Rising Recession Odds Bring Out The Bond Bulls
I’ll say one thing for Hoisington’s quarterly letters: They’re efficient. The firm, which is synonymous
The Ongoing Investor Perils Of Recency Bias
Why was last year’s historic 60/40 drawdown so shocking to so many investors, professional, amateur
Three Reasons Stocks Keep Frustrating The Bears
As you might’ve noticed, some of the most recognizable names on the sell-side are adamant
Tail Risks And Sideline Cash
The biggest tail risk is now a credit crunch accompanied by a global recession. That’s
Untidy Goldman Results Suggest Solomon’s Pivot Still Work In Progress
I think it’s fair to suggest that some observers believe Goldman has lost its way
BofA Bolstered By Blockbuster FICC Haul, Solid NII
Last week’s big bank results suggested America’s largest financial institutions fared well in the first
Chinese Economy Remains A Riddle
The Chinese economy expanded 4.5% during the first quarter, according to what I’ll generously call
Market Breadth Now Weakest Ever, Famous Bear Warns
Two of the sell-side’s most recognizable names warned on market breadth Monday. In an asset
Kolanovic: Market Risk-Reward ‘Heavily Favors Cash’
“Markets often bottom before the end of a recession, but not before the beginning of
Kevin McCarthy Calmly Warns Wall Street Of ‘Debt Detonation’
Kevin McCarthy doesn’t want Joe Biden to “bumble” into a technical US default. That’s according
Stocks Got $70 Billion Assist From Vol-Control Demand
If you’re wondering how much support equities have potentially received from the vol-sensitive mechanical bid
Investing With The Power Of Hindsight
Hindsight is a helluva thing. If time travel were possible, hindsight would be tantamount to
The Bullfighter
Equities have proven remarkably resilient in the face of recent banking sector tumult and amid
The Simple Dynamic Most Investors Miss
Too many investors are missing a very simple, but very important, dynamic at the heart
‘Fed Cuts Versus Recession’: The Next Battle
Where to from here? “Recession! That’s where.” Or so goes the refrain from seemingly everyone
In Macro Limbo, Your Guess Is As Good As Anyone’s
The data calendar in the US is relatively sparse in the new week, which could
Kevin McCarthy To Get Unseriously Serious About US Debt Standoff
It’s tax week in the US, and Kevin McCarthy is apparently poised to detail House
Lula, Xi And Two Quick Thoughts On De-Dollarization
“We have interests in building a new geopolitics so that we can change world governance,”
Inflation Is Independent Of Money And Policy, PhDs Remind You
“Inflation, as a phenomenon, is independent of central banks and money. It can easily occur
US Rents Fall First Time Since Pandemic
There’s good news for America’s legions of renters who, thanks to the pandemic housing frenzy
What Jamie Dimon Said On JPMorgan’s Earnings Call
For obvious reasons, market participants were keen to hear from Jamie Dimon on Friday. JPMorgan’s
Among The Giants
Bigger is better when you’re a bank. Big banks might contest that assertion depending on
Bulls, Bears And Surprises
Like most people who harbor generalized doubts about humanity, not much surprises me. I often
Waller Versus Bostic
Raphael Bostic is ready to pause Fed rate hikes after one final move in May.
JPMorgan, Dimon Pass Earnings Test With Flying Colors
JPMorgan kicked off big bank earnings with a very solid set of results, particularly under
Americans Fly Blind On Inflation. Unmoved By Bank Drama
If US consumers are worried about banking stress, it’s not showing up in surveyed sentiment,
Ambiguous Retail Sales Suggest American Consumers In Limbo
US retail sales fell more than expected in March, data released on Friday showed, adding
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