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Featured

F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

October 27, 2026October 27, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 27, 2026
  • It’s All Relative

    October 27, 2026
  • Around, Around We Go

    October 27, 2026October 27, 2026

Markets

Anthropic: The Promise, The Numbers, The Risks

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026
  • Only You Can Prevent A Bear Market

    October 26, 2026October 27, 2026
  • Credit Canaries

    October 25, 2026October 26, 2026
  • Weekly: Something Wicked This Way Comes?

    October 23, 2026October 26, 2026
  • After The Rally: What’s Next For Treasurys?

    October 23, 2026October 25, 2026

economy

It’s A Big Week

October 25, 2026October 27, 2026
  • What To Expect From The October FOMC Meeting

    October 24, 2026October 26, 2026
  • Kevin Needs A Credit Event

    October 23, 2026October 25, 2026
  • Return Of The Left-Tail

    October 22, 2026October 23, 2026
  • Dear Lord…

    October 20, 2026October 21, 2026

Geopolitics

Lula!

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

Not Done Just Yet?

October 22, 2026October 23, 2026

Questions, But No Answers

October 19, 2026October 20, 2026

Duly Noted

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

Mind The Control Group!

October 15, 2026October 16, 2026

It’s Bad In Europe

October 31, 2022October 31, 2022

Surprise! European inflation printed ahead of estimates for the sixth consecutive month. Consumer prices likely

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1 Comment on It’s Bad In Europe

‘British Specialists’

October 30, 2022November 5, 2022

It was Colonel Mustard, in the library, with the candlestick! The Kremlin says Moscow knows

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16 Comments on ‘British Specialists’

Why Goldman Thinks The Fed May Hike Past February

October 30, 2022October 31, 2022

Notwithstanding an inevitable “step-down” in the pace, Jerome Powell’s Fed may find itself compelled to

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1 Comment on Why Goldman Thinks The Fed May Hike Past February

Labor Of Dove

October 30, 2022October 31, 2022

In addition to Jerome Powell’s all-important post-FOMC press conference, markets will grapple in the days

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1 Comment on Labor Of Dove

What To Expect From Jerome Powell’s All-Important Presser

October 30, 2022November 2, 2022

Jerome Powell needs to balance three considerations at the November FOMC meeting. Most obviously, there’s

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12 Comments on What To Expect From Jerome Powell’s All-Important Presser

Pivot Buzz Looses Dangerous Animal Spirits

October 29, 2022October 30, 2022

“It’s certainly bold from a timing perspective,” Nomura’s Charlie McElligott said. He was referring to

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11 Comments on Pivot Buzz Looses Dangerous Animal Spirits

Bad Pivot Optics, And A Harsh Word On Japan

October 29, 2022October 30, 2022

To be fair, there won’t likely be an identifiable all-clear moment for inflation — no

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11 Comments on Bad Pivot Optics, And A Harsh Word On Japan

Blink Once For Crash Up

October 28, 2022October 30, 2022

You should be able to tell this story yourself. It’s a familiar tale. Friday’s raucous

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2 Comments on Blink Once For Crash Up

Blame Big Oil

October 28, 2022October 30, 2022

26 months ago, almost to the day, the financial pages were awash with news of

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6 Comments on Blame Big Oil

Housing Crash Pending

October 28, 2022November 7, 2022

The last of this week’s key housing market data was dastardly. Maybe that’s hyperbole. I’ll

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26 Comments on Housing Crash Pending

Between Two Recessions

October 28, 2022October 29, 2022

The US consumer is resilient. Or at least that’ll be the narrative until there’s conclusive

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12 Comments on Between Two Recessions

Serfs Up

October 28, 2022October 29, 2022

Workers sure are expensive these days. They’re hard to come by, too. Compensation costs for

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6 Comments on Serfs Up

Impossibly Wild 2022 Sets Up Near Certainty For 2023

October 28, 2022October 29, 2022

Some believe the subtle shift in central bank behavior witnessed over the past month means

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Leave a Comment on Impossibly Wild 2022 Sets Up Near Certainty For 2023

Can Mark Zuckerberg Go Broke?

October 27, 2022October 28, 2022

It was a rough day to be Mark Zuckerberg. For the second time in 2022,

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29 Comments on Can Mark Zuckerberg Go Broke?

‘Recession Over’ Jokes Mask Weaker US Economy

October 27, 2022November 1, 2022

Rejoice. The US has exited recession. There’s some sarcasm in there. Don’t miss it. After

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7 Comments on ‘Recession Over’ Jokes Mask Weaker US Economy

Amazon Risks Wipeout With Bad Guide. Apple Still Apple

October 27, 2022October 28, 2022

Amazon and Apple closed the book on mega-cap US tech earnings Thursday with results that

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7 Comments on Amazon Risks Wipeout With Bad Guide. Apple Still Apple

A ‘Historic’ Multi-Billion Dollar Meme Stock Restructuring

October 27, 2022October 28, 2022

Credit Suisse didn’t implode. As it turns out, the shrill social media cacophony and sundry

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Leave a Comment on A ‘Historic’ Multi-Billion Dollar Meme Stock Restructuring

ECB May As Well Just Quit Now

October 27, 2022October 27, 2022

Convoluted. That’s a one-word description of the ECB’s October meeting, which found Christine Lagarde and

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6 Comments on ECB May As Well Just Quit Now

Zuckerberg’s Metaverse Ambitions Bleed Billions

October 26, 2022November 2, 2022

Mark Zuckerberg’s fading fortunes (and you can take that figuratively, literally or both) hung in

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22 Comments on Zuckerberg’s Metaverse Ambitions Bleed Billions

Is Canada’s Monetary Policy Hopelessly Politicized?

October 26, 2022October 29, 2022

You need the nuance. It’s critical. Hold that thought. The Bank of Canada underwhelmed markets

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5 Comments on Is Canada’s Monetary Policy Hopelessly Politicized?

New US Home Prices Reaccelerate As Mortgage Rates Top 7%

October 26, 2022October 29, 2022

New home sales held up better than expected in the US last month, data out

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3 Comments on New US Home Prices Reaccelerate As Mortgage Rates Top 73

The Offshore Yuan Just Surged The Most In History

October 26, 2022October 26, 2022

A top tier global economy intervened to stabilize its currency on Tuesday and Wednesday. And

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1 Comment on The Offshore Yuan Just Surged The Most In History

Stale Chips

October 26, 2022October 27, 2022

I’d call them inauspicious developments, but that seems trite. Seemingly all developments are inauspicious in

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11 Comments on Stale Chips

Is A Treasury ‘Intervention’ Imminent?

October 25, 2022November 5, 2022

Janet Yellen is “very focused” on Treasury market functioning. That’s according to remarks delivered on

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3 Comments on Is A Treasury ‘Intervention’ Imminent?

Pace Of US Home Price Gains Falls Most Ever. Again

October 25, 2022November 2, 2022

The Fed’s efforts to pop a housing bubble they helped facilitate are working. The pace

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11 Comments on Pace Of US Home Price Gains Falls Most Ever. Again

Stubborn Inflation Has Americans In ‘Dismal’ Mood

October 25, 2022October 29, 2022

In yet another sign that the US economy is poised to decelerate after what economists

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Leave a Comment on Stubborn Inflation Has Americans In ‘Dismal’ Mood

Microsoft, Alphabet Results May Underwhelm Anxious Markets

October 25, 2022October 26, 2022

Alphabet and Microsoft kicked off mega-cap US tech earnings on Tuesday afternoon with what I’d

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5 Comments on Microsoft, Alphabet Results May Underwhelm Anxious Markets

Posts pagination

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

  • growly on F-ck You, Claude (Zen)
  • Engineer on F-ck You, Claude (Zen)
  • therealheisenberg on F-ck You, Claude (Zen)
  • SeaTurtle on Frozen Bubble

Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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