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Anthropic: The Promise, The Numbers, The Risks

October 26, 2026October 26, 2026
  • Only You Can Prevent A Bear Market

    October 26, 2026October 26, 2026
  • Lula!

    October 26, 2026October 26, 2026
  • It’s A Big Week

    October 25, 2026October 25, 2026

Markets

Credit Canaries

October 25, 2026October 26, 2026
  • Weekly: Something Wicked This Way Comes?

    October 23, 2026October 26, 2026
  • After The Rally: What’s Next For Treasurys?

    October 23, 2026October 25, 2026
  • BONDS!!!

    October 22, 2026October 24, 2026
  • Flying Cars, New Share Class Highlight Tesla, Meta Results

    October 21, 2026October 22, 2026

economy

What To Expect From The October FOMC Meeting

October 24, 2026October 26, 2026
  • Kevin Needs A Credit Event

    October 23, 2026October 25, 2026
  • Return Of The Left-Tail

    October 22, 2026October 23, 2026
  • Dear Lord…

    October 20, 2026October 21, 2026
  • Euphoric Depression

    October 19, 2026October 20, 2026

Geopolitics

Not Done Just Yet?

October 22, 2026October 23, 2026

Questions, But No Answers

October 19, 2026October 20, 2026

France Can’t Even Save Itself, Let Alone NATO

October 18, 2026October 19, 2026

Duly Noted

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

Mind The Control Group!

October 15, 2026October 16, 2026

Data Suggests US Inflation Firmly Entrenched. Sorry.

April 28, 2023May 1, 2023

US labor costs increased more than expected in Q1, according to crucial quarterly compensation figures

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9 Comments on Data Suggests US Inflation Firmly Entrenched. Sorry.

Big Oil, Big Money

April 28, 2023April 28, 2023

For the fourth straight quarter, Exxon raked in $10 billion or more in profits. Results

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1 Comment on Big Oil, Big Money

Europe Walks ‘Along The Rim’ Of Stagflation

April 28, 2023April 29, 2023

Top-tier macro updates out of Europe reflected varying degrees of economic resilience, even as stagflation

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2 Comments on Europe Walks ‘Along The Rim’ Of Stagflation

Cash Pours Back Into Money Funds. Fed Borrowing Jumps

April 27, 2023April 27, 2023

Cash poured back into money market funds in the week to April 26, closely-watched flows

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Amazon Beats Across The Board, But AWS Comments Spook Markets

April 27, 2023April 28, 2023

Amazon delivered solid quarterly results on Thursday afternoon in the US, joining mega-cap peers Microsoft,

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6 Comments on Amazon Beats Across The Board, But AWS Comments Spook Markets

Bears Struggle To Shake 2023’s ‘Can’t Win For Losing’ Curse

April 27, 2023April 27, 2023

For a day, maybe two, it looked like the stars might be aligning for a

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1 Comment on Bears Struggle To Shake 2023’s ‘Can’t Win For Losing’ Curse

3 Key Charts From The US GDP Figures

April 27, 2023April 27, 2023

If you weren’t enamored with the advance read on Q1 GDP in the US, no

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Markets Handed Stagflationary GDP Report

April 27, 2023April 28, 2023

The US economy grew less briskly than expected in Q1, the advance read on first

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2 Comments on Markets Handed Stagflationary GDP Report

US Pending Home Sales Plunge On Lack Of Available Houses

April 27, 2023April 28, 2023

Existing US home sales may be set to fall during the spring buying season. Or

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1 Comment on US Pending Home Sales Plunge On Lack Of Available Houses

Overdue Bills

April 27, 2023April 28, 2023

“The president has made clear this bill has no chance of becoming law.” “It is

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3 Comments on Overdue Bills

Banks Face New Era Of Run Risk In Always-Connected World

April 26, 2023July 24, 2023

Maybe it’s a dearth of other bad market news to monetize, maybe it’s a genuine

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6 Comments on Banks Face New Era Of Run Risk In Always-Connected World

Meta Beats, Delivers Impressive Guide As Mega-Tech Defies Gloom

April 26, 2023April 27, 2023

Meta returned to top-line growth in Q1, results released after the bell on Wednesday showed.

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1 Comment on Meta Beats, Delivers Impressive Guide As Mega-Tech Defies Gloom

Who’s Gonna Buy Stocks Now?

April 26, 2023May 2, 2023

Where’s the demand supposed to come from? From a stylized perspective, stocks are subject to

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America Now A 5% Inflation Country, Summers Says

April 26, 2023April 26, 2023

I’ve said it over and over again, and it’s not an especially popular talking point

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2 Comments on America Now A 52 Inflation Country, Summers Says

‘A Long And Meaningful Phone Call’

April 26, 2023July 24, 2023

For the first time since Russia invaded its neighbor, Volodymyr Zelensky spoke to Xi Jinping.

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1 Comment on ‘A Long And Meaningful Phone Call’

‘Things Have Changed’: Quants Could Sell $276 Billion In ‘Down Big’ Tape

April 26, 2023July 24, 2023

The systematic crowd has done all it can. The burden of sustaining the equity rally

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5 Comments on ‘Things Have Changed’: Quants Could Sell $276 Billion In ‘Down Big’ Tape

Microsoft, Alphabet Top Forecasts With Cloud, AI In Focus

April 25, 2023April 26, 2023

Both Microsoft and Alphabet remain going concerns, according to the first of this season’s quarterly

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3 Comments on Microsoft, Alphabet Top Forecasts With Cloud, AI In Focus

McElligott Flags Risk Of ‘Accident’ In 0DTE Behavioral Shift

April 25, 2023April 25, 2023

Short vol strategies have been profitable lately. “Grotesquely” so, in fact. The colorful description comes

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The Recession That Never Came

April 25, 2023April 26, 2023

Another day, another reminder that a US recession is just around the corner. Allegedly. I’m

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4 Comments on The Recession That Never Came

4 Reasons One Bear Hasn’t Turned Bullish

April 25, 2023April 25, 2023

For quite some time now, one bank’s leading earnings indicators have tipped a marked deceleration

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Leave a Comment on 4 Reasons One Bear Hasn’t Turned Bullish

New US Home Sales Surge. Average Prices Jump Back Near Record

April 25, 2023April 26, 2023

New home sales in the US soared almost 10% last month, as lower mortgage rates

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1 Comment on New US Home Sales Surge. Average Prices Jump Back Near Record

Surprise! US Home Prices Are Rising Again

April 25, 2023April 25, 2023

US home prices unexpectedly rose in February, backward-looking data released on Tuesday showed. I’m not

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2 Comments on Surprise! US Home Prices Are Rising Again

Americans Condemn Themselves To Election Rematch They Don’t Want

April 25, 2023April 26, 2023

In an NBC News poll released last week, 70% said Joe Biden shouldn’t seek reelection.

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10 Comments on Americans Condemn Themselves To Election Rematch They Don’t Want

Kolanovic, McElligott Weigh In On Collapsed Stock Volatility

April 24, 2023July 24, 2023

The market is “dominated by option sellers.” That’s according to JPMorgan analysts led by Marko

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2 Comments on Kolanovic, McElligott Weigh In On Collapsed Stock Volatility

Are Good Earnings Bad News In 2023?

April 24, 2023April 25, 2023

Do we even want a good reporting season from corporate America? Arguably not. Or at

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US Equities Vol Regime Undergoes ‘Polar Opposite’ Shift

April 24, 2023April 24, 2023

You’ve heard it again and again: You only need downside protection if you have exposure

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Rate Cuts? Maybe. Easing Cycle? No.

April 24, 2023April 24, 2023

“This time” is famously “never different,” but this cycle certainly is. It’s been a generation

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Leave a Comment on Rate Cuts? Maybe. Easing Cycle? No.

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

  • Gimpy on Anthropic: The Promise, The Numbers, The Risks
  • T-Dog on Anthropic: The Promise, The Numbers, The Risks
  • Jerry Brown on Anthropic: The Promise, The Numbers, The Risks
  • John3D on Anthropic: The Promise, The Numbers, The Risks

Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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