‘Capitulation Events’ And ‘Nightmare Scenarios’
The rates-driven, valuation compression stage of the bear market may be mostly behind us assuming
The rates-driven, valuation compression stage of the bear market may be mostly behind us assuming
Jamie Dimon has a lot on his mind. And Dimon’s mind isn’t something he’s shy
Let’s be clear: The Fed funds rate modern markets can tolerate is almost surely lower than
If you ask highly qualified professionals, many of whom probably spent the rough equivalent of
“Way” back on October 28, while responding to comments on an article documenting a 31%
For the first time since the pandemic, corporate margins contracted in the US. Net margins
Over the past, let’s call it three or four years, I’ve repeatedly referenced the suggestion
In yet another sign that the US economy is poised to decelerate after what economists
In “‘Super Bad Feelings’ About A ‘Strong-As-Hell’ Economy,” I referenced Elon Musk’s vague recession remarks
Warnings about impending economic doom (or at least gloom) filled a headline void Wednesday. Jeff
Headed into Q3 reporting season in the US, the narrative among many top-down strategists sounded
Fund managers have virtually never been this bullish on long-term bonds. Or at least not
Sometimes it’s hard to know who’s serious and who’s just after some press these days.
It almost feels gratuitous to keep making the case against US equities. It’s preaching to
“There are significant headwinds immediately in front of us,” Jamie Dimon said Friday, in remarks
“Stocks crushed as jobs keep Fed on hiking path,” one Friday market wrap declared. US
The US economy added more jobs than expected in September, while the unemployment rate moved
It’s “so tempting to be a contrarian bull,” BofA’s Michael Hartnett said. After all, bonds
Among the responses to “Apocalypse Soon” was a reference to the “usual bearish suspects.” We
Currently, data which suggests the US economy is picking up momentum (as opposed to losing
The run up in terminal rate pricing and accompanying increase in US real yields are
A near constant theme in these pages — a perpetual topic du jour, if you’ll
Wall Street will spend the final day of a somewhat tedious week fretting over FedEx,
More and more, fewer and fewer market observers are willing to countenance the idea that
Risk sentiment is “appalling,” BofA’s Michael Hartnett declared. Or despaired. Investors ditched stocks over the
It’s been an especially rough year for US equities. In fact, 2022 was worse than
Global equities were fussy at the beginning of a week that’ll presumably be defined by
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