“As I struggle to find the words to communicate my thoughts, I worry they will be misconstrued. Yet I don’t know how else to say it – except to blurt it out. So at the risk of being labeled a fool, here it goes - it’s different this time.”
Category: volatility
You’re Not Panicking Enough Yet.
Or, put differently, how much would it take to break the spirit of market participants who have been conditioned, Pavlov style, to buy any dip no matter how small?
Ray Dalio’s ‘Pretty Stupid’ People Are The Only Ones With Real Positive Returns In 2018
“If you’re holding cash”…
How Much Did CTAs And Risk Parity Sell During The Friday-Monday Bloodbath?
There are lingering questions.
The Psychedelic Swan Moment And Retail’s Volatility Addiction
…that was a 23-standard deviation event. I’m not sure what color swan that is – maybe psychedelic?
Good News! VIX ETP Rebalance Risk Really Isn’t A Problem Anymore!
In that same kind of way where that festering hornets’ nest in your garage isn’t a problem anymore…
Seth Golden Doubles Down After XIV Blowup, Bets $600,000 VIX Will Fall
“I was up until the wee hours, checking my phone to see where VIX futures were trading.â€
Cold Turkey: ‘Quitting The Low-Vol. Addiction May Be Painful’, One Bank Warns
“The market’s addiction to low volatility may be even more severe than its addiction to low rates.”
Why Cboe Is Plunging: ‘Retail Investors May Not Be Too Keen To Trade Volatility Anymore’
“We suspect the retail investors that have been wiped out by this trade may not be too keen to trade volatility going forward.”
Cboe Plummets Most On Record Amid VIX Fallout
The fallout continues.
Trader Asks: Was That The Greatest Squeeze In Market History?
“It seems like just yesterday the overly confident bulls were openly taunting any market participant that dared counsel about the increasing risks in the equity market.”
Credit Suisse Pulls Plug On XIV – The Black Swan Has Landed
It’s over folks.
The Demons Were Real: Monday’s VIX Carnage And The 13-Sigma Event
And so, legions of retail investors, hordes of previously cock-sure newly-minted “money managers”, and scores of popular pundits who swore to you they knew what they were talking about, are left to ponder the stark reality of a market structure-driven nightmare scenario.
VIX Explodes To 50. That’s ‘5’ With A ‘0’ After It.
Good luck, we’re all counting on you…
Nightmare: Goldman Explains How VIX ETPs Activated The Doom Loop On Monday
“Come play with us Danny”…
Hey Guys, It Looks Like XIV Is Done. The Short Vol. Products Are Toast.
Look out. The unthinkable just happened.
NEXT! Vicious Vol. Spike Claims First Official Victim As Nomura Redeems Short Vol. ETN
And for those who aren’t fluent, here’s how you say “you’re fucked” in Japanese:
Black Monday.
The bottom fell out.
Tail Risk And A Trip Back To The Shrinking Playground
Maneuvering space, a (still) shrunken sandbox, and a step closer to the tail risk strike.
Blood On Tha Streetz.
Dip buyers assemble… you are needed.
This Is The ‘Talk Of The Town’ In Markets – Can It Last?
But fair warning to anyone who might be inclined to extrapolate on the way to drawing spurious conclusions…
‘Smart’ Power: We Have ‘Never Been Further’ From Free Market Dynamics
“Smart†power, one that aspires to be effective, cannot be restrictive; it must be permissive in order to eliminate a possibility of resistance. It should operate seductively and not repressively – it has to say “yes†more often than “noâ€.
Barclays CEO: If Something ‘Snaps’, The Return Of Vol. Is Going To Be ‘Quite Something To Behold’
It’s almost – almost – like this fucker gets it.
Bitcoin And VIX Correlation Has Increased ‘Dramatically’: The ‘New Frontier Of Risk-Taking’
And there you go. Another way for cryptocurrencies to morph into a systemic risk…
‘Vol Up, Spot Up’: This Hasn’t Happened In 20 Years…
That, or you could just buy expensive calls and pile them atop your existing longs because…
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