Economists expect more “Goldilocks” data out of the world’s largest economy this week. The US
Category: Markets
Regulators
If you’re looking for (or need) a short-notice bear narrative for a market high on
Treasury Needs Fed Cuts For ‘Interest Cost Control,’ One Bank Says
I’m a bit allergic to quasi-nefarious Fed-Treasury “partnership” narratives. There’s something profoundly silly about stating
Half-Full Or Half-Empty?
There are a number of lenses through which one can view the ongoing equity rally
Albert Edwards Has A New Bear Narrative
Albert Edwards has a bear narrative. More than one, actually. Albert’s collection of bear narratives
‘One Day Out Of The Blue’
As the book closed on a second consecutive stellar quarter for equities, the bear case
Will Fed Hikes Catch Up To Corporates After All?
When it comes to refi penalty and roll risk, it was always (and self-evidently) a
Quiescent Vol Conjures Ominous Parallel
Volatility’s topical in 2024. Specifically, the absence of it. There’s no real mystery as to
Up, Down Or Sideways?
Never before has global manufacturing activity loitered so long in what amounts to a neutral
Drill It Up, I Say
A couple of days ago, over a french press (mine) and a Mich Ultra (his)
Stop Me If You’ve Heard This Before
Markets, and particularly equities, built in “great expectations” over a five-month rally that found global
Goldman: S&P Could Soar To 6,000 This Year. Or Dive To 4,500
The S&P hit Goldman’s year-end target last week. So, nine months early. The (very short)
Cash For Stocks!
One of the pressing questions headed into 2024 was this: What’ll become of the $6
The ‘DNA’ Of The ‘New Everything Bull’
Global equities were on track for their best week of 2024 and it was no
SocGen’s Kabra Dethrones Subramanian As Wall Street’s Biggest Bull
Move over, Savita. For nearly a month, BofA’s 5,400 year-end target for the S&P counted
Global Dovish Pivot Takes Shape As SNB Cuts, BOE Hawks Give Up
The SNB’s not waiting around. Switzerland became the first G10 country to cut rates in
Bumpy Road
The Fed will almost surely cut rates “at some point this year,” Jerome Powell told
Convoluted Fed SEP Tips Three 2024 Cuts, Higher Core Inflation, Higher Neutral
The Fed kept rates on hold Wednesday. Obviously. I say “obviously,” but it’s worth recalling
Kolanovic Warns On ‘Straight Line’ Risk Rally
If you’re curious, JPMorgan’s Marko Kolanovic still harbors reservations about the risk-asset rally. “Global equities
Risk Appetite Highest Since ‘Everything Bubble,’ Key Poll Shows
One of 2024’s defining characteristics so far is a discernible similarity between the market environment
History Made As Japan Hikes Rates, Drops YCC, Ends ETF-Buying
Remember this day. March 19, 2024, will be enshrined in the annals of monetary policy
Stock Bear Has Bonds On His Mind
Mike Wilson’s an equities guy, but he has bonds on his mind this week. As
What To Expect From The March FOMC Meeting
As a practical matter, it doesn’t make much difference whether the Fed tips two or
Inside The Bubble
I don’t want to suggest Wall Street strategists are engaged in an effort to “explain
US Stock Funds Shatter Inflow Record In Latest Mania Marker
Blow-off top, blow-off equity flows? That’s one interpretation of the latest fund flows update, which
Are Investors Ditching Gold To Buy Bitcoin?
Gold recently hit a record high. So did Bitcoin. Which to own? Decisions, decisions. One’s
Why Stocks No Longer Care How Many Times The Fed Cuts Rates
Of all the purportedly puzzling dynamics bedeviling market participants in their belabored efforts to makes
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