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Featured

F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

October 27, 2026October 27, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 27, 2026
  • It’s All Relative

    October 27, 2026
  • Around, Around We Go

    October 27, 2026October 27, 2026

Markets

Anthropic: The Promise, The Numbers, The Risks

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026
  • Only You Can Prevent A Bear Market

    October 26, 2026October 27, 2026
  • Credit Canaries

    October 25, 2026October 26, 2026
  • Weekly: Something Wicked This Way Comes?

    October 23, 2026October 26, 2026
  • After The Rally: What’s Next For Treasurys?

    October 23, 2026October 25, 2026

economy

It’s A Big Week

October 25, 2026October 27, 2026
  • What To Expect From The October FOMC Meeting

    October 24, 2026October 26, 2026
  • Kevin Needs A Credit Event

    October 23, 2026October 25, 2026
  • Return Of The Left-Tail

    October 22, 2026October 23, 2026
  • Dear Lord…

    October 20, 2026October 21, 2026

Geopolitics

Lula!

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

Not Done Just Yet?

October 22, 2026October 23, 2026

Questions, But No Answers

October 19, 2026October 20, 2026

Duly Noted

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

Mind The Control Group!

October 15, 2026October 16, 2026

As UK Prices Spiral, The Only Certainty Is Stagflation

October 19, 2022October 20, 2022

UK inflation is double digits. Again. For the second time this year, headline price growth

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4 Comments on As UK Prices Spiral, The Only Certainty Is Stagflation

The New Market Reality: ‘Each Day Is Its Own Ecosystem’

October 18, 2022October 19, 2022

Last week, following one of the most dramatic intraday reversals for US equities in history,

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2 Comments on The New Market Reality: ‘Each Day Is Its Own Ecosystem’

‘Schrödinger’s Economy’

October 18, 2022October 24, 2022

Headed into Q3 reporting season in the US, the narrative among many top-down strategists sounded

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7 Comments on ‘Schrödinger’s Economy’

‘Unhealthy, Unsustainable’: US Housing Recession Worsens Dramatically

October 18, 2022October 20, 2022

Homebuilder sentiment tumbled for a 10th consecutive month in October. In other words, sentiment has

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10 Comments on ‘Unhealthy, Unsustainable’: US Housing Recession Worsens Dramatically

$1 Trillion Now Most Bullish Long-Term Bonds Since 2008

October 18, 2022October 19, 2022

Fund managers have virtually never been this bullish on long-term bonds. Or at least not

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8 Comments on $1 Trillion Now Most Bullish Long-Term Bonds Since 2008

‘No Cuts, No Glory’: Policy Capitulation Seen By More Fund Managers

October 18, 2022October 18, 2022

As usual, BofA’s Michael Hartnett gets points for style. “No cuts, no glory,” read the

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3 Comments on ‘No Cuts, No Glory’: Policy Capitulation Seen By More Fund Managers

Goldman Says Made Lots Of Money. Will Reorganize To Make More

October 18, 2022October 22, 2022

As expected, Goldman unveiled a third reorganization in four years on Tuesday. Consistent with media

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Leave a Comment on Goldman Says Made Lots Of Money. Will Reorganize To Make More

Bad Calls, Worse Op-Eds And Terrible Ideas

October 18, 2022October 24, 2022

Sometimes it’s hard to know who’s serious and who’s just after some press these days.

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8 Comments on Bad Calls, Worse Op-Eds And Terrible Ideas

Dynamite Fishing

October 17, 2022October 18, 2022

Let’s get one thing straight: The selloff in UK bonds accelerated when Kwasi Kwarteng unveiled

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6 Comments on Dynamite Fishing

Goldman: This Is The Remix

October 17, 2022October 18, 2022

I’m sure consumer banking sounded like fun at Goldman, but it’s turned into a hassle.

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5 Comments on Goldman: This Is The Remix

Trussonomics Gets Stunning Coup De Grâce From Hunt

October 17, 2022October 23, 2022

It’s over. Trussonomics is dead. It lasted less than a month. On Monday, one business

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6 Comments on Trussonomics Gets Stunning Coup De Grâce From Hunt

All Things Considered, Bank Of America Doing Pretty Well

October 17, 2022October 18, 2022

US consumers “remained resilient” during the third quarter, Brian Moynihan said Monday, in remarks accompanying

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1 Comment on All Things Considered, Bank Of America Doing Pretty Well

Gilt Trip Looms For Panicked Markets

October 16, 2022October 17, 2022

Update: Trussonomics is dead. Jeremy Hunt on Monday effectively scrapped every key element of Liz

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3 Comments on Gilt Trip Looms For Panicked Markets

Fixer-Uppers

October 16, 2022October 17, 2022

US investors will get a reprieve from top-tier data in the new week, but likely

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10 Comments on Fixer-Uppers

The King’s Speech

October 16, 2022October 22, 2022

“The next five years will be crucial,” Xi Jinping said Sunday, opening the 20th National

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17 Comments on The King’s Speech

Preaching To A Choir Of Bears

October 15, 2022October 17, 2022

It almost feels gratuitous to keep making the case against US equities. It’s preaching to

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8 Comments on Preaching To A Choir Of Bears

‘Yet Another Frame Of Reference’ Collapses Amid Fed Blitz

October 15, 2022October 16, 2022

The rapidity (perhaps “ferocity” is more apt at this juncture) of Fed hikes has markets

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6 Comments on ‘Yet Another Frame Of Reference’ Collapses Amid Fed Blitz

‘Foolproof’ 60/40 Has Worst Year In History. ‘Big Low’ Elusive

October 15, 2022October 24, 2022

Hope springs eternal, which is why, when US equities staged their fifth biggest intraday reversal

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9 Comments on ‘Foolproof’ 60/40 Has Worst Year In History. ‘Big Low’ Elusive

Dimon, Summers Warn Of More ‘Surprises,’ ‘Mines’ After Wild Week

October 14, 2022October 16, 2022

A wild week for markets closed on a decidedly dour note, as US equities fell

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6 Comments on Dimon, Summers Warn Of More ‘Surprises,’ ‘Mines’ After Wild Week

Investment Banking Not Dead, Just Resting

October 14, 2022October 15, 2022

On Friday, on the firm’s Q3 conference call, Morgan Stanley’s James Gorman described himself as

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2 Comments on Investment Banking Not Dead, Just Resting

Gas Prices And Hostile Royals

October 14, 2022October 14, 2022

Bad news. More of it. Consumer inflation expectations in the key University of Michigan survey

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12 Comments on Gas Prices And Hostile Royals

McElligott Explains ‘Stock Reversal For The Ages’

October 14, 2022October 15, 2022

Thursday’s reversal in US equities was one “for the ages,” as one mainstream media outlet

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16 Comments on McElligott Explains ‘Stock Reversal For The Ages’

‘You Have Asked Me To Stand Aside’: Kwarteng Sacked By Truss

October 14, 2022October 14, 2022

“I hope the PM doesn’t think the problem can be solved by getting rid of

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6 Comments on ‘You Have Asked Me To Stand Aside’: Kwarteng Sacked By Truss

Dimon Steers JPMorgan To Solid Quarter Despite Macro Storm

October 14, 2022October 20, 2022

“There are significant headwinds immediately in front of us,” Jamie Dimon said Friday, in remarks

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Leave a Comment on Dimon Steers JPMorgan To Solid Quarter Despite Macro Storm

Bank Of England, Markets 1. Truss 0.

October 14, 2022October 17, 2022

Bank of England governor Andrew Bailey deserves plaudits. I guess. Earlier this week, while speaking

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3 Comments on Bank Of England, Markets 1. Truss 0.

US Retail Sales Ambiguous. Like Everything Else In 2022

October 14, 2022October 15, 2022

Retail sales in the US were flat in September, ambiguous data out Friday showed. Overall,

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‘Ample Tradable Opportunities’

October 13, 2022October 14, 2022

Plainly, something was “amiss” in equities on Thursday, although I’m not sure “amiss” is the

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9 Comments on ‘Ample Tradable Opportunities’

Posts pagination

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

  • Caribbean Breeze on It’s All Relative
  • stephen walton on F-ck You, Claude (Zen)
  • stephen walton on F-ck You, Claude (Zen)
  • Engineer on F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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