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Featured

Yeah, But Can It Draw A LEGO?

September 22, 2026
  • WTF: Buyer’s Market, Higher Prices?

    September 22, 2026
  • ‘Do I Annihilate Iran, Drive Them Into Hell?’ Nobel Hopeful Asks

    September 22, 2026
  • ‘Let The Oil Flow!’ Again!

    September 22, 2026September 22, 2026

Markets

There’s A Lot Riding On The Chips…

September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • Erstwhile Bear Confident In Year-End Stock Rally

    September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • Wall Street’s Fata Morgana Risk

    September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • What Happens To Stocks If Treasury Yields Go To 6%?

    September 20, 2026September 21, 2026
  • ‘The House’ Humiliated As Yen Plunges

    September 18, 2026September 20, 2026

economy

The Fed’s Never Been This Sure About The Jobs Market

September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • Weekly: The Counterfactual

    September 18, 2026September 20, 2026
  • A Mixed Read On A Grim Housing Market

    September 17, 2026September 19, 2026
  • Below 200k. Again.

    September 17, 2026September 18, 2026
  • Warsh Fed Hikes, Thank God

    September 16, 2026September 17, 2026

Geopolitics

A King In Washington

September 20, 2026September 21, 2026

Achtung Baby

September 20, 2026September 21, 2026

The ‘Real-World’ Energy Shock’s Finally Here

September 19, 2026September 21, 2026

Duly Noted

Who’s Coming To Nashville?

September 19, 2026September 20, 2026

Builder Sentiment Crumbles As US Mortgage Rates Soar

September 16, 2026September 17, 2026

$640 Billion Is Most Bullish Since Peak ‘Everything Bubble’

June 18, 2024July 4, 2024

Fund managers are the most bullish since the height of the so-called “everything bubble.” That’s

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1 Comment on $640 Billion Is Most Bullish Since Peak ‘Everything Bubble’

‘Haves’-‘Have-Nots’ Divide Reaches Tipping Point, One Bank Warns

June 17, 2024July 4, 2024

There’s a vociferous debate raging in the macro community where economists, technocrats and economists employed

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4 Comments on ‘Haves’-‘Have-Nots’ Divide Reaches Tipping Point, One Bank Warns

Soft Landing Strip Now Very Narrow, Kolanovic Says

June 17, 2024July 4, 2024

The landing strip’s narrow for Jerome Powell. That was one (familiar) message from JPMorgan analysts

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14 Comments on Soft Landing Strip Now Very Narrow, Kolanovic Says

De-Dollarization Delayed

June 17, 2024July 4, 2024

The funny thing about the de-dollarization story is that it’s unequivocally false. I tried to

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Rainbow Sprinkles

June 17, 2024July 4, 2024

Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson sees a worrying sign. I suppose this goes without saying by

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20 Comments on Rainbow Sprinkles

It’s (Still) Not Going Well In China

June 17, 2024July 4, 2024

It’s not going well in China. Still. It’s still not going well in China. Beijing

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6 Comments on It’s (Still) Not Going Well In China

Mega-Cap Versus Median

June 16, 2024July 4, 2024

Mega-cap exceptionalism’s admittedly a tired topic by now, but then again, it’s the defining characteristic

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Leave a Comment on Mega-Cap Versus Median

France To The Right, UK To The Left

June 16, 2024July 4, 2024

Two of the world’s preeminent democracies will hold pivotal elections in a mere three weeks’

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3 Comments on France To The Right, UK To The Left

Two Weeks In One

June 16, 2024July 4, 2024

One way or another, this’ll be a two-day week for a lot of US market

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6 Comments on Two Weeks In One

Goldman Unveils Five New Scenarios For US Equities

June 15, 2024July 4, 2024

In a best-case scenario, US equities could rise another 16% through year-end. That’s according to

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5 Comments on Goldman Unveils Five New Scenarios For US Equities

A Tale Of Two Markets

June 14, 2024July 4, 2024

US equity funds took in another $6.3 billion on net over the latest weekly reporting

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France Staggers Toward Political, Financial Crises

June 14, 2024July 4, 2024

Bruno Le Maire’s concerned. During an interview with Franceinfo radio, Emmanuel Macron’s finance minister took

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21 Comments on France Staggers Toward Political, Financial Crises

America’s New Sales Pitch

June 14, 2024July 4, 2024

Americans tend to take US “exceptionalism” in all its various manifestations for granted. Rarely do

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15 Comments on America’s New Sales Pitch

Bad Vibes Continue In America Despite Record Stock Prices

June 14, 2024July 4, 2024

US consumer moods deteriorated a third month in early June, the preliminary read on America’s

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Summer Vol Bleed?

June 13, 2024July 4, 2024

It’s probably fair to say US soft landing odds increased materially over the past several

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8 Comments on Summer Vol Bleed?

We Have Your Money. And We’re Giving It To Ukraine.

June 13, 2024July 4, 2024

On Thursday, G7 leaders agreed to a plan that would use investment returns on frozen

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8 Comments on We Have Your Money. And We’re Giving It To Ukraine.

Fed Hawks Frozen As Producer Prices Fall, Jobless Claims Leap

June 13, 2024July 4, 2024

There was more favorable inflation news out of the US on Thursday. 24 hours after

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2 Comments on Fed Hawks Frozen As Producer Prices Fall, Jobless Claims Leap

Six Reasons To Doubt The Fed Dots

June 13, 2024July 4, 2024

The market doesn’t believe the Fed’s new dot plot. At the June FOMC, the Committee

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3 Comments on Six Reasons To Doubt The Fed Dots

Fed ‘Way Behind The Easing Curve,’ Albert Edwards Says

June 13, 2024July 4, 2024

It’s time for the Fed to cut rates. Past time, even. So said SocGen’s Albert

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7 Comments on Fed ‘Way Behind The Easing Curve,’ Albert Edwards Says

Save The Date

June 12, 2024July 4, 2024

Jerome Powell was composed on Wednesday during what, at times, felt like a somnolent back

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3 Comments on Save The Date

Fed Tips One 2024 Cut, Four 2025 Cuts, Higher Neutral Rate

June 12, 2024July 4, 2024

The Fed kept rates on hold for a seventh meeting Wednesday and tipped just one

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4 Comments on Fed Tips One 2024 Cut, Four 2025 Cuts, Higher Neutral Rate

Macron Says Resignation Rumor ‘Absurd’

June 12, 2024July 4, 2024

I hope Emmanuel Macron knows what he’s doing. Really I do. On Wednesday, during a

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1 Comment on Macron Says Resignation Rumor ‘Absurd’

Hallelujah!

June 12, 2024July 4, 2024

“It goes like this, the fourth, the fifth The minor fall, the major lift”… Hallelujah!

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9 Comments on Hallelujah!

China Can’t Shake Deflation Demon

June 12, 2024July 4, 2024

Guess what? China still has a domestic demand problem. And the deflation demon’s not banished.

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1 Comment on China Can’t Shake Deflation Demon

‘Lower Quality Economic Participants’

June 11, 2024July 4, 2024

What to do when you aren’t sure whether the economy’s headed for a “soft landing”

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Kolanovic Sees ‘Plethora’ Of Risks For Buoyant Stocks

June 11, 2024July 4, 2024

If you were wondering, JPMorgan’s cross-asset strategy team is still cautious on equities. That probably

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8 Comments on Kolanovic Sees ‘Plethora’ Of Risks For Buoyant Stocks

De Gaulleing Developments

June 11, 2024July 4, 2024

“The French don’t see the cordon sanitaire.” That was the message on Tuesday from Éric

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23 Comments on De Gaulleing Developments

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

  • Engineer on Yeah, But Can It Draw A LEGO?
  • NY Jeff on Yeah, But Can It Draw A LEGO?
  • carbpow on ‘Do I Annihilate Iran, Drive Them Into Hell?’ Nobel Hopeful Asks
  • Blognonymous on Yeah, But Can It Draw A LEGO?

Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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