

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6 Comments on Central Banks ‘Risking A Bear Stearns’ Moment

Doves Spotted! Rejoice

October 4, 2022October 4, 2022

Anticipation continued to build for a global policy pivot Tuesday, when the RBA opted for

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6 Comments on Doves Spotted! Rejoice

‘Inevitable’: Fatalism Sets In On Fed’s Date With Doom

October 3, 2022October 4, 2022

It’s probably not wise to make too much of Q4’s earliest price action. Equities were

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6 Comments on ‘Inevitable’: Fatalism Sets In On Fed’s Date With Doom

No, Credit Suisse Isn’t A Lehman Moment

October 3, 2022October 10, 2022

I hesitate to give more airplay to the Credit Suisse “story.” Over the weekend, finance-focused

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8 Comments on No, Credit Suisse Isn’t A Lehman Moment

Goldman Says New Plaza Accord ‘Unlikely.’ For Now

October 3, 2022October 4, 2022

If you ask Goldman, a so-called “Plaza Accord 2.0” isn’t especially likely to come together.

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3 Comments on Goldman Says New Plaza Accord ‘Unlikely.’ For Now

Bad News Is Good News In US Factory Slowdown

October 3, 2022October 4, 2022

The first of this week’s top-tier US data came in short of consensus, which was

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1 Comment on Bad News Is Good News In US Factory Slowdown

Truss, Kwarteng ‘Get It.’ Scrap Tax Cut For UK’s Richest

October 3, 2022October 4, 2022

Over the weekend, as a sort of addendum to “Chaos Will Return To UK Assets,”

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4 Comments on Truss, Kwarteng ‘Get It.’ Scrap Tax Cut For UK’s Richest

‘Danger Zone’ Markets Need Fed To ‘Print Dollars’: Wilson

October 2, 2022October 3, 2022

Last month was especially cruel to equities. September lived up to its nefarious seasonal reputation.

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8 Comments on ‘Danger Zone’ Markets Need Fed To ‘Print Dollars’: Wilson

‘Putin Always Chooses Escalation’

October 2, 2022October 9, 2022

Vladimir Putin is facing the very real prospect of defeat in Ukraine. Not just morally

Read More

18 Comments on ‘Putin Always Chooses Escalation’

Posts pagination

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

  • SeaTurtle on F-ck You, Claude (Zen)
  • Pyrognosis on F-ck You, Claude (Zen)
  • Caribbean Breeze on It’s All Relative
  • stephen walton on F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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