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Category: Markets

‘Penny Stock’ Bond Market Needs ‘Time Out’

October 5, 2023October 6, 2023

There’s a lot of focus right now on bonds, but also on bond volatility, and

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7 Comments on ‘Penny Stock’ Bond Market Needs ‘Time Out’

Treasurys’ Titanic Losses Make History

October 5, 2023October 15, 2023

If you don’t like to talk about bonds, you’re at wits’ end by now. The

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6 Comments on Treasurys’ Titanic Losses Make History

Bond Vigilantes May Be Wearing Out Welcome

October 4, 2023October 15, 2023

It wasn’t so long ago when everybody who’s anybody feigned nostalgia for a time when

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2 Comments on Bond Vigilantes May Be Wearing Out Welcome

America’s Historic Bond Bear Bleeds Into Global Markets

October 4, 2023October 5, 2023

Oh, the humanity. 30-year US Treasury yields briefly breached 5% on Wednesday before pulling back.

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Breaking Point

October 3, 2023October 4, 2023

I’ve hinted multiple times over the past several weeks at a possible breaking point for

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1 Comment on Breaking Point

Bond Rout Turns Vicious As Bear Steepener Extends

October 3, 2023October 4, 2023

“Duration simply has no friends until the US data rolls over,” Nomura’s Charlie McElligott said

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What If Mega-Cap Tech Stocks Are Actually Cheap?

October 2, 2023October 3, 2023

What if mega-cap US tech stocks are actually cheap? The hell you say! No, seriously.

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4 Comments on What If Mega-Cap Tech Stocks Are Actually Cheap?

Until Something Breaks

October 2, 2023October 3, 2023

Last week, during an interview with The Times of India, Jamie Dimon characterized 7% Fed

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2 Comments on Until Something Breaks

Expensive Observations

October 2, 2023October 3, 2023

This week’s earliest market commentary revolved around the profound observation that Kevin McCarthy’s surprising decision

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1 Comment on Expensive Observations

Three Reasons Dollar Strength Can Continue

October 1, 2023October 2, 2023

Dollar strength is the talk of the proverbial town. Perhaps you noticed. Thanks to a

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Higher Interest Expense Finally Bites For Corporate America

September 30, 2023October 20, 2023

By now, it’s a familiar refrain: Interest costs (or at least interest payments) for the

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3 Comments on Higher Interest Expense Finally Bites For Corporate America

Wall Street Navigates Unfamiliar Waters In ‘Higher-For-Longer’ Regime Shift

September 30, 2023October 2, 2023

Interest rates have “reset to a ‘higher-for-longer’ regime.” That’s according to Goldman’s Praveen Korapaty, who

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Reading History

September 29, 2023October 1, 2023

Rates (and bond yields and financing costs for homes) may seem high to you, but

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3 Comments on Reading History

September’s Twin Stock, Bond Selloff Is Bitter Pill For Fed-Weary Markets

September 28, 2023October 4, 2023

All eyes were once again on the rates complex Thursday, as traders and investors of

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4 Comments on September’s Twin Stock, Bond Selloff Is Bitter Pill For Fed-Weary Markets

Oil In Focus As ‘Dry’ Cushing Prompts Hand-Wringing

September 28, 2023September 29, 2023

There was talk of a “toxic cocktail” on Thursday amid elevated bond yields and a

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7 Comments on Oil In Focus As ‘Dry’ Cushing Prompts Hand-Wringing

Marko Kolanovic Conjures 2008 Crash With Striking Reprint

September 27, 2023October 6, 2023

The market is likely to be “more volatile” in the near-term, and the risk-reward in

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4 Comments on Marko Kolanovic Conjures 2008 Crash With Striking Reprint

How Sustainable Is The Stock Selloff? McElligott Answers

September 27, 2023September 28, 2023

How sustainable is the nascent correction in US equities? At the fundamental level, a lot

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2 Comments on How Sustainable Is The Stock Selloff? McElligott Answers

The Stocks Are Broken

September 26, 2023September 27, 2023

If you’re a Fed official and your “higher for longer” message is already resonating, it’s

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2 Comments on The Stocks Are Broken

Dimon, Debt And Impossible Math

September 26, 2023September 27, 2023

Jamie Dimon was in the news on Tuesday for the not-exactly-groundbreaking observation that Fed funds

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2 Comments on Dimon, Debt And Impossible Math

Bond Bears Revel In Worsening Long-End Selloff

September 25, 2023September 26, 2023

This week’s earliest price action underscored the peril inherent in leaning long duration into a

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4 Comments on Bond Bears Revel In Worsening Long-End Selloff

‘Stocks Have Taken On A Different Personality,’ Mike Wilson Says

September 25, 2023September 26, 2023

“Stocks have taken on a different personality” since the end of Q2 earnings season, Morgan

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China Meltdown Worries Resurface With Evergrande Restructuring In Doubt

September 25, 2023September 26, 2023

China’s property developers were back in the spotlight Monday, where that means they were shot

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What If Bonds Don’t Rally In A Recession?

September 23, 2023October 6, 2023

“Relentless” is probably too strong, so I’ll use “persistent” instead. Given the persistent rise in

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4 Comments on What If Bonds Don’t Rally In A Recession?

Triple-Digit Oil Calls Suggest Floor Under Energy Stocks

September 23, 2023September 25, 2023

Goldman’s clients are asking about oil prices, and particularly about the read-through of recent increases

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6 Comments on Triple-Digit Oil Calls Suggest Floor Under Energy Stocks

Bill Ackman’s Bombastic Bond Short

September 22, 2023October 6, 2023

This is the part where I’m supposed to tell you US bond yields are destined

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8 Comments on Bill Ackman’s Bombastic Bond Short

Fade The Fed?

September 21, 2023October 6, 2023

“We continue to see five- to 10-year real and nominal rates as attractive, but markets

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2 Comments on Fade The Fed?

The Primary Objective

September 20, 2023September 21, 2023

Through trial and, hopefully, not too much error, the Fed will discover what degree of

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5 Comments on The Primary Objective

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