All eyes were on bonds this week following the sharp rally which turned November’s first
Category: Markets
Rally Risks
“The stocks” are probably due for a breather. US shares came into Jerome Powell’s speaking
Into And Out Of The New ‘Everything Rally’
On the heels of an exceedingly unfortunate three months during which both equities and bonds
US Small-Caps Celebrate Miserable Milestone In Never-Ending Selloff
Small-caps outperformed during last week’s raucous US equity rally, but that’s where the good news
Mike Wilson Not Impressed By Stock Rally
Equities will have to try a little harder (and probably a lot harder) if they
Can The ‘Everything Rally’ Continue? McElligott Weighs In
Stocks are a bit of a sideshow right now. It’s all about bonds. Indeed, equities
Stocks And The 2024 Election: An Early Preview
2024 is an election year is the US. Maybe you’re aware. If this US presidential
Is The Treasury Squeeze Over?
The “everything rally” is back in the US. As discussed at length in the latest
Did Janet Yellen Just Deliver ‘The First Rate Cut’?
Ahead of this week’s all-important Treasury refunding announcement, Nomura’s Charlie McElligott suggested Janet Yellen might
BofA’s Hartnett On Oil, Santa Rally Odds
The absence of an escalatory crude rally in the presence of the Israel-Hamas war is
Apple Results: Good Enough?
Apple on Thursday reported a fourth consecutive quarter of negative sales growth. Revenue of $89.5
Powell Again Falls Victim To Fed’s ‘Extreme FCI Reflexivity’
Jerome Powell this week re-learned a lesson taught time and again over the course of
BoE Sticks With Innovative ‘Confused Hold’ Strategy
As expected, the Bank of England kept rates on hold Thursday for a second consecutive
‘Persistent’
Jerome Powell was asked on Wednesday if, and to what degree, the recent selloff at
The One Word That Matters In The New FOMC Statement
The Fed kept rates on hold Wednesday, as widely expected. There was no chance of
Treasury Heeds Term Premium With Coupon Caution
Treasury got the message, apparently. The term premium spoke, and at least someone was listening.
Yen-sanity
The yen was on track for its weakest close in more than 30 years on
The Santa Melt-Up Blueprint
In “Canaries And Key Levels” and also in “Stocks Look Beyond GDP Barnburner To Price
Two Things: The Borrowing Estimate And The BoJ
Good news. I guess. Treasury slashed its quarterly borrowing estimate on Monday, which I suppose
Mike Wilson Doubles Down: No Santa Rally On Wall Street
Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson still doesn’t believe in a “Santa rally” on Wall Street. What
Canaries And Key Levels
Earlier this month, when the bank’s pseudo-famous “Bull & Bear Indicator” flashed a rare contrarian
Stocks Look Beyond GDP Barnburner To Price Slower Growth
We’ve entered “a new phase of the rising rate saga.” That’s according to Goldman’s David
‘Once Jobs Go, The Whole Cycle Goes’
“Sell the last hike.” That’s been the mantra for one of the sell-side’s most recognizable
‘The Greatest Credit Event Of All’
The greatest risk of all is a disorderly bear steepener. If you’re a longtime reader,
Amazon Sales Guidance, AWS Growth May Fail To Impress
Amazon managed to top sales estimates with Q3 results released after the bell in the
Meta Beats, Reality Labs Bleeds
Meta topped estimates in Q3 results released after the bell in the US on Wednesday.
Confused Rhino
Anyone in need of respite from the roller coaster that is the US bond market
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