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Featured

F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

October 27, 2026October 27, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 27, 2026
  • It’s All Relative

    October 27, 2026
  • Around, Around We Go

    October 27, 2026October 27, 2026

Markets

Anthropic: The Promise, The Numbers, The Risks

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026
  • Only You Can Prevent A Bear Market

    October 26, 2026October 27, 2026
  • Credit Canaries

    October 25, 2026October 26, 2026
  • Weekly: Something Wicked This Way Comes?

    October 23, 2026October 26, 2026
  • After The Rally: What’s Next For Treasurys?

    October 23, 2026October 25, 2026

economy

It’s A Big Week

October 25, 2026October 27, 2026
  • What To Expect From The October FOMC Meeting

    October 24, 2026October 26, 2026
  • Kevin Needs A Credit Event

    October 23, 2026October 25, 2026
  • Return Of The Left-Tail

    October 22, 2026October 23, 2026
  • Dear Lord…

    October 20, 2026October 21, 2026

Geopolitics

Lula!

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

Not Done Just Yet?

October 22, 2026October 23, 2026

Questions, But No Answers

October 19, 2026October 20, 2026

Duly Noted

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

Mind The Control Group!

October 15, 2026October 16, 2026

Bolsonaro Gets His Trump Moment

January 8, 2023January 16, 2023

A riot in the halls of power fueled by false claims of election fraud perpetuated

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1 Comment on Bolsonaro Gets His Trump Moment

Balloon Animals

January 8, 2023February 6, 2023

The good vibes on Wall Street engendered by last week’s “Goldilocks” jobs report are set

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1 Comment on Balloon Animals

Is The US Profit Recession Finally Here?

January 7, 2023February 6, 2023

Those of a bearish persuasion have waited six months (at least) for concrete evidence to

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Leave a Comment on Is The US Profit Recession Finally Here?

A ‘Most Unfortunate’ Week For America

January 7, 2023January 15, 2023

“It took this long, now we learned how to govern.” Said Kevin McCarthy, in a

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16 Comments on A ‘Most Unfortunate’ Week For America

Point Of Pride

January 6, 2023February 6, 2023

The West tried to give Xi Jinping the vaccines he needed to help protect 1.4

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12 Comments on Point Of Pride

Bad Service!

January 6, 2023February 6, 2023

The US labor market is still hanging tough, according to this week’s slate of top-tier

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2 Comments on Bad Service!

Crucial US Jobs Report Is Goldilocks With Asterisk

January 6, 2023January 13, 2023

The US economy added 223,000 jobs in December, the government said Friday. That was ahead

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2 Comments on Crucial US Jobs Report Is Goldilocks With Asterisk

Europe’s Caveat-Laden Inflation Drop Eyed Warily

January 6, 2023February 6, 2023

Allahu Akbar! Inflation in Europe receded more than expected in December, data out Friday showed.

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Blowback

January 5, 2023February 6, 2023

“Gaetz,” came the call. “Donald John Trump,” came the reply. “Trump,” the voice confirmed. And

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13 Comments on Blowback

The Fed ‘Will Love Me Even If I Don’t Listen’

January 5, 2023February 6, 2023

“I’ll be over 5% and I see staying there for some time,” Esther George told

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3 Comments on The Fed ‘Will Love Me Even If I Don’t Listen’

US Jobs Market Refuses To Surrender

January 5, 2023January 7, 2023

Thursday brought more robust jobs data out of the US economy, underscoring the Fed’s uphill

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1 Comment on US Jobs Market Refuses To Surrender

Bring Back Bezos

January 5, 2023February 6, 2023

In late April of last year, while unveiling Q1 results, Amazon foreshadowed an overcapacity problem

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23 Comments on Bring Back Bezos

Fed Offers Rare Rebuke Of Market Rally In Meeting Minutes

January 4, 2023February 6, 2023

Those of you old enough to remember three weeks ago will recall that Jerome Powell

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5 Comments on Fed Offers Rare Rebuke Of Market Rally In Meeting Minutes

Yield Curve Godfather Says This Time May Be Different

January 4, 2023January 5, 2023

“Ask the yield curve” is a common reply when it comes to questions about whether

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7 Comments on Yield Curve Godfather Says This Time May Be Different

Crucial US Labor Market Data Shows No Rebalancing Progress

January 4, 2023February 6, 2023

There were 10.458 million job openings across the US economy on the last business day

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Worst-Case Conjuncture With A Silver Lining

January 4, 2023February 6, 2023

If you wanted to, you could describe Wednesday’s key data out of the world’s largest

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3 Comments on Worst-Case Conjuncture With A Silver Lining

Trumpism Achieves Its Independence In McCarthy Drama

January 4, 2023January 15, 2023

“Bullsh-t.” Maybe she shouted it, maybe not, but one way or another, Lauren Boebert didn’t

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13 Comments on Trumpism Achieves Its Independence In McCarthy Drama

Knock On Wood

January 3, 2023February 6, 2023

The earliest price action of 2023 in US equities found two growth heavyweights under pressure,

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8 Comments on Knock On Wood

The Growth Stock Bubble Finally Burst

January 3, 2023January 4, 2023

It’s no secret that 2022 was a veritable disaster for growth stocks. Scores of investors

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2 Comments on The Growth Stock Bubble Finally Burst

Recompense

January 3, 2023February 6, 2023

At this rate, the Weimar jokes may be out of fashion by the end of

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2 Comments on Recompense

2023 Orientation Day

January 3, 2023February 6, 2023

The first work day of the new year began with a deluge of notes and

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1 Comment on 2023 Orientation Day

Burning Questions

January 3, 2023February 6, 2023

Nothing says “pile into stocks” like piles of corpses. Don’t blame me for the macabre

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13 Comments on Burning Questions

Lost Down There

January 2, 2023January 9, 2023

I’m supposed to care about Tesla deliveries, and you are too. There was a time

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15 Comments on Lost Down There

When Bad Counts As Optimistic

January 2, 2023February 6, 2023

What’s worth highlighting when nothing’s worth highlighting? That’s a question I grapple with during long

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3 Comments on When Bad Counts As Optimistic

If 2023 Brings A US Recession, Don’t Expect Congress To Help

January 2, 2023February 6, 2023

I thought this was obvious, but apparently not: The prospects of fiscal measures to bolster

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3 Comments on If 2023 Brings A US Recession, Don’t Expect Congress To Help

No, Michael Burry Didn’t Say The US Is In A Recession

January 2, 2023January 3, 2023

Michael Burry kicked off the new year with a prediction. “Inflation peaked. But it is

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13 Comments on No, Michael Burry Didn’t Say The US Is In A Recession

New Year’s Resolutions

January 1, 2023January 7, 2023

Vladimir Putin sent dozens of Iranian drones into Ukraine on New Year’s Eve and into

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1 Comment on New Year’s Resolutions

Posts pagination

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

  • SeaTurtle on F-ck You, Claude (Zen)
  • BustedClock on F-ck You, Claude (Zen)
  • Eddie Z on It’s All Relative
  • NY Jeff on F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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