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Category: Markets

A Profit Boom Like No Other

August 19, 2026August 20, 2026

Believe it or not, we’re still “in” Q2 reporting season. It’s almost over, but not

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3 Comments on A Profit Boom Like No Other

They’re Worried About The Capex

August 18, 2026August 19, 2026

They’re worried about the capex. And the attendant debt binge. But not so worried that

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6 Comments on They’re Worried About The Capex

Cheap Gold?

August 18, 2026August 19, 2026

How does my gold joke go again? Oh yeah. Like this: “Gold. It’s shiny and

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19 Comments on Cheap Gold?

Bulls A-Bakin’!

August 18, 2026August 19, 2026

Somehow, Michael Hartnett found more than 200 fund managers to poll during the second week

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5 Comments on Bulls A-Bakin’!

Scott Bessent Has A PR Problem

August 17, 2026August 19, 2026

The US long bond cheapened again on Monday, and I gotta tell you: The optics

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3 Comments on Scott Bessent Has A PR Problem

Hyper-Compression

August 16, 2026August 17, 2026

One thing we learned over the past three or so months is that broad US

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1 Comment on Hyper-Compression

Long Bond, Big News

August 15, 2026August 17, 2026

The long bond’s big news. In fact, I’d wager you’re like me in having read

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4 Comments on Long Bond, Big News

Weekly: Buy Gold?

August 14, 2026August 16, 2026

Uncle Sam’s borrowing costs were still front-page news on Friday, as the financial media spilled

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28 Comments on Weekly: Buy Gold?

Uncle Sam Pays The Piper

August 13, 2026August 15, 2026

On August 12, I suggested next year’s biggest macro-market story may be the interplay between

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13 Comments on Uncle Sam Pays The Piper

This May Be 2027’s Most Important Macro-Market Story…

August 12, 2026August 14, 2026

Earlier this week, in “Food For Thought,” I touched on the increasingly topical interplay between

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15 Comments on This May Be 2027’s Most Important Macro-Market Story…

How Oracle Changed The Game

August 12, 2026August 13, 2026

When I write about the AI buildout, I tend to reference Oracle’s September 2025 earnings

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1 Comment on How Oracle Changed The Game

Food For Thought

August 11, 2026August 12, 2026

Thematically, a lot of my pre-CPI coverage this week revolved around the impact of the

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5 Comments on Food For Thought

Intel Cashes In

August 11, 2026August 12, 2026

You gotta make hay while the sun shines, as the old adage goes. Intel did

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2 Comments on Intel Cashes In

Bankrolling The Dream

August 10, 2026August 12, 2026

Nvidia was back in the news early this week. (I know, I know: “When was

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13 Comments on Bankrolling The Dream

Behold: A ‘Legendary’ Right-Tail Grab

August 10, 2026August 11, 2026

We’ve just witnessed a “legendary” upside grab in US equities. That’s according to everyone’s favorite

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1 Comment on Behold: A ‘Legendary’ Right-Tail Grab

Profits Are ‘So Strong The Market Doesn’t Believe Them’

August 10, 2026August 11, 2026

“I don’t know who you’re talkin’ to, but business is boomin’.” — Jackie Moon Brass

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1 Comment on Profits Are ‘So Strong The Market Doesn’t Believe Them’

Is The Equity ‘Oversupply’ Story Fake Bear News?

August 10, 2026August 11, 2026

Equity issuance notched a record in Q2 across IPOs, secondaries, converts and a smattering of

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Leave a Comment on Is The Equity ‘Oversupply’ Story Fake Bear News?

Return Of The ‘Everything Rally’

August 8, 2026August 10, 2026

It all worked this week, didn’t it? My goodness. When the dust settled after the

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3 Comments on Return Of The ‘Everything Rally’

Weekly: A Dove’s Dream

August 7, 2026August 10, 2026

The July jobs report was a policy dove’s dream come true. No, it’s not very

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7 Comments on Weekly: A Dove’s Dream

Yen Very Thankful For US Jobs Debacle

August 7, 2026August 9, 2026

Kevin Warsh wasn’t the only person relieved by Friday’s lackluster BLS jobs report. Japanese finance

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8 Comments on Yen Very Thankful For US Jobs Debacle

Reminder: ‘Run It Hot’ Is Good For Stocks

August 6, 2026August 7, 2026

If you’re like me, you’re a little Warsh-ed out by now, which is to say

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1 Comment on Reminder: ‘Run It Hot’ Is Good For Stocks

Space Is To SpaceX What The Metaverse Is To Meta

August 4, 2026August 5, 2026

A company which, according to itself, has identified the “largest addressable market in human history,”

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3 Comments on Space Is To SpaceX What The Metaverse Is To Meta

Lazarus On Biker Speed

August 4, 2026August 5, 2026

The equities right-tail (i.e., crash-up risk) was back in play on Wall Street, where US

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8 Comments on Lazarus On Biker Speed

Trillions

August 4, 2026August 5, 2026

Hyper-scaler capex estimates are still climbing. And with free cash flow dwindling, management has little

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2 Comments on Trillions

About The Yen…

August 3, 2026August 4, 2026

Like everything else to do with Washington these days, the Trump administration’s effort to help

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7 Comments on About The Yen…

‘Moron Risk’

August 1, 2026August 3, 2026

And I thought I was a harsh critic. In the wake of Kevin Warsh’s botched

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7 Comments on ‘Moron Risk’

Ken Griffin Saves Genius From Himself

July 31, 2026August 3, 2026

It’s the same story every time. That makes it not only less interesting for me,

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14 Comments on Ken Griffin Saves Genius From Himself

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Monthly Letter

  • The Arbitrageur

Recent Comments

  • therealheisenberg on Have The Hyper-Scalers Lost Their Minds?
  • therealheisenberg on Sell-Side Sarcasm: New And Improved!
  • SeaTurtle on Sell-Side Sarcasm: New And Improved!
  • TebbyFresh on Sell-Side Sarcasm: New And Improved!

Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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