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Featured

F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

October 27, 2026October 27, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 27, 2026
  • It’s All Relative

    October 27, 2026
  • Around, Around We Go

    October 27, 2026October 27, 2026

Markets

Anthropic: The Promise, The Numbers, The Risks

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026
  • Only You Can Prevent A Bear Market

    October 26, 2026October 27, 2026
  • Credit Canaries

    October 25, 2026October 26, 2026
  • Weekly: Something Wicked This Way Comes?

    October 23, 2026October 26, 2026
  • After The Rally: What’s Next For Treasurys?

    October 23, 2026October 25, 2026

economy

It’s A Big Week

October 25, 2026October 27, 2026
  • What To Expect From The October FOMC Meeting

    October 24, 2026October 26, 2026
  • Kevin Needs A Credit Event

    October 23, 2026October 25, 2026
  • Return Of The Left-Tail

    October 22, 2026October 23, 2026
  • Dear Lord…

    October 20, 2026October 21, 2026

Geopolitics

Lula!

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

Not Done Just Yet?

October 22, 2026October 23, 2026

Questions, But No Answers

October 19, 2026October 20, 2026

Duly Noted

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

Mind The Control Group!

October 15, 2026October 16, 2026

Was Bloomberg The CNBC Of Crypto?

November 12, 2022November 28, 2022

[Editor’s note: The original version of this article referred to “DeFi yield farming,” as opposed

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13 Comments on Was Bloomberg The CNBC Of Crypto?

Lions, Tigers, Bears. But No Recession, No Rate Cuts

November 12, 2022November 13, 2022

In November, we’ve seen mass layoffs, declining profit expectations and credit events. Lions, tigers, bears,

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2 Comments on Lions, Tigers, Bears. But No Recession, No Rate Cuts

Why Historic CPI Rally Was A Disaster For The Fed

November 11, 2022November 19, 2022

Headed into the November FOMC meeting, many worried Jerome Powell would come across as unduly

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6 Comments on Why Historic CPI Rally Was A Disaster For The Fed

Does Bankman-Fried Deserve A Bail Out?

November 11, 2022November 13, 2022

Predictably, my coverage of Sam Bankman-Fried’s self-described “f–k up” elicited several irritated e-mails from incorrigible

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19 Comments on Does Bankman-Fried Deserve A Bail Out?

Tunnels, Lights And Trains

November 11, 2022November 12, 2022

There’s a light at the end of the tunnel. (Insert oncoming train joke.) One argument

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8 Comments on Tunnels, Lights And Trains

If Bad News Falls In The Forest…

November 11, 2022November 14, 2022

There was bad news on the macro front Friday, although between Veteran’s Day, high drama

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3 Comments on If Bad News Falls In The Forest…

Perfect Bullish Storm

November 10, 2022November 11, 2022

“One month of data does not a victory make,” Mary Daly said Thursday, speaking during

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5 Comments on Perfect Bullish Storm

On Wall Street, A Day To Remember

November 10, 2022November 11, 2022

Thursday will go down as one of the more memorable sessions in a year full

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Leave a Comment on On Wall Street, A Day To Remember

McElligott, Nomura Hit Home Run With CPI Call

November 10, 2022November 11, 2022

[Editor’s note: By the close Thursday, the Nasdaq 100’s gain was 7.5%] The dramatic, knee-jerk

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6 Comments on McElligott, Nomura Hit Home Run With CPI Call

Hallelujah

November 10, 2022November 14, 2022

Markets were handed the first piece of good inflation news in months on Thursday, when

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10 Comments on Hallelujah

‘I F—ed Up’

November 10, 2022November 17, 2022

“I f—ed up.” So said Sam Bankman-Fried, on a call with FTX investors, many of

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6 Comments on ‘I F—ed Up’

Tremendous Ambiguity

November 9, 2022November 10, 2022

A palpable sense of “What now?” pervaded US markets Wednesday, when the combination of inconclusive

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Dear Crypto: You Have No Lender Of Last Resort

November 9, 2022November 10, 2022

I said I wasn’t going to write about FTX and Sam Bankman-Fried, and God knows

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5 Comments on Dear Crypto: You Have No Lender Of Last Resort

Purple Mud

November 9, 2022November 16, 2022

Americans awoke to the shrill bleating of iPhone alarms and the acrid smell of decaying

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15 Comments on Purple Mud

Bird Bath

November 9, 2022November 10, 2022

If I were a Tesla shareholder (and we all are in index funds), I wouldn’t

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2 Comments on Bird Bath

Summers, Bidenomics Critic, Says Biden Midterms Best Since JFK

November 9, 2022November 14, 2022

Larry Summers says there’s hope for American democracy yet, if not, perhaps, for the economy.

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9 Comments on Summers, Bidenomics Critic, Says Biden Midterms Best Since JFK

Familiar Dynamics

November 8, 2022November 9, 2022

I’ve said it before, and I’ll say it again: I don’t envy anyone tasked with

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14 Comments on Familiar Dynamics

Praying For A Compromise

November 8, 2022November 9, 2022

2022 was unambiguously bad for bonds. You might say laughably bad, assuming you can find

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4 Comments on Praying For A Compromise

Four-Step Program

November 8, 2022November 9, 2022

If you ask highly qualified professionals, many of whom probably spent the rough equivalent of

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5 Comments on Four-Step Program

For America’s Small Businesses, ‘Rough Times Ahead’

November 8, 2022November 9, 2022

For the tenth straight month, US small business optimism loitered below the half-century average. I

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2 Comments on For America’s Small Businesses, ‘Rough Times Ahead’

US Housing Bubble: Something’s Gotta Give

November 7, 2022November 16, 2022

“Way” back on October 28, while responding to comments on an article documenting a 31%

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22 Comments on US Housing Bubble: Something’s Gotta Give

Markets And Midterms: Is Past Precedent?

November 7, 2022November 8, 2022

There’s an argument to be made that the midterm elections in the US don’t matter

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5 Comments on Markets And Midterms: Is Past Precedent?

Markets, Strategy And Gridlock: Key Midterm Considerations

November 7, 2022November 13, 2022

This feels entirely trite, but I’m compelled to mention it anyway as the US midterms

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6 Comments on Markets, Strategy And Gridlock: Key Midterm Considerations

Despot Times, Despot Measures

November 7, 2022November 8, 2022

The balance of news flow out of China was anything but encouraging Monday, but don’t

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5 Comments on Despot Times, Despot Measures

The Worst Year Ever. And What Might Be Next

November 6, 2022November 7, 2022

Barring a miracle, 2022 will be a year to forget for market participants. Ironically in

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6 Comments on The Worst Year Ever. And What Might Be Next

Inflation Meets US Midterms In High Stakes Week

November 6, 2022November 10, 2022

The data calendar in the US is sparse this week with a notable exception: CPI.

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1 Comment on Inflation Meets US Midterms In High Stakes Week

Sorry, But Democrats Are Wrong About Energy Policy

November 6, 2022November 7, 2022

In what amounts to little more than pre-midterm posturing, Joe Biden continues to float the

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18 Comments on Sorry, But Democrats Are Wrong About Energy Policy

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

  • growly on F-ck You, Claude (Zen)
  • Engineer on F-ck You, Claude (Zen)
  • therealheisenberg on F-ck You, Claude (Zen)
  • SeaTurtle on Frozen Bubble

Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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