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Category: Markets

Marko Kolanovic On The Rally, The Election, Tech Crowding And COVID-19

July 8, 2020July 8, 2020

“Many investors did not participate in the equity rally”.

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No, Stocks Aren’t Pricing In A ‘V-Shaped’ Recovery, Morgan Stanley Says

July 8, 2020July 8, 2020

“…if investors expect a robust economic bounce back, they have an odd way of expressing it”.

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2 Comments on No, Stocks Aren’t Pricing In A ‘V-Shaped’ Recovery, Morgan Stanley Says

Fairly Wacky Ideas.

July 8, 2020July 8, 2020

“It sounds quite radical”.

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7 Comments on Fairly Wacky Ideas.

Attack The Peg? Trump Administration Ponders Nuclear Option For Hong Kong Retaliation

July 7, 2020July 7, 2020

“We are looking at numerous different things”.

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9 Comments on Attack The Peg? Trump Administration Ponders Nuclear Option For Hong Kong Retaliation

Why One Bank Thinks Big Tech Is ‘The Most At Risk’ If Joe Biden Takes The Oval Office

July 7, 2020July 7, 2020

And yet, all of this comes as the post-COVID reality tends to favor many of trends associated with “new” tech.

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8 Comments on Why One Bank Thinks Big Tech Is ‘The Most At Risk’ If Joe Biden Takes The Oval Office

‘Why Now?’ Questions Abound About Timing Of China’s New Stock Bubble

July 7, 2020July 7, 2020

Great questions, all. 

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1 Comment on ‘Why Now?’ Questions Abound About Timing Of China’s New Stock Bubble

There’s A Risk-Off Trade Afoot, You Just Didn’t Notice…

July 6, 2020

A quick look under the hood.

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3 Comments on There’s A Risk-Off Trade Afoot, You Just Didn’t Notice…

‘NASDAQ HITS ALL TIME HIGH!’, Shrieked The Sovereign

July 6, 2020

…content in the notion that as long as equities are loitering in rarefied air, all must be right in the world.

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Leave a Comment on ‘NASDAQ HITS ALL TIME HIGH!’, Shrieked The Sovereign

Castles In The Sky.

July 6, 2020July 6, 2020

Equities’ phoenix-like rise from the ashes of March is increasingly difficult to rationalize.

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US Services Gauge Logs Biggest Jump In History. So There’s That.

July 6, 2020July 6, 2020

Employment still looks shaky, though.

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Leave a Comment on US Services Gauge Logs Biggest Jump In History. So There’s That.

‘Healthy Cow!’ China Tempts Fate, Whips Up Stock Mania With Insane Editorial

July 6, 2020July 6, 2020

“We look forward to the wealth effect of the capital market”.

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2 Comments on ‘Healthy Cow!’ China Tempts Fate, Whips Up Stock Mania With Insane Editorial

There’s A New Bull In Hong Kong. And Xi Is Cracking Down Harder On Dissent

July 6, 2020July 6, 2020

“He kept a bag with clothes and a toothbrush hanging on his front door so he would be ready for this”.

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Leave a Comment on There’s A New Bull In Hong Kong. And Xi Is Cracking Down Harder On Dissent

More Debt, More Liquidity, Higher Stocks (Hallelujah)

July 5, 2020July 5, 2020

“I’ve heard there was a secret chord”…

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12 Comments on More Debt, More Liquidity, Higher Stocks (Hallelujah)

Over The Line! Who Will ‘Tolerate’ Higher Long-End Yields?

July 5, 2020July 5, 2020

Nobody, probably.

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3 Comments on Over The Line! Who Will ‘Tolerate’ Higher Long-End Yields?

Goldman: US Recovery To ‘Stall’ Amid ‘Dramatic’ Virus Surge

July 5, 2020July 5, 2020

“…officials have paused or reversed reopening in states containing more than half the population”.

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5 Comments on Goldman: US Recovery To ‘Stall’ Amid ‘Dramatic’ Virus Surge

Fast and Furious.

July 4, 2020July 5, 2020

2020 is not a year during which you can write off indeterminacy using that old adage: “There’s always uncertainty”.

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8 Comments on Fast and Furious.

Shattered Dreams (Wile E. Coyote)

July 4, 2020July 4, 2020

That’s your Wile E. Coyote moment.

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5 Comments on Shattered Dreams (Wile E. Coyote)

SpongeBob SquareBanks.

July 4, 2020July 4, 2020

How much duration supply will the central bank sponge soak up?

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1 Comment on SpongeBob SquareBanks.

No Good Answers (Crunch Time)

July 3, 2020July 4, 2020

“…we see a high risk of a more orderly setback for risk assets”.

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8 Comments on No Good Answers (Crunch Time)

The Role Of (Il)liquidity In History’s Greatest Bear Market Rally

July 3, 2020

The result…

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7 Comments on The Role Of (Il)liquidity In History’s Greatest Bear Market Rally

To Hell And Back Again (What The Flows Are Saying)

July 3, 2020July 3, 2020

It’s been a wild ride.

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1 Comment on To Hell And Back Again (What The Flows Are Saying)

‘It Can Always Get Stupider’: Nasdaq Bubble Warnings May Be False Equivalence

July 3, 2020July 3, 2020

“…it’s hard to have that real conversation”.

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2 Comments on ‘It Can Always Get Stupider’: Nasdaq Bubble Warnings May Be False Equivalence

China Rising. Europe Trying. Brits Drinking.

July 3, 2020July 3, 2020

Responsible behavior.

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Harley Bassman Interview: ‘The Long, Slow Road To Inflation’

July 2, 2020July 2, 2020

“Truth be told, I kind of like – I can’t believe I’m saying this – I actually think I’m bullish on stocks”.

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3 Comments on Harley Bassman Interview: ‘The Long, Slow Road To Inflation’

Close Proximity

July 2, 2020July 3, 2020

“I’ll take it”.

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1 Comment on Close Proximity

Ray Dalio: We No Longer Have Free Markets

July 2, 2020July 2, 2020

“The Fed will set an interest rate for different types of creditors based on its economic objective”.

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5 Comments on Ray Dalio: We No Longer Have Free Markets

Nomura’s McElligott: The Machines Are Getting Long And Covering Shorts In Real-Time

July 2, 2020July 2, 2020

“Remember my generic thinking on these strategies: ‘Volatility is the exposure toggle.'”

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

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Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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