Moody’s: ‘Perhaps’ You Should ‘Brace For A 20% Plunge In The Next 18 Months’
“Perhaps, the prudent investor should be braced for at least a -20% plunge in the value of a well-diversified portfolio at some point during the next 18 months.”
Search Results for: earnings recession
‘Over-Analysis’ Is Going To Keep You From Making 230% On EM Stocks – But That’s Your Problem
“Can’t be distracted with what’s goin’ on with the war, or what’s wrong with the economy – stop worrying about that!”…
Let the bull market do its job.Â
The Question Every Goldman Client Is Asking: ‘Is An Equity Correction Imminent?’
“The question every client asks: ‘Is an equity correction imminent?’ The impetus for the inquiry comes from several sources”…
Whom Fortune Favors
“What a bunch of superstitious hogwash.”
Larry Summers Isn’t Losing Sleep Over Bubbles But Yellen Leaving Would Keep Him Up At Night
“…if the ninth year of expansion with unemployment approaching 4 percent is not the time for above-target inflation, when will that moment ever come?”
CPI Misses Across The Board, Dollar Dives
CPI rose 0.1% vs est. 0.2%, according to the BLS.
Ex. food, energy up 0.1% vs est. 0.2%
Horsepower: Lessons From ‘An Old Guy With A Tractor’
“I can accomplish amazing things with that untiring, never flagging, hundred-fold leverage. I can also kill myself.”
This Correlation Just Hit A Record High, But Goldman Says Don’t Worry About Financials
“Buybacks for the largest banks will soar by 45% this year.”
Jobs, Central Banks, & A Mushroom Cloud Over Pyongyang: Epic Week Ahead Preview
Well, here’s hoping this week lives up to last week…
UK Election: Your Guide To Thursday’s Big Event & What It Means For Markets
Well Britain is about to vote – again. Thursday’s election is part of a trio
Albert Edwards: “The Reflation Trade Is Trump-Inspired Fake News”
“The last time volatility in the US bond market was this low (and complacency this high), 10y yields spiked up some 150bp in only four months as part of Bernanke’s ‘Taper Tantrum’. “
“Political Immunity” And Markets
“Technical factors and central bank liquidity have allowed markets to suspend disbelief.”
“Investors Have Been Lulled To Sleep”: BofAML Deep-Sixes The Recovery Myth
“The S&P 500 is at near record levels despite the fact that EPS hasn’t really changed in 3 years. So which economy is going to show up later this year and in 2018? We think the jury is still out.”
Barclays Does Best “Frank The Tank” Impression: Don’t “Freak Out” On Commodities
“That’s right! We can’t have anyone freak out out there, ok?”
Deutsche Bank: “The Probability Of A Negative Shock Is High”
In case you needed a reminder of just how long it’s been since this market
Binky’s Bullets: Wall Street’s Biggest Bull Explains His S&P 2600 Call
Earlier this week, Bloomberg reported that Binky had summited Mount Siegel. That’s right, Deutsche Bank’s Binky Chadha is now officially the most bullish Wall Street strategist when it comes to the S&P, which he figures will hit 2600 by the end of the year.
Albert Edwards Thinks Maybe Yellen Will Channel Capone, “Massacre” Markets With “Machine Gun” In Valentine’s Day Testimony
“I wonder if the ever cooing Yellen dove turns up on the day holding flowers in her beak, or will a machine gun be brandished in the same way it was on that fateful day in 1929″…
Daily Kickstart (“I Had Some Bad Chinese”)
We’re gonna need a weaker yuan. Data out Friday showed China’s exports falling 6.1% y/y
Wall Street Reacts To “Mixed” Jobs Report
So this morning’s jobs data was, well, not very exciting. The headline print missed expectations
Wednesday Chart Check (EU Head Scratcher Edition)
Riddle me this Batman…
Barclays Surveys 885 Investors – Here’s What They Found
I’ve said it until I’m blue in the face (or maybe “yellow in the face”
“Active Re-leveraging”
Ok so this is interesting. One would think, given the experience of the beleaguered US
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