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Category: Markets

‘Sooner The Better’: Central Banks Hand Out Antivirals In Southeast Asia

February 5, 2020

“Adjustments” are needed.

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‘Extreme Bullishness’: Risk Assets Vaccinated

February 5, 2020February 5, 2020

Of course, it’s far too early to sound the all-clear.

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2 Comments on ‘Extreme Bullishness’: Risk Assets Vaccinated

To The Moon.

February 4, 2020February 4, 2020

It’s quite an amazing thing.

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‘Monstrous’ Bond Rally Could Reverse Near-Term, Nomura’s McElligott Says. Here’s Why…

February 4, 2020February 4, 2020

Spoiler alert: His longer-term outlook is unchanged. Near-term action will be “just another swing in the pendulum”.

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1 Comment on ‘Monstrous’ Bond Rally Could Reverse Near-Term, Nomura’s McElligott Says. Here’s Why…

What Collapsing Oil Prices Are Saying About The Impact Of The Coronavirus

February 4, 2020February 4, 2020

An “urgent” assessment.

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Meanwhile, In Turkey…

February 3, 2020February 3, 2020

Inflation jump drives real rates further into negative territory, while Erdogan “neutralizes” nearly three-dozen of Assad’s troops.

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Nomura’s McElligott: Gamma Impulse Again Concurrent With SPX Move, Markets ‘Stable’ But Iowa Risk Looms

February 3, 2020February 3, 2020

Let’s keep things “edgy”, shall we?

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As Yuan Short Calls Grow, Will Coronavirus Infect US-China Trade Deal?

February 3, 2020February 3, 2020

The trade talks and the epidemic could soon become entangled, just as national security and trade became inextricably bound up last year. 

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1 Comment on As Yuan Short Calls Grow, Will Coronavirus Infect US-China Trade Deal?

Chinese Markets Plunge In Dramatic Reopening After Holiday: The Visuals

February 2, 2020February 3, 2020

“Too late to sell, too early to buy”.

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2 Comments on Chinese Markets Plunge In Dramatic Reopening After Holiday: The Visuals

China And The Virus Aren’t The Only Things To Trade On This Week…

February 2, 2020February 2, 2020

Misses could exacerbate the bond rally. Beats may assuage fears.

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China To Inject Record 1.2 Trillion Yuan Amid Virus Worries. But Please, Mind The Details

February 2, 2020February 2, 2020

There’s plenty of nuance.

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Saudi Aramco Falls To Lowest Since IPO As Regional Shares Sink

February 2, 2020

The mood is sour, to say the least.

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8 Comments on Saudi Aramco Falls To Lowest Since IPO As Regional Shares Sink

As The Condemned Awaits The Hangman, Mainland Markets In China Brace For Rout

February 1, 2020February 2, 2020

Gallows humor.

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3 Comments on As The Condemned Awaits The Hangman, Mainland Markets In China Brace For Rout

Amid Virus Scare, We’re Golden.

February 1, 2020February 1, 2020

But c’est la vie…

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Crude Shorts Surge 50% As Virus ‘Black Swan’ Pushes Oil To Worst January Since 1991

February 1, 2020

It underscores the primacy of those concerns even in an environment plagued by worries on the supply side.

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Jeff Gundlach Probably About 90% Correct To Say Chances Of Fed Cut Are About 90%

February 1, 2020

“Now a 90% chance of a 2020 cut”.

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5 Comments on Jeff Gundlach Probably About 905 Correct To Say Chances Of Fed Cut Are About 905

State Of Emergency.

January 31, 2020January 31, 2020

Who’s excited for mainland Chinese markets to reopen?

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3 Comments on State Of Emergency.

MNI Marvels At Sheer ‘Hugeness’ Of Dastardly Chicago PMI Miss

January 31, 2020January 31, 2020

For months, ISM manufacturing has been the odd man out – but nothing like this.

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Find Me A Silver Lining (Other Than Margins) In These Caterpillar Numbers

January 31, 2020

And speaking of not very inspiring…

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A Sick Albatross.

January 31, 2020January 31, 2020

Quarantines, travel restrictions and macabre humor.

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So Much For ‘Green Shoots’: Europe Posts Worst Quarter For Growth In Almost Seven Years

January 31, 2020January 31, 2020

Japanification.

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How The Coronavirus Could Force The Fed Back To Zero (A Nuanced Take)

January 30, 2020January 31, 2020

It’s all about precluding further dollar appreciation.

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4 Comments on How The Coronavirus Could Force The Fed Back To Zero (A Nuanced Take)

WHO’s There? Amazon And A $1 Trillion Market Cap

January 30, 2020January 30, 2020

Don’t panic. But wear a mask.

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1 Comment on WHO’s There? Amazon And A $1 Trillion Market Cap

Person-To-Person Inversion.

January 30, 2020January 30, 2020

It’s starting to feel like August all over again for markets.

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oil5 Comments on Person-To-Person Inversion.

Look, Green Shoots! And Just In Time For Viral Roundup

January 30, 2020January 30, 2020

The question is whether it’s durable.

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4 Comments on Look, Green Shoots! And Just In Time For Viral Roundup

GDP Beats, But Consumption Slows Sharply, Business Investment Falls Third Straight Quarter

January 30, 2020January 30, 2020

As we’re fond of putting it: It’s good, but not “great”. “Again” or otherwise.

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5 Comments on GDP Beats, But Consumption Slows Sharply, Business Investment Falls Third Straight Quarter

BOE Gambles, Stands Pat In ‘Knife-Edge’ Call

January 30, 2020January 30, 2020

If this ends up looking misguided in retrospect…

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

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  • T-Dog on Erstwhile Bear Confident In Year-End Stock Rally
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Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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