When should you throw in the towel on the equity rally? Not on August 5,
Category: Markets
There’s One Helluva Disconnect Buried In Wall Street’s 2025 Profit Forecasts
A few days ago, I revisited “the enduring paradox” of an equities bull case built
Behind The Scenes Of August’s ‘Wall Street Whiplash’
Everybody’s astounded by the rapidity of the market recovery from the August 2-August 5 growth
Why ‘Many Fed Cuts Are A-Comin” Recession Or Not
“Green shoots!” BofA’s Michael Hartnett sees them. Exclamation point and all. In the latest installment
Should’ve Bought The Damn Dip
Guess you should’ve bought the dip. Who knew, right? Even absent the myriad structural factors
Investors Implore Powell’s Fed: Go Big Or Else
Did they cancel the recession again? Or are market participants just confident in the Fed’s
What Caused The August Vol Shock
Whether or not fund managers registered a drop in soft landing odds in recent days,
‘Priced For Perfection’ Stocks Suddenly Awake To Rates Reality, Mike Wilson Cautions
Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson is… cautious. That’s one word to describe his disposition towards US
Bonds Are Your Hedge Again. But Caveat Emptor…
Bonds! They’re your hedge again. On August 3 — so, a day after the Sahm
Will Wall Street’s Vol Shock Spill Over Into Corporate Credit?
Credit’s fine. For now. The chaos in front-end US rates that accompanied a triggered Sahm
‘Corr 1’ Shock Won’t Soon Be Forgotten, One Bank Says
Was the extreme market turbulence witnessed over the past several sessions the product of a
Bull Still Standing
We know systematics — pejoratively “the machines,” accurately, and in order of speed, CTAs, target
Wall Street ‘Bossing’ Powell Into Big Cuts With Prime Rate At Nosebleed Levels
Long and variable lags. Monetary policy works on long and variable lags. Impolitely: You hike
Market Shock Fails To Trigger Stock Outflows. History Says They’re Coming
If you were wondering whether recent fireworks across markets triggered outflows from equities, the answer’s
Volatility Shocks Have Consequences
“Volatility’s your exposure toggle.” You’ve heard that tagline before. It’s one of several attributed to
Albert Edwards Got His Crash
As time marches on, there are few of us left who were in the industry
The $4 Trillion Unwind
How big’s the yen carry trade? In recent days, the existential character of that question
That Wasn’t A Selloff
Don’t call it a selloff. Seriously. Do yourself a favor. Earlier this week, a lot
Wall Street Bloodletting Pauses. But Don’t Call It Stability
I wouldn’t call it “calm.” “Stability” would be a misnomer too. But the bleeding stopped
Is The Selloff Over?
Wall Street attempted to recover on Tuesday after a rather harrowing start to the week.
‘Cool Heads’ And Adrenaline Junkies
The adrenaline junkies among you are having a grand ole time. Hot on the heels
Global Game-Changer: ‘Biggest Carry Trade The World Has Ever Seen’ Unwinds
If anyone asks you what, exactly, happened to markets on Monday — a session that’ll
What Happened To The VIX?!
“What’s going on with the VIX?!” That’s a question I’ve heard half a dozen times
In Asia: Black Monday
If you were wondering whether the selling was over — whether last week’s risk-off tone
Remain Calm: Buffett Goes To Cash
Regular readers know I have a hard time feigning interest in what Warren Buffett’s doing
Shell-Shocked Stocks Confront 2024’s First Real Deleveraging Event
Weary market participants hungover from one of the more rollicking stretches in recent memory get
Wilson Flags Consumer Strains, Stock Downside On Revisions Disconnect
Just how weak is the American consumer? That’s what Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson wants to
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