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Featured

F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

October 27, 2026October 27, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 27, 2026
  • It’s All Relative

    October 27, 2026
  • Around, Around We Go

    October 27, 2026October 27, 2026

Markets

Anthropic: The Promise, The Numbers, The Risks

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026
  • Only You Can Prevent A Bear Market

    October 26, 2026October 27, 2026
  • Credit Canaries

    October 25, 2026October 26, 2026
  • Weekly: Something Wicked This Way Comes?

    October 23, 2026October 26, 2026
  • After The Rally: What’s Next For Treasurys?

    October 23, 2026October 25, 2026

economy

It’s A Big Week

October 25, 2026October 27, 2026
  • What To Expect From The October FOMC Meeting

    October 24, 2026October 26, 2026
  • Kevin Needs A Credit Event

    October 23, 2026October 25, 2026
  • Return Of The Left-Tail

    October 22, 2026October 23, 2026
  • Dear Lord…

    October 20, 2026October 21, 2026

Geopolitics

Lula!

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

Not Done Just Yet?

October 22, 2026October 23, 2026

Questions, But No Answers

October 19, 2026October 20, 2026

Duly Noted

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

Mind The Control Group!

October 15, 2026October 16, 2026

Fiscal Fold? Truss May Blink On Taxes After Market Crash

October 13, 2022October 14, 2022

Earlier this week, I wondered if the Bank of England might be attempting to enlist

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6 Comments on Fiscal Fold? Truss May Blink On Taxes After Market Crash

‘More Work To Do’

October 13, 2022October 14, 2022

Market participants weren’t amused with the hottest read on US core inflation in 40 years,

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4 Comments on ‘More Work To Do’

Hot Damn!

October 13, 2022October 18, 2022

Core US inflation rose more than expected in September, hotly anticipated data released on Thursday

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16 Comments on Hot Damn!

If It Could Go Wrong, It Has

October 13, 2022October 13, 2022

News flow has turned almost uniformly foreboding, which I suppose could be a precursor to

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6 Comments on If It Could Go Wrong, It Has

‘Test And Fail’: The Worst-Case Scenario

October 12, 2022October 13, 2022

Earlier this month, BofA’s global equity derivatives team warned of a “test and fail” of

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7 Comments on ‘Test And Fail’: The Worst-Case Scenario

US Inflation Unbowed As Producer Prices Accelerate

October 12, 2022October 13, 2022

Anyone hoping for signs of cooler inflation in the US (so, everyone), was disappointed Wednesday,

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5 Comments on US Inflation Unbowed As Producer Prices Accelerate

Total Chaos: UK Morphs Into Emerging Market

October 12, 2022October 14, 2022

The headlines around the UK’s ongoing economic crisis and attendant policy debacle were a sight

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1 Comment on Total Chaos: UK Morphs Into Emerging Market

Is The Bank Of England Playing 3D Chess With Liz Truss?

October 12, 2022October 13, 2022

More than a few observers suggested Andrew Bailey was either oblivious or crazy on Tuesday

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2 Comments on Is The Bank Of England Playing 3D Chess With Liz Truss?

Markets Are Sick. QT Is Dead

October 11, 2022October 12, 2022

“Signs of sickness are growing in markets,” Nomura’s Charlie McElligott said Tuesday. It was a

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10 Comments on Markets Are Sick. QT Is Dead

SEC Comes Knocking At Bored Ape Yacht Club: Bloomberg

October 11, 2022October 12, 2022

Regular readers will fondly (or not) recall my three-month foray into Web3 and decentralized finance.

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5 Comments on SEC Comes Knocking At Bored Ape Yacht Club: Bloomberg

Breaking: Fed Goes Broke

October 11, 2022October 12, 2022

The people who control the money are broke! Fair warning: This is a heavy sarcasm

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4 Comments on Breaking: Fed Goes Broke

IMF Serves Up Lavish Banquet Of Doom

October 11, 2022October 19, 2022

It’s not lookin’ good. That’s the short version of the IMF’s new World Economic Outlook.

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9 Comments on IMF Serves Up Lavish Banquet Of Doom

UK ‘Mixes Uppers With Downers’ In Wild Policy Debacle

October 11, 2022October 11, 2022

A glaring policy disparity is emerging in the UK, and I don’t just mean between

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9 Comments on UK ‘Mixes Uppers With Downers’ In Wild Policy Debacle

Linker Madness Forces Bank Of England Further Down Rabbit Hole

October 11, 2022October 17, 2022

LDI funds in the UK “have made substantial progress” over the past week in addressing

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5 Comments on Linker Madness Forces Bank Of England Further Down Rabbit Hole

Dimon, Jones, Socrates And Wood

October 10, 2022October 11, 2022

Sometimes (ok, pretty much all of the time) I wonder whether we, as market participants,

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22 Comments on Dimon, Jones, Socrates And Wood

‘Unanimous? Really?’: Cathie Wood’s Open Letter To Jay Powell

October 10, 2022October 11, 2022

Regular readers have heard the story more times than most probably care to recall. I

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25 Comments on ‘Unanimous? Really?’: Cathie Wood’s Open Letter To Jay Powell

Chips Ahoy!

October 10, 2022October 19, 2022

Wars, wars everywhere. Lost in the macabre daily news flow out of Ukraine Monday was

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17 Comments on Chips Ahoy!

‘Mass Strikes’

October 10, 2022October 11, 2022

“Curtains flapped from inside the shattered windows of a high rise residential building,” Megan Specia

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16 Comments on ‘Mass Strikes’

Still Meeting Outside The Bunker. For Now

October 9, 2022October 10, 2022

For those weary of war and macro doomsaying, the week ahead will be an arduous

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13 Comments on Still Meeting Outside The Bunker. For Now

Earnings Season Is Here!

October 9, 2022October 10, 2022

Earnings season is upon us, and that’s not necessarily a good thing. The “profit reckoning”

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9 Comments on Earnings Season Is Here!

Plenty Of Pain. Still No Gain

October 9, 2022October 13, 2022

“Fed officials won’t relent on path to 4.5% and may move higher,” one headline declared

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10 Comments on Plenty Of Pain. Still No Gain

R** And The Funniest Thing You’ll Read All Week

October 8, 2022October 10, 2022

The topic du jour across markets and macro in October is the “breakage” discussion. Posed

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18 Comments on R** And The Funniest Thing You’ll Read All Week

Summers: It’s ‘Soul-Searching’ Time For Risky Economic Model

October 8, 2022October 14, 2022

Mary Daly’s protestations aside, the Fed knows that continuing to hike policy rates in large

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23 Comments on Summers: It’s ‘Soul-Searching’ Time For Risky Economic Model

Burning Bridges

October 8, 2022October 14, 2022

“Part of the crossing collapsed into the sea.” That’s a quote from voluminous Saturday coverage

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22 Comments on Burning Bridges

Locked In

October 7, 2022October 9, 2022

“Stocks crushed as jobs keep Fed on hiking path,” one Friday market wrap declared. US

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5 Comments on Locked In

75 Minutes To Midnight

October 7, 2022October 8, 2022

As you might imagine, the September jobs report was widely viewed as confirmatory for another

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4 Comments on 75 Minutes To Midnight

Investors Flee Screaming To Cash Amid ‘Armageddon’ Overhang

October 7, 2022October 8, 2022

Cash isn’t trash anymore. Maybe you noticed. Ray Dalio did. “As John Maynard Keynes is

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1 Comment on Investors Flee Screaming To Cash Amid ‘Armageddon’ Overhang

Posts pagination

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

  • SeaTurtle on F-ck You, Claude (Zen)
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Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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