“Recession is a key downside risk,” Goldman’s David Kostin mused, in his latest note. It’s
Category: Markets
What Recession? Where’s The Selloff? A ‘Patient Bear’ Answers
Two things you can count on in addition to death and taxes are investor complacency
Key Takeaways From Michael Barr’s ‘Unflinching’ SVB Review
On Friday, Michael Barr released the Fed’s internal review of its supervision and regulation of
Amazon Beats Across The Board, But AWS Comments Spook Markets
Amazon delivered solid quarterly results on Thursday afternoon in the US, joining mega-cap peers Microsoft,
Meta Beats, Delivers Impressive Guide As Mega-Tech Defies Gloom
Meta returned to top-line growth in Q1, results released after the bell on Wednesday showed.
‘Things Have Changed’: Quants Could Sell $276 Billion In ‘Down Big’ Tape
The systematic crowd has done all it can. The burden of sustaining the equity rally
Microsoft, Alphabet Top Forecasts With Cloud, AI In Focus
Both Microsoft and Alphabet remain going concerns, according to the first of this season’s quarterly
Kolanovic, McElligott Weigh In On Collapsed Stock Volatility
The market is “dominated by option sellers.” That’s according to JPMorgan analysts led by Marko
Are Good Earnings Bad News In 2023?
Do we even want a good reporting season from corporate America? Arguably not. Or at
Misplaced Optimism, False Fed Optic, Liquidity Blamed For Sturdy Stocks
Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson still thinks earnings estimates are too optimistic. He’s also convinced that equities
Credit Suisse Had A Bad Quarter
Credit Suisse released Q1 results on Monday. They weren’t great. I suppose you could say
Understanding The Valuation-Rates-Macro Nexus
If last year’s cross-asset malaise taught us anything, it’s that no correlation, no matter how
Another De-Dollarization Reality Check
It’s not just your imagination, even if the narrative is (mostly) imaginary: De-dollarization is a
Money Market Assets Dive, Fed Backstop Usage Rises Amid Tax Distortions
US money market fund assets plunged by almost $70 billion over the weekly reporting period
Musk’s Margins
You wouldn’t know it from all the times I criticized him last year, but I
What’s The Fed Thinking? Ask ChatGPT
Notwithstanding terrifying warnings+ about “nonhuman minds that might eventually outnumber, outsmart, obsolete and replace us,”
Morgan Stanley Posts Solid Results, But Provisions Surge
Morgan Stanley rounded out big US bank earnings Wednesday with a solid set of numbers
Rising Recession Odds Bring Out The Bond Bulls
I’ll say one thing for Hoisington’s quarterly letters: They’re efficient. The firm, which is synonymous
Untidy Goldman Results Suggest Solomon’s Pivot Still Work In Progress
I think it’s fair to suggest that some observers believe Goldman has lost its way
BofA Bolstered By Blockbuster FICC Haul, Solid NII
Last week’s big bank results suggested America’s largest financial institutions fared well in the first
Kolanovic: Market Risk-Reward ‘Heavily Favors Cash’
“Markets often bottom before the end of a recession, but not before the beginning of
The Bullfighter
Equities have proven remarkably resilient in the face of recent banking sector tumult and amid
The Simple Dynamic Most Investors Miss
Too many investors are missing a very simple, but very important, dynamic at the heart
Among The Giants
Bigger is better when you’re a bank. Big banks might contest that assertion depending on
JPMorgan, Dimon Pass Earnings Test With Flying Colors
JPMorgan kicked off big bank earnings with a very solid set of results, particularly under
Money Market Fund Assets Swell, Approach $5.3 Trillion
Surprise! Money market funds attracted another $30 billion over the latest weekly reporting period, data
From SoftBank To Apple, Capital Cringes At Xi
SoftBank and Prosus are selling more Alibaba and Tencent. That’s not the best news if
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