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Featured

Yeah, But Can It Draw A LEGO?

September 22, 2026
  • WTF: Buyer’s Market, Higher Prices?

    September 22, 2026
  • ‘Do I Annihilate Iran, Drive Them Into Hell?’ Nobel Hopeful Asks

    September 22, 2026
  • ‘Let The Oil Flow!’ Again!

    September 22, 2026September 22, 2026

Markets

There’s A Lot Riding On The Chips…

September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • Erstwhile Bear Confident In Year-End Stock Rally

    September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • Wall Street’s Fata Morgana Risk

    September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • What Happens To Stocks If Treasury Yields Go To 6%?

    September 20, 2026September 21, 2026
  • ‘The House’ Humiliated As Yen Plunges

    September 18, 2026September 20, 2026

economy

The Fed’s Never Been This Sure About The Jobs Market

September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • Weekly: The Counterfactual

    September 18, 2026September 20, 2026
  • A Mixed Read On A Grim Housing Market

    September 17, 2026September 19, 2026
  • Below 200k. Again.

    September 17, 2026September 18, 2026
  • Warsh Fed Hikes, Thank God

    September 16, 2026September 17, 2026

Geopolitics

A King In Washington

September 20, 2026September 21, 2026

Achtung Baby

September 20, 2026September 21, 2026

The ‘Real-World’ Energy Shock’s Finally Here

September 19, 2026September 21, 2026

Duly Noted

Who’s Coming To Nashville?

September 19, 2026September 20, 2026

Builder Sentiment Crumbles As US Mortgage Rates Soar

September 16, 2026September 17, 2026

Market’s Mexico Concerns Mount As Sheinbaum Pushes Judicial Reform

June 11, 2024July 4, 2024

A week on from Morena’s landslide victory in Mexico’s largest-ever election, Claudia Sheinbaum’s still shaking

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4 Comments on Market’s Mexico Concerns Mount As Sheinbaum Pushes Judicial Reform

In France, A Mess

June 11, 2024July 4, 2024

The domestic political situation in France remained extremely tenuous on Tuesday, when Emmanuel Macron’s inner

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7 Comments on In France, A Mess

Split Decisions

June 10, 2024July 4, 2024

I shouldn’t have to say this, but there’s nothing fundamentally bullish about stock splits. Wait.

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1 Comment on Split Decisions

The Stocks Will Be Fine, Americans Reckon

June 10, 2024July 4, 2024

The stocks will be fine. If the whole world burns — I don’t know why

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Leave a Comment on The Stocks Will Be Fine, Americans Reckon

Mother Of All Tail Risks

June 10, 2024July 4, 2024

“Demagogues and nationalists on the rise is bad for our nation, it’s bad for Europe

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18 Comments on Mother Of All Tail Risks

A Tale Of Two Economies

June 10, 2024June 11, 2024

Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson told a familiar story on Monday. I won’t spend too much

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9 Comments on A Tale Of Two Economies

Flows Worth Knowing

June 9, 2024July 4, 2024

Bullish flows! Or something. I don’t know. You gotta have a hook. Otherwise it’s just

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Inflation Jokes

June 9, 2024June 10, 2024

Five and a half hours before the June FOMC decision (or maybe more, depending on

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10 Comments on Inflation Jokes

What To Expect From The June FOMC Meeting

June 9, 2024June 12, 2024

It wasn’t so long ago when markets were holding out hope for a rate cut

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11 Comments on What To Expect From The June FOMC Meeting

Benny Gantz Resigns Despite High-Profile Hostage Rescue

June 8, 2024July 4, 2024

[Editor’s note: This article was updated on June 9, 2024, with details of Benny Gantz’s

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5 Comments on Benny Gantz Resigns Despite High-Profile Hostage Rescue

When Everyone Says It’s Not A Bubble…

June 7, 2024July 4, 2024

“You know it’s a bubble when everyone starts telling you it’s not a bubble.” That’s

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4 Comments on When Everyone Says It’s Not A Bubble…

Sorry, Cam Harvey

June 7, 2024July 4, 2024

Way back two weeks ago, I took a few minutes to editorialize around what I

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1 Comment on Sorry, Cam Harvey

Charon’s Obol

June 7, 2024December 26, 2024

“We’re already late.” She drummed her fingers impatiently on the sides of the steering wheel.

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17 Comments on Charon’s Obol

Barnburner US Jobs Report Comes With Caveats

June 7, 2024June 9, 2024

The US economy added far more jobs than expected in May and wage growth was

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World Chokes On China

June 7, 2024June 8, 2024

The latest trade data out of China didn’t do much to dispense with the idea

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‘Pinpointed’

June 6, 2024July 4, 2024

Another day, another macabre collage of images from Gaza, where throngs of dejected locals lingered

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4 Comments on ‘Pinpointed’

Good, Bad And Everything In-Between

June 6, 2024July 4, 2024

It was the same story on Thursday, when US equities meandered ahead of payrolls: Bad

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1 Comment on Good, Bad And Everything In-Between

Tentative Evidence

June 6, 2024June 7, 2024

Thursday brought more tentative evidence to support the contention that the US labor market’s cooling.

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3 Comments on Tentative Evidence

ECB Cuts Rates After Historic Hiking Cycle

June 6, 2024June 7, 2024

The ECB on Thursday became the second G7 central bank in two days to cut

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AI Isn’t A Bubble Yet, One Bank Says

June 5, 2024July 4, 2024

There’s no shortage of bubble talk in 2024 and with Nvidia now more valuable than

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2 Comments on AI Isn’t A Bubble Yet, One Bank Says

Why A US Recession ‘Might Yet Arrive After All’

June 5, 2024July 4, 2024

Albert Edwards suspects a US recession might be just around the corner. You could’ve written

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4 Comments on Why A US Recession ‘Might Yet Arrive After All’

Siren Songs Of Summer

June 5, 2024June 6, 2024

“S&P 500 heads for record close as Nvidia soars, investors look for rate cuts,” read

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10 Comments on Siren Songs Of Summer

Clandestine And Clumsy: Israel Botches Influence Operation Targeting Americans

June 5, 2024July 4, 2024

Are you a prominent African American lawmaker on Capitol Hill? Are your social media posts

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1 Comment on Clandestine And Clumsy: Israel Botches Influence Operation Targeting Americans

US Services Sector Heats Back Up, Defying Recession Narrative

June 5, 2024June 6, 2024

Shelve the recession narratives: The linchpin of US economic growth held strong in May. A

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2 Comments on US Services Sector Heats Back Up, Defying Recession Narrative

‘Notable Pockets Of Weakness’ Spotted In US Labor Market

June 5, 2024June 6, 2024

There are “notable pockets of weakness” in the US labor market, ADP said Wednesday, editorializing

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2 Comments on ‘Notable Pockets Of Weakness’ Spotted In US Labor Market

American Middle-Class Abandons All Hope

June 4, 2024June 5, 2024

I’m — umm — avowedly not a Republican. I assume most readers are aware of

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18 Comments on American Middle-Class Abandons All Hope

Dead Canary

June 4, 2024June 5, 2024

I don’t want to overstate the significance of any one data point or US macro

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3 Comments on Dead Canary

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

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  • NY Jeff on Yeah, But Can It Draw A LEGO?
  • carbpow on ‘Do I Annihilate Iran, Drive Them Into Hell?’ Nobel Hopeful Asks
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Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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